Oil Markets

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By: S&P Global Commodity Insights

S&P Global Energy analysis of key oil price movements across the globe.

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US midterms: How much could change for oil markets?
Yesterday at 7:25 PM

Could a shift in Congress reshape oil policy or just intensify the scrutiny? The US midterm elections are just around the corner, with all 435 House seats and 35 Senate seats on the ballot Nov. 3. At stake is whether Republicans retain control of Congress or Democrats win one or both chambers and gain new leverage over the Trump administration's energy agenda. On the Oil Markets Podcast by S&P Global Energy, host Jeff Mower joins policy editors Kate Winston and Eamonn Brennan to explore what the US midterms could mean for sanctions, investment and fuel prices.


Russian diesel returns: Relief for tight European market?
10/15/2026

The resumption of Russian diesel exports could bring some relief to a constrained European market, but uncertainty remains high. This episode unpacks how the lifting of Russia's diesel export ban and the return of supply could reshape market balances.

 Join S&P Global Energy's Gary Clark, associate director, price reporting, and reporters Sophia Aung and Elza Turner as they dissect what is keeping European diesel tight and why prices remain particularly sensitive to geopolitical and other market-moving headlines.


Bonus episode: India's upstream reforms aim to unlock the next phase of deepwater exploration
10/13/2026

India is entering a pivotal phase in the development of its upstream oil and gas sector, with the government seeking to unlock the potential of deepwater and ultra-deepwater resources amid rising energy demand. Recent reforms have focused on improving access to acreage, strengthening fiscal and contractual terms, streamlining regulations, and reducing the risks associated with frontier exploration, while the Samudra Manthan initiative aims to expand subsurface data and introduce new cost-sharing measures for exploratory drilling.

In this bonus episode of the Platts Oil Markets podcast, Asia Energy Editor Sambit Mohanty examines India's evolving upstream landscape with India's...


Atlantic Basin Rising: Venezuela, Brazil and the New Oil Growth Story
10/08/2026

Latin America is becoming a critical engine of global oil supply growth. In this episode of the Platts Oil Markets Podcast, Jeff Mower is joined by Washington-based policy editor Kate Winston and Mexico editor Sheky Espejo to examine Venezuela's reopening to international energy companies, Brazil's record production and exploration push, and why the region is attracting renewed investment. As concerns persist over Middle East crude supplies and key shipping routes, the team explores how new barrels from the Atlantic Basin could reshape global oil markets.


Middle East supply concerns strengthen market for Russian oil
10/01/2026

Prices for Russian crude strengthened in September, amid lower domestic production and Middle East supply concerns while Russia's refining sector continues to face major challenges as a result of Ukrainian attacks. Russia has extended its diesel export ban and the US is considering introducing similar restrictions, driving prices higher and raising the risk of diesel deficits in the coming months. Recent comments from Russian and US officials have underlined the importance of diesel in negotiations between Russia, the US and Ukraine aimed at securing an energy ceasefire ahead of the winter season.   

In this episode of the Pl...


Asia eyes energy supply flexibility, shipping alternatives
09/24/2026

Asia's energy markets are navigating a period defined by heightened geopolitical risk, vulnerable maritime chokepoints, shifting trade flows, and growing uncertainty over supply security. With APPEC 2026 concluding earlier in September, discussions at the event highlighted how refiners, traders, shipowners, and policymakers are reassessing sourcing strategies, inventories, freight exposure, compliance requirements, and the role of trusted price benchmarks. In this episode of Platts Oil Markets Podcast, Asia Energy Editor Sambit Mohanty discusses some of the key takeaways from APPEC with Bao Ying Ng, global director for strategic engagements at S&P Global Energy, Benjamin Tang, head of liquid bulk at...


