FYI - For Your Innovation

In this episode of The Brainstorm, Sam, Nick, and Brett open on OpenAI’s release of 722 mathematical proofs and the one subject conspicuously missing from it, cryptography. Brett argues the nearer term threat to crypto is AI rather than quantum computing, and that the danger sits not in the cryptographic primitives but in everything built around them, from self-custody hardware to the exchanges now holding enormous honeypots. He also suggests quantum-safe encryption may be the more vulnerable life raft, and that a scrambled bank ledger could be far more disruptive than stolen coins. Then SpaceX reportedly pays $8 billion for Ne...

In this episode of The Brainstorm, Sam, Nick, and Brett work through OpenAI DevDay, where one of the most interesting announcements was the one that never shipped. Ultra Ultra Fast did not reach public availability because the inventory was reportedly sold out to Jane Street, which is paying something like $200 billion per gigawatt for it, several times what Anthropic pays to rent capacity from SpaceX AI. Brett argues speed is becoming its own axis of competition alongside intelligence, and that the pull of enterprise money keeps starving consumer agents of compute. Nick covers Robinhood’s Hood Summit, where retail tr...

In this episode of FYI, Daniel Maguire and Tasha Keeney speak with J. Clay Sell, CEO of X-energy, about the company’s approach to reinventing nuclear power with advanced small modular reactors. Sell explains X-energy’s TRISO fuel and helium-cooled reactor design, why the company believes safety and repeatable construction can drive nuclear costs lower, and how regulatory reform is accelerating deployment. They also discuss X-energy’s partnership with Amazon, the role of AI in nuclear engineering and licensing, competition with China, supply-chain constraints, and Sell’s vision for making nuclear power abundant, affordable, and easy to buy.

In this episode of The Brainstorm, Sam, Nick, and Brett unpack Meta Connect, where Muse quietly replaced the metaverse as Zuckerberg’s vision for the company. Nick walks through the hardware spread, from audio-only Ray-Bans with no camera, to a 100 gram VR headset at $1,300 that outspecs the Vision Pro at a third of the price, to the Muse Charm, a Tamagotchi-style agent device shipping for the holidays. Brett argues the real target was never virtual reality (VR) but Apple, and that loosening the smartphone’s grip is worth more to Meta than any single device. Nick counters that the thre...

In this episode of The Brainstorm, Sam, Nick, and Brett dig into the opening shots of the AI shopping wars. Amazon blocked Meta’s Muse from crawling its site to protect a $70 billion advertising business, while Shopify did the opposite and opened Shop Pay and its agent-ready catalog to the same model. Nick argues Amazon is making a mistake and will have to reverse course the moment Walmart or Target defect and see the Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) lift. Brett makes the case that agents expand the market rather than divide it, pulling services, grocery, and home projects into e...

In this episode of Bitcoin Brainstorm, Rod Roudi, Cathie Wood, and Lorenzo Valente are joined by Rob Hamilton, Seth For Privacy, and Dhruv Bansal to discuss how rapidly advancing AI models are changing cybersecurity and Bitcoin security. The group examines the Coldcard vulnerability, the growing capabilities of open-weight models, and the resulting shift in the balance between attackers and defenders. They discuss AI-powered code auditing, self-custody and hardware wallet risks, the importance of domain expertise, and how teams can build continuous security systems around their software. The conversation also explores quantum computing threats, Bitcoin’s resilience, and why AI co...

In this episode of The Brainstorm, Sam, Nick, and Brett dig into Dario Amodei’s open letter calling on frontier labs to pace themselves, a position Elon Musk and Sam Altman both signaled agreement with. Brett argues the real risk is not extinction but agentic swarms mangling digital infrastructure that was never hardened for them, and that slowing the public frontier may hand closed labs both a wider lead and a defense business to sell. Nick pushes back on the competitive motives behind a federal AI regulator. Then Nick reports back from six days inside Meta’s Muse, the agen...

In this episode of The Brainstorm, Sam and Brett unpack Tesla’s Cybercab launch, a two-seat vehicle with no steering wheel and no pedals that Brett believes can operate at roughly 25 cents a mile, a level at which Waymo may not be able to stay gross profitable. They settle the debate over why Tesla would sell Cybercabs at all instead of owning the fleet outright, and what a 4.5x jump in robotaxi app users on the back of a deliberately low key event says about demand at half the price of an Uber. Then the team turns to OpenAI’s As...

Gautam Narang built India’s first customized humanoid robot as a teenager — then walked away from humanoids because they were nowhere near commercial. Today his company, Gatik, runs fully driverless trucks 24/7 across Texas, Arkansas, and Arizona for PepsiCo, Kroger, and Loblaw: dock to dock, no safety driver, no observer, no required remote monitoring. He tells Tasha Keeney and Daniel Maguire why Gatik took the contrarian bet on the middle mile while the rest of the industry chased long haul, how a $200,000-per-truck take-or-pay contract moves utilization risk off Gatik’s books, and why he believes autonomous trucking has moved from a...

