Markets Daily
Your no-BS market brief, every weekday at 7am. Brought to you by Jellypod.
Gridlock Relief Sparks a Post-Election Rally
Ray Calloway breaks down Wall Street's post-midterm relief rally as markets price in government gridlock following a Democratic sweep of Congress. Plus, pre-market movers across healthcare and energy, a Bull vs. Bear debate on the tape's durability, and what to watch on today's economic and earnings calendars.
Election Day Markets, Post-Earnings Selloffs, and the Midterm Playbook
Ray Calloway breaks down pre-market action on Election Day, examining how Wall Street is pricing potential congressional outcomes alongside crude volatility and high Treasury yields.
Plus, a deep dive into post-earnings drops from Apple, Palantir, and Shopify, upbeat reports from Pfizer and Marathon Petroleum, and a Bull vs. Bear debate on post-midterm market seasonality.
Futures Bounce, Oil Tumbles, and Oracle's $20B Raise
Futures rebound following Friday's sharp sell-off as crude oil drops over six percent, providing early market relief. Host Ray Calloway breaks down pre-market earnings movers, debates the impact of Oracle's $20 billion capital raise, and previews key manufacturing data alongside after-hours reports from Apple and Palantir.
Tech Stumbles on Amazon and Intel as Energy Flexes Cash
Ray Calloway breaks down tech's pre-market slump following earnings and heavy AI spending from Amazon and Intel, contrasting the selloff with cash-returning energy giants Exxon and Chevron. Plus, an overnight global tape check, pre-market movers across healthcare and staples, and a look at the morning's Employment Cost Index data.
Tech's Cash Flow Divide, Hot Data, and Pre-Bell Rotation
Ray Calloway breaks down diverging earnings from Alphabet and Microsoft, along with strong 3.4% GDP data and sticky PCE inflation prints. Plus, a look at early movers across sectors, major retail and cybersecurity shifts, and what to watch with Amazon reporting after the close.
Fed Decision Looms as AI Optimism Clashes with Energy Squeeze
Grant Calloway previews the market before the bell ahead of the Federal Reserve's rate decision, analyzing how a potential hawkish pause and rising oil prices impact the ongoing AI buildout. Plus, a look at early movers across sectors, including Vertiv, GE Vernova, Boston Scientific, and Robinhood, alongside overnight action and key tech earnings on deck.
Brazil's Shockwaves, SoFi Earnings Beat, and Yields Test 5%
Grant Calloway breaks down early morning futures, the global fallout from Brazil's historic post-election selloff, and key mover earnings from SoFi, JetBlue, and Royal Caribbean. Plus, a Bull vs. Bear debate on consumer resilience as the 10-year Treasury yield hovers near five percent ahead of the Federal Reserve's rate decision.
Anthropic's S-1 Drops, Oil Cools, and Brazil Slides
Ray Calloway breaks down Anthropic's public S-1 filing, cooling oil prices, and early-morning earnings from Verizon. Plus, a look at Brazil's premarket tumble and the bull-versus-bear case ahead of Wednesday's Fed decision.
Bonds Rally, Oil Bites: A Market Caught Between Two Worries
A tech selloff sends investors into Treasuries, while oil above $100 keeps inflation worries alive. Ray weighs the bull and bear cases, checks the latest earnings and telecom headlines, and looks ahead to flash PMIs and consumer sentiment.
Big Tech Beats, Chips Break: Is This a Dip or a Breakdown?
Meta and Tesla beat on earnings but fell as investors questioned their spending plans, while a disappointing Lam Research outlook sent chip stocks lower and dragged futures down. Ray Calloway weighs whether the semiconductor selloff is a dip or a breakdown, with rising oil prices, bond yields, global markets and the day’s economic calendar in view.
United’s Fuel Test: Can Demand Outrun $100 Oil?
United Airlines’ record revenue couldn’t offset soaring fuel costs, and its sharply lower fourth-quarter outlook puts oil and fare pricing in the spotlight. Ray Calloway surveys the mixed global tape, company