Geopolitics rattle European distillate markets, send prices soaring
09/17/2026

Distillate prices are rising as escalating tensions in the Middle East and Russia inject fresh uncertainty into global energy markets. Join S&P Global Energy's Gary Clark, associate director, price reporting, alongside reporters Sophia Aung and Aruni Sunil, as they examine how geopolitical risks, supply disruptions, and a tightening physical market are underpinning a bullish outlook for distillates. They also explore the impact of constrained supply, low inventories, and shifting trade flows on consumers, and assess whether relief is on the horizon. 


Global diesel shortages squeeze the Americas
09/14/2026

Diesel markets are entering their most stressful stretch of the year as record prices, thin inventories and disrupted supply flows collide across the Americas. In this episode of the Oil Markets Podcast, Jeff Mower speaks with Janet McGurty, Kauanna Navarro and Carlos Castillo about how constraints in Russia and the Middle East have pushed US Gulf Coast refiners into the role of global swing supplier, why Brazil is relying more heavily on US and Indian cargoes, and how limited refinery spare capacity leaves markets with little room for error.


Naphtha's post-Hormuz reality: tight supply, wide arbs and a bullish gasoline pull
09/03/2026

Middle East export disruptions, soaring gasoline demand and shifting trade flows have reshaped global naphtha markets over the past six months. Join Gary Clark, associate director, price reporting, and Barbara Fernandez-Pita, senior price reporter, as they break down what prompted the multiyear highs in gasoline blending demand for naphtha, the widening East-West arbitrage, propane's growing advantage over naphtha at the steam crackers and the Rhine logistics issues disrupting Europe's petrochemical sector.


APPEC to focus on Asia's energy resilience, vulnerability in a fragmented market
08/27/2026

Energy markets are once again being tested by geopolitics. With fragile shipping routes and shifting trade patterns, energy security has returned to the top of the agenda. As the industry prepares for APPEC 2026, hosted by S&P Global Energy, the focus is no longer just on market access but on securing reliable, long-term energy supplies. Asia remains the center of gravity for global energy demand, yet the region's priorities are evolving. The industry's biggest questions are: Where will reliable energy come from? How will trade flows shift? And how can the region balance growth with decarbonization?

In...


Regional bottlenecks and strong product margins boost European gasoline prices
08/20/2026

As summer driving reaches its seasonal peak, European gasoline production faces challenging chokepoints amid broader macro trends reshaping supply and demand fundamentals. In this episode, S&P Global Energy's Emma Kettley is joined by Friedrich Gutsche and Rebeka Foley to discuss how restrictive domestic flows have weighed on gasoline blending economics, adding pressure on the regional supply balance, amid historically low Rhine water levels. Tune in to find out how these trends will play out ahead of the market's transition from summer to winter, and uncover how global dynamics are shaping regional consumer demand. 


Oil earnings divide: Producers grow, refiners thrive
08/13/2026

North American oil companies delivered a striking second-quarter earnings season. Upstream producers raised output guidance while maintaining capital discipline, arguing that efficiency gains, not higher spending, are driving growth. Meanwhile, refiners benefited from some of the strongest margins since 2022, fueled by robust diesel and jet fuel demand, lower Chinese exports, refinery outages in Russia, and Middle East-related disruptions. Jeff Mower is joined by Janet McGurty and Ashok Dutta to unpack the key earnings themes shaping oil markets.


When the river runs dry: how low Rhine water levels are reshaping Europe's oil market
08/06/2026

The Rhine River is one of Europe's most important trade arteries, carrying diesel, gasoil, and other refined products from the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp hub to consumers across Germany, Switzerland, and beyond. As water levels fall toward historic lows, barges are carrying reduced loads, freight costs are surging, and supply chains are coming under increasing pressure. With Rhine water levels approaching record lows, Europe's energy industry faces mounting logistical challenges that threaten to disrupt the inland movement of fuel. In this episode, Emma Kettley, price reporting associate director, EMEA crude and fuel oil, joins Middle Distillate Price Reporters David Neef and Sophia A...


Diesel supply constraints impact flows to Brazil
07/30/2026

Diesel prices have soared, driven by supply constraints through the Strait of Hormuz and by the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine. Ukraine has been able to knock out a sizable percentage of Russia's refining capacity, shrinking global supplies.