In this episode of The Brainstorm, Sam and Brett unpack SpaceX’s $100 billion Louisiana buildout, one of the largest infrastructure projects in history, and why the returns on Starlink, AI satellites, and terrestrial data centers could pull capital away from everything else. Brett makes the case for an “AI riptide”: if AI infrastructure underwrites a $30 trillion knowledge work opportunity, borrowing costs rise for everyone outside the value chain, and otherwise healthy businesses get caught offsides. Then the team turns to Figure AI’s Index, a bid to solve robotics’ data problem by paying people to wear a camera while they do th...

In this episode of The Brainstorm, Sam, Nick, and Brett break down Merck and Moderna’s positive Phase 3 results for a personalized mRNA cancer vaccine, a treatment custom-built from each patient’s own tumor that cut mortality from advanced melanoma by roughly 50% versus the standard of care. The team digs into cost, manufacturing scale, and why the capital poured into mRNA during COVID may be paying off in oncology. Then Brett reports back from a weekend with Grok Bot, which recovered $75 of his wife’s forgotten escrow money on its first task, and the team debates why multiplayer agents could...

In this episode of The Brainstorm, Sam and Frank dig into the rumors of a multi-trillion-dollar Anthropic initial public offering (IPO). A company that started the year at $9 billion in run rate revenue may now be approaching $70 billion, adding more than a whole Salesforce in revenue in less than a year. The team walks through what a $2 trillion valuation would actually imply, why that multiple could land below public AI winners like Palantir and Cloudflare, and what the S1 might reveal about profitability. Then the conversation turns to the Pareto Frontier, where 14 of the 16 most cost-efficient models are proprietary...

In this episode of The Brainstorm, Sam, Nick, and Brett break down what may be a watershed moment for AI: OpenAI’s agents devised their own secret communication scheme, hacked out of their training sandbox, and attacked Hugging Face in search of test answers. The team debates what swarms of autonomous agents mean for cybersecurity, why the coming wave of open-source attackers could drive more spending into frontier labs, and whether “alignment” is even a coherent concept. Then, Zuckerberg’s latest essay on personal AI assistants raises a bigger question: if billions of consumers get their own agents, compute supply c...

In this episode of The Brainstorm, Sam and Nick and Brett discuss whether Tesla’s Shanghai factory could derail a rumored Tesla-SpaceX merger, and why both expect an announcement before the end of the year. Then, the team turns to AI economics: a benchmark that no model could crack at any price in January can now be beaten for 15 cents per task. With costs collapsing 99.99% on an annualized basis, the debate shifts to who actually wins, frontier labs, open source challengers, or the companies building AI hardware.

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In this episode of Bitcoin Brainstorm, Rod Roudi is joined by Cathie Wood, Lorenzo Valente, Steve Lee, Jesse Posner, and Paul Itoi to examine the growing convergence of Bitcoin, artificial intelligence, and energy. The group explores whether agents will settle in Bitcoin or stablecoins, why self-custodied AI could become essential for individuals and companies, and how open models, distributed compute, and Lightning payments may reshape collaboration. From Buzz and peer-to-peer inference to AI-assisted Bitcoin security and the changing structure of the firm, the conversation shows how open money and open intelligence could reinforce each other.

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In this episode of FYI, Tasha Keeney and Daniel Maguire sit down with Bobby Healy, founder and CEO of Manna, to examine the rapidly expanding drone delivery market. Bobby explains how Manna’s autonomous aircraft can deliver food and other goods within minutes, why its hot-swap architecture supports high-volume operations, and how regulation is opening the US market. They also discuss the operational challenges behind drone delivery, Manna’s use of ground robots and AI, opportunities across food, medical, grocery, and parcel delivery, and Bobby’s expectation that drone delivery will reach cities across the United States within five years...

In this episode of The Brainstorm, Tasha Keeney, Nicholas Grous, and Brett Winton uncover how SpaceX's latest Starship test flight is revolutionizing space travel, slashing launch costs, and how this potentially unlocks new commercial opportunities. Plus, a deep dive into AI’s rapid evolution, cost declines, and the real race behind the frontier of intelligent models.

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In this episode of The Brainstorm, Sam and Nick are joined by Frank Downing to discuss the shifting future of AI models. Most AI companies are focusing on smarter models, but the real game-changer may be how efficiently we run them — and how that shifts market power. When the biggest open source model ever, Kimi K3, launches with 2.8 trillion parameters, it challenges the economics of AI infrastructure and the assumptions about who holds the power in AI innovation. 