Where does that leave Brazil, which has been dependent on diesel imports from Russia? How do Brazil's price subsidies impact diesel supplies? What role could India play in supplying diesel fuel? What policy options, if any, does the Trump administration have to solve the supply problem? Join Jeff Mower, S&P Global Energy's director of Americas oil news...


Asian refined products markets in focus as Strait of Hormuz uncertainty returns
07/23/2026

Renewed tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz have refocused attention on supply security, freight costs and export flows across Asian refined products markets. While demand for gasoline, gasoil, jet fuel and naphtha remained broadly resilient, market participants are once again assessing the risk of disruptions to Middle Eastern exports and their impact on regional trade flows.

 In this episode of the Platts Oil Markets Podcast, Jonathan Nonis, Associate Editorial Director, is joined by the Asian oil product editorial team of Wanda Wang, Rachelle Teo and Joshua Ong to discuss how renewed geopolitical uncertainty is influencing gasoline, gasoil, jet...


How have plummeting Russian diesel exports affected cracks across the European middle distillates space?
07/16/2026

The announcement of a Russian ban on diesel exports following supply shortages at gas stations across the country has spurred cracks to widen significantly in the European market at a time when product markets continue to face uncertainty over the recovery of supply from the Persian Gulf and crude markets face pressure from low Chinese demand.

In this episode, Gary Clark, associate director, price reporting, Elza Turner, global lead specialist, price reporting, Virginie Malicier, price reporting manager, and senior price reporter Patrick McAllister peel back the key developments behind the recent pricing movements, providing an update on...


US oil and gas M&A activity slows despite high prices and favorable regulatory regime
07/09/2026

Aside from a handful of high-profile deals, merger and acquisition activity in the US oil and gas sector has been tepid in recent months even as war in the Middle East pushed oil prices to multi-year highs.

In this episode, S&P Global Energy's Christopher van Moessner, editor, oil futures, is joined by Americas news editor Ashok Dutta and senior reporter Eamonn Brennan to discuss the outlook for M&A activity in the sector and how it has been impacted by a White House that from the start has positioned itself as pro-oil. They dig into how t...


How have European fuel oil markets responded to the Middle Eastern conflict?
07/02/2026

The effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz following escalating tensions in the Middle East sent European fuel oil imports from the Gulf plummeting 95% in the first half of 2026. Supply chains faced unprecedented disruption while risk premiums skyrocketed across the bunker market.

In this episode, S&P Global Energy's Emma Kettley, associate director, price reporting, is joined by reporters Joseph Jaffe, Iman Rezig and Awa Bobb in examining how different fuel oil grades responded to the crisis, from high sulfur fuel oil cracks surging into positive territory to bunker-barge spreads widening over 200% from pre-war levels. They dissect...


Chokepoint geopolitics: Implications for Asia's downstream and upstream sectors
06/25/2026

Asia's energy security has always rested on a difficult bargain -- deep reliance on Middle Eastern crude in exchange for scale, proximity and established commercial relationships. The recent conflict tested that bargain in real time, forcing refiners, traders and governments to reroute supply, reassess risk and confront the true cost of dependence. As risk premiums fade and markets move from crisis response to post-war recalibration, the bigger question is no longer just where the next cargo comes from -- it is whether Asia can build a more resilient energy supply system. In this  episode of Platts Oil Markets podcast b...


How is Europe dealing with its seasonal uptick in road fuel appetite?
06/18/2026

As summer travel is getting into its stride, European supply chains for diesel and gasoline are geared to meet the seasonal uptick in road fuel demand. However, with production operating near capacity, demand may outpace available supply, possibly altering consumption patterns and prompting end-users to switch to alternative modes of transport.

In this episode, Gary Clark, Friedrich Gutsche, Sophia Aung, and Elza Turner uncover how recent price developments in European road fuel markets amid easing supply tightness have been providing relief for end-consumers. Tune in to find out how the World Cup, government policy, and the Middle...


Hormuz Headwinds an Opportunity for Latin American Oil Producers
06/11/2026

With Strait of Hormuz constraints reshaping global supply routes, Latin America is stepping into the spotlight. In this episode, Jeff Mower, Kate Winston, Sheky Espejo and Charles Newbery unpack how producers across the region are positioned for upstream expansion. What are producers learning from Argentina's drive to boost Vaca Muerta oil output and exports? What does Colombia's upcoming election mean for oil growth? What will it take for investors to spend in Venezuela? Let's dive into what could drive the next wave of growth.

 


How European crude became oversupplied amid deep supply crisis
06/04/2026

The global crude oil market continues to see disrupted exports from the Middle East. Yet, with soft Asian demand and the release of strategic reserves around the world, Europe now finds itself struggling to place excess crude oil barrels ahead of peak summer demand.

 

To examine the latest development in European crude oil balances, S&P Global Energy's Gary Clark, associate director, is joined by frontline price reporters Ernest Puey and Patrick McAllister to unpack supply drivers that have led to the current supply glut.


Tighter routes: How Hormuz disruption is reshaping Asian jet fuel markets
05/28/2026

The disruption to flows through the Strait of Hormuz is rapidly reshaping the Asian jet fuel market at a critical juncture, just as seasonal demand accelerates ahead of the peak summer travel period. As one of the world's most important energy chokepoints, the Strait has long facilitated the movement of significant volumes of Middle Eastern jet fuel. The loss of these flows is now forcing market participants to reassess supply security, trade routes, and pricing dynamics across the region.

In this episode of the Platts Oil Markets Podcast, Jonathan Nonis, associate editorial director, is joined by members o...


The global LPG divide: Why Europe and Asia are moving in opposite directions
05/21/2026

European and Asian LPG fundamentals have sharply diverged following the disruption to flows through the Strait of Hormuz in late February and early March. The supply shock sent Asian propane prices sharply higher, tightened availability, and disrupted petrochemical demand. Meanwhile, the European market, especially the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp hub, has remained comparatively well supplied and under pressure.

To examine the latest trends in this segment, S&P Global Energy's Gary Clark, the associate director of the EMEA clean refined price reporting team, is joined by Senior Price Reporter Barbara Fernandez-Pita to help explain how record US exports, surging freight...


US exports hit record high as Middle East war blocks Persian Gulf supply
05/14/2026

US crude exports have hit record high in April as buyers looked far afield to replace barrels that have been blocked by the Middle East war and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz. The surge in demand has been a boon for US suppliers, and there has been a scramble to overcome infrastructure constraints in order to push exports even higher. With Persian Gulf supply unlikely to return at pre-war levels anytime soon, are markets seeing a temporary dislocation or a more durable shift in global crude flows? 

In this episode of Platts Oil Markets P...


Bonus episode: Hedging through the storm - can India's Dated Brent contract reshape risk landscape?
05/12/2026

India's crude imports are climbing, not just in volume, but in complexity. As the country widens its pool of suppliers, it is also exposing itself to a more fragmented pricing landscape. But here is the challenge -- in a world where geopolitical conflicts and supply shocks can send prices soaring overnight, how do you protect the energy sector and the economy from extreme volatility?


In this bonus episode of Platts Oil Markets Podcast by S&P Global Energy, Asia Energy Editor Sambit Mohanty is joined by Gouri Shankar, vice president for product strategy at the National...


European middle distillate flows shift on Persian Gulf supply constraints
05/07/2026

With more than two months having passed since the beginning of the war in the Middle East, a conflict that has tightened refined oil product flows through the Strait of Hormuz, market participants have been grappling with major upheaval in middle distillate trade routes as Europe seeks to replace lost Middle East supply.

To examine the latest trends in this vital segment, S&P Global Energy's Emma Kettley, associate director, price reporting, is joined by reporters David Neef and Patrick McAllister to unpack how Europe has adapted to the disruptions to its key supply source in the...