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In this episode of FYI, Brett Winton hosts Dylan Robbins, founder and CEO of Lucra Sports, to discuss how white-label gamification is reshaping brand loyalty. Dylan traces Lucra's evolution from a peer-to-peer sports betting app built at Stanford Business School into an enterprise software platform that powers leaderboards, challenges, tournaments, payments, and compliance for brands across fitness, hospitality, competitive entertainment, mobile gaming, and recreational sports. He explains why won rewards get redeemed when coupons don't, how partners like Dave & Buster's and Puttshack drive more visits, longer dwell times, and higher spend per visit, and how Lucra is using AI...

In this episode of The Brainstorm, Brett, Sam, and Nick are joined by Frank Downing to break down how OpenAI, Anthropic, Meta, and X are competing on performance, pricing, and deployment strategy as the AI market gets more efficient. Frank Downing explains why the economics of AI matter as much as the benchmarks, while Brett Winton argues the true “iPhone moment” for agentic AI may still be ahead.

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In this episode of The Brainstorm, Brett and Sam are joined by Daniel Maguire to discuss Tesla’s Model Y L and what it could mean for family buyers and robotaxi strategy, plus Rocket Lab’s acquisition of Iridium and the growing importance of satellite bandwidth and launch capacity. The conversation also dives into the state of frontier AI models and open source vs. closed systems.

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In this episode of The Brainstorm, Brett, Sam, and Nick discuss SpaceX’s Starfall, a new orbital delivery concept that could move cargo anywhere on Earth at extraordinary speed and open up new possibilities for military logistics and space manufacturing. The team also breaks down why Apple is raising prices as memory costs surge across the hardware industry, driven by AI demand and constrained Dynamic Random-Access Memory (DRAM) supply. Finally, they debate whether open-weight models are starting to pressure frontier AI leaders like OpenAI and Anthropic, or whether this is just a temporary shift toward more efficient spending.

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In this episode of The Brainstorm, Brett, Sam, and Nick explore the future of prediction markets, cutting-edge medical AI, and the surprising power of global events to reshape financialization. You’ll discover how the World Cup has catapulted prediction markets into the spotlight, with volume trending towards over $100 billion annualized. We also uncover a revolutionary medical scanning device that promises to do high-definition ultrasound in a fraction of the cost and time, and break down the implications of accessible, frequent scans—tracking disease progression and enabling personalized health insights—while sparking debate on regulations, data privacy, and consumer bioscience.

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In this episode of The Brainstorm, Brett, Sam, and Nick explore how SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) could revolutionize the space and satellite industries, with Elon Musk’s trillion-dollar vision focusing on Starlink satellites and AI orbital data centers. They discuss the intricate financial strategies that could propel SpaceX to $400 billion in revenue, and how Tesla’s Robotaxis signal a massive investment opportunity in space-enabled infrastructure. Finally, they breakdown the news of Fox acquiring Roku, unlocking synergies in the connected television era, and why understanding these shifts is crucial for future tech dominance.

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In this episode of FYI, Brett Winton and Chase Prather host Andy Tang, partner at Draper Associates, to discuss how venture capital is evolving alongside AI, deep tech, and shifting market dynamics. Andy reflects on his 20-year investing career, the growing importance of AI-native companies, and why the cost of execution is rapidly declining for startups. The conversation explores founder psychology, the role of contrarian investing, and how Draper approaches unconventional ideas ranging from artificial wombs to AI-generated companies and personalized cancer therapies. Andy also shares insights on venture ecosystems, market cycles, and the characteristics that separate enduring founders...

In this episode of The Brainstorm, Brett and Nick discuss Apple's latest AI strategy announced at the 2026 Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC), including a major Siri upgrade. They explore how Apple's integration of Gemini models and on-device capabilities could transform Siri into a deeply personal AI companion. They also analyze the strategic moves of industry giants—Google, Microsoft, Anthropic, and SpaceX—and what their latest AI and data center investments mean for the future of computing, infrastructure, and enterprise value.

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In this episode of FYI, Brett Winton, Cathie Wood, and Charlie Roberts sit down with Bryan Johnson, founder of Blueprint and creator of Braintree. They explore his pursuit of extending human life and the broader philosophical shift toward valuing existence itself. Bryan shares the origin of his ideas, the role of AI in accelerating change, and why he believes humanity must rethink its priorities. The conversation also covers practical approaches to improving health today, including sleep, behavior, and measurement, alongside the long-term implications of longevity science.

In this episode of The Brainstorm, Brett, Nick and Sam are joined by Daniel Maguire to discuss Blue Origin's recent rocket explosion, which has sparked a pivotal discussion on the future of space launch dominance and AI infrastructure investments. They explore how industry giants like SpaceX might capitalize on these setbacks, potentially reshaping the competitive landscape with strategic infrastructure investments. 