Service company earnings: Infrastructure shifts, e-fleets, and Latin American growth
04/30/2026

In this episode of the Oil Markets Podcast from S&P Global Energy, host Jeff Mower dives into first-quarter earnings from major oil and gas service companies, including SLB, Baker Hughes, and Halliburton. Joined by S&P Global editors Binish Azhar, Sheky Espejo, and J. Robinson, the panel explores the sector's strategic pivot toward energy infrastructure and generation amid geopolitical uncertainties.

Why are US shale producers still focused on completions despite high oil prices? How are surging diesel prices and record-low natural gas prices at the Waha hub driving the industry shift from diesel-powered frack spreads to natura...


From Hormuz to Asia: the ripple effects on oil trade, prices, and economies
04/23/2026

The conflict in the Middle East has sent ripples across the global energy landscape, with the spotlight on the Strait of Hormuz -- the critical artery for Asia-Pacific's energy imports. Amid trade flow disruptions, the path to recovery, the resilience of physical oil markets, and the broader economic consequences are under intense scrutiny. While the return to normalcy, the evolving dynamics of oil storage, the transmission of supply shocks to Asian economies, and the policy responses shaping the region's future energy strategy are some of the key themes that are dominating the discussions, the market is also looking for...


Atlantic physical crude dynamics following Dated Brent's all-time high
04/16/2026

Dated Brent's record high assessment by Platts of $144.42/barrel stole the headlines on April 7, but physical market fundamentals in the Atlantic basin have similarly brought cash differentials for individual crude oil grades across the North Sea, West Africa and the Mediterranean upwards to levels that, in some cases, have never been seen before.

In this episode, Associate Director Emma Kettley is joined by frontline reporters Ernest Puey and George Delaney to explore the impact the war in the Middle East is having on the physical crude oil markets in the European and African region.


Hormuz chokepoint: Global scramble for diesel supply
04/09/2026

As traffic inches back through the Strait of Hormuz, oil and product flows remain constrained, sending buyers scrambling to replace Middle East barrels and lock in reliable diesel supply. With nearly 6 million b/d of Middle East refining capacity at stake, and roughly 4 million b/d of refined products flows, diesel prices have soared, opening export opportunities. Where are buyers turning for diesel, and what policy tools are governments using to soften price shocks? Jeff Mower, Americas Oil News Director, unpacks these issues with Brazil Refined Products Manager Renato Rostas, Americas Middle Distillates Managing Editor Aaron Tucker, and Mexico...


Nigeria's Dangote refinery takes spotlight amid Middle East conflict
04/02/2026

As the conflict in the Middle East has raised the specter of global fuel shortages, Nigeria's new Dangote refinery has attracted growing attention as an alternative supplier. After starting up in 2024, the refinery reached its initial 650,000 b/d capacity for the first time earlier in 2026 and has seen a growing demand for its products from markets further afield.

In this podcast, Gary Clark, associate director, EMEA clean refined products at S&P Global Energy, is joined by Matthew Tracey-Cook, senior price reporter on West African refined products, and Kelly Norways, a journalist on the oil news team...


CERAWEEK 2026: With Hormuz shut, who fills the gap?
03/31/2026

From CERAWEEK 2026 in Houston, host Jeff Mower, Director of Americas Oil News, is joined by Senior Upstream Editor Ashok Dutta, oil news editor Binish Azhar, and oil policy reporter Eamonn Brennan to break down the conference's energy security focus. With the Strait of Hormuz largely closed and the Trump administration negotiating with Tehran while signaling it wants to cap oil price spikes, policymakers and executives clash over how fast supply can respond. The crew explores non-Middle East supply opportunities, including rising US Gulf Coast crude fixtures, constrained by pipeline and completion capacity, and a new wave of Canadian barrels pu...


Strait of Hormuz uncertainty, Asia's LPG scramble as Middle East flows stall
03/26/2026

Tensions between US-Israel and Iran are disrupting flows in the Strait of Hormuz, forcing Asia's LPG market to manage surging prices and shifting optimization to urgent supply management. With Middle East shipments threatened, especially for India and China facing low inventories and weak PDH margins, buyers are scrambling for alternative supplies and shipping.