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In this episode of Bitcoin Brainstorm, Rod Roudi is joined by Cathie Wood, Adam Back, Hunter Beast, Rob Hamilton, Ren Crypto Fish, and David Puell for a deep discussion on quantum computing and its implications for Bitcoin. The group examines the technical, financial, and governance challenges posed by advances in quantum technology, while also exploring the progress being made on post-quantum cryptography and Bitcoin security research. From institutional concerns and custodial infrastructure to migration paths and consensus-building, the conversation highlights how developers, researchers, and investors are collaboratively addressing one of Bitcoin’s most discussed long-term risks. 

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In this episode of The Brainstorm, Brett, Nick and Sam are joined by Daniel Maguire and Tasha Keeney to discuss the expected June 12th initial public offering (IPO) of SpaceX. SpaceX’s recently filed S-1 revealed a significant opportunity across launch, Starlink, AI compute, and orbital data centers. The team unpacks the bull and bear cases, Starship’s role, and whether SpaceX could become the backbone of future AI infrastructure.

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In this episode of FYI, Brett Winton is joined by David Puell, Nic Carter, and Alex Pruden to examine the potential risks quantum computing poses to Bitcoin. The group explores how advances in quantum technology could compromise cryptographic security, what a “broken” Bitcoin system might look like in practice, and the technical pathways for mitigation. They also debate upgrade strategies, trade-offs in post-quantum cryptography, and the controversial question of how to handle vulnerable coins, including those attributed to Satoshi.

00:00:00 Introduction to the discussion on Bitcoin and quantu...

Hyperliquid is revolutionizing global markets with its innovative blockchain, facilitating $3 trillion in annual volume and rivaling giants like Binance. In this episode, Lorenzo Valente reveals how hyperliquid's cutting-edge technology and products like perpetual futures are democratizing access to private markets and reshaping the future of trading.

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In this episode of The Brainstorm, Brett, Frank and Sam explore the groundbreaking deal between SpaceX and Anthropic, focusing on the implications for AI compute infrastructure, space-based data centers, and the economics behind data centers. 

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In this episode of FYI, Lorenzo Valente sits down with ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood and Changpeng Zhao (CZ), founder of Binance, to examine his journey from early life in China to building the world’s largest crypto exchange. CZ shares how Binance scaled rapidly, the regulatory challenges it faced, and how the crypto industry has evolved over the past decade. The conversation also covers institutional adoption, stablecoins, AI’s role in accelerating innovation, and CZ’s outlook on Bitcoin, exchanges, and the future of global finance.

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In this episode of The Brainstorm, Brett, Nick and Sam offer a comprehensive analysis of mega-cap tech companies, focusing on CapEx trends, AI integration, user engagement, and market demand. They discuss Meta's AI strategies, cloud spending, and the evolving landscape of digital entertainment and enterprise productivity.

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In this episode of The Brainstorm, Brett, Nick and Sam explore how AI is reshaping technology, from coding to consumer devices, and how SpaceX's acquisition of Cursor at a $60 billion valuation could redefine the future of technology. They delve into the strategic layers of AI, revealing insights into SpaceX's long-term advantage and the potential revolution in space launches and satellite deployment.

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In this episode of FYI, Brett Winton and Charles Roberts sit down with Michael Stewart of M12, Microsoft’s venture fund, to examine how AI is reshaping software, infrastructure, and investment strategy. Michael explains how M12 identifies emerging signals across the AI ecosystem, from generative AI adoption to enterprise spending shifts. The conversation covers the evolution from SaaS (software as a service) to AI-driven models, pricing dynamics, and the growing importance of compute efficiency. They also discuss future opportunities in consumer AI, material science, and the need to rethink the data center as demand for AI accelerates.

In this episode of The Brainstorm, Brett, Nick and Sam explore the emerging landscape of digital identity verification, focusing on World ID and its implications for online security, business models, and advertising. They discuss the technical challenges, regulatory hurdles, and future potential of proof of humanhood in a bot-dominated world.

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In this episode of The Brainstorm, Brett, Nick and Sam explore the latest developments in AI models like Mythos, the strategic moves of companies like Anthropic, OpenAI, and Meta, and the future of social networks in an AI-driven world. They discuss the implications of AI safety, compute constraints, market dynamics, and innovative social trust networks.

If you know ARK, then you probably know about our long-term research projections, like estimating where we will be 5-10 years from now! But just because we are long-term investors, doesn’t mean we don’t have strong views and opin...

In this episode of The Brainstorm, Brett, Nick and Sam explore the transformative impact of public and private space initiatives, focusing on how NASA's missions and SpaceX's innovations are accelerating progress toward lunar bases and Mars colonies. Discover the economic implications of SpaceX's reusable rockets and AI-powered satellites, and how these advancements are shaping a trillion-dollar industry.

If you know ARK, then you probably know about our long-term research projections, like estimating where we will be 5-10 years from now! But just because we are long-term investors, doesn’t mean we don’t have strong view...