The Platts Oil Markets Podcast covers the immediate impacts: stalled vessels, rising freight rates, record high premiums, and a rapid move toward US LPG diversification, despite export terminal disruptions. The episode also looks ahead at inventory strategies, diversification of supply sources, and whether this...


Europe's jet fuel prices rally to record highs on Persian Gulf shut-in
03/19/2026

Benchmark jet fuel assessments by Platts have reached all-time highs on the back of war in the Middle East. With vital middle distillate supplies locked in the Persian Gulf owing to the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, the knock-on impact for both physical and financial refined products markets in Europe has been unprecedented.

In this episode of the Platts Oil Markets podcast, Gary Clark, Associate Director for EMEA Clean Refined Products, is joined by frontline reporters Aruni Sunil and Patrick McAllister to discuss the latest dynamics in the European jet fuel market.


War, Hormuz and the Fuel Price Shock
03/12/2026

After US and Israeli strikes on Iran and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, oil markets have been on a rollercoaster. While crude has rallied above $100/b, refined fuels have surged even more sharply.

In this episode of the Oil Markets Podcast, host Jeff Mower, Director of Americas Oil News, is joined by Senior Refining Editor Janet McGurty and Senior Refined Products Price Reporters Ben Peyton and Laura Huchzermeyer to break down what's driving the spike in diesel,  jet fuel, and gasoline prices.

Is California heading toward a fuel shortage as refinery closures and gl...


Crude and oil products markets shaken by major conflict in the Middle East
03/04/2026

US and Israeli strikes on Iran since Feb. 28 have led to a major regional conflict, which has rocked geopolitics and resonated across the global oil supply chain. Vessel transits across the vital Strait of Hormuz have been stunted, while physical and financial oil markets have seen a major uptick in volatility. In this episode of the Platts Oil Markets podcast, Herman Wang is joined by Lauren Holtmeier, Ada Taib, and Gary Clark to discuss the latest developments on the ground from the Middle East, in addition to the wider knock-on impacts for crude oil markets in Asia and refined p...


Asian refiners weigh impact on crude flows from geopolitical developments
02/26/2026

The outlook for Russian and Venezuelan crude flows, as well as geopolitical developments in Iran, are keeping Asian refiners on edge. Indian refineries have valued heavy Venezuelan crudes in their mix in the past, but will be looking out for signals of stable oil flows from the country. Meanwhile, the country's imports of Russian crude have decreased as sanctions have intensified.

In this episode of Platts Oil Markets Podcast, Sambit Mohanty, Asia Energy Editor, Benjamin Tang, head of liquid bulk at S&P Global Commodities at Sea, and Pulkit Agarwal, Head of Content for India, discuss these...


Dissecting the oil market headlines from London's IE Week
02/19/2026

Geopolitics and its impact on pricing and trade flows were the talk of the town as oil market participants convened in the cobbled streets of London across Feb. 9-13 for International Energy Week, one of the most important events in the industry's calendar.

Following a blockbuster 2026 edition, S&P Global Energy's John Morley, global director of crude and fuel oil markets, sits down with Associate Directors Emma Kettley and Gary Clark to discuss the key takeaways from the week covering the full breadth of the oil complex with crude, fuel oil and refined product dynamics in view.<...


Upstream Ambitions, Refining Resilience: What Earnings Season Signals for 2026
02/12/2026

In this episode of the Oil Markets Podcast by S&P Global Energy, host Jeff Mower, Director of Americas Oil News, is joined by Senior Refining Editor Janet McGurty and Senior Upstream Editor Ashok Dutta to break down the biggest takeaways from fourth-quarter oil earnings so far.

How are Gulf Coast refiners positioning for a potential return of Venezuelan heavy crude — and what does it mean for heavy crude differentials? On the upstream side, are shale producers truly delivering "more with less" in the Permian through new technologies and lower costs? What's driving the next wave of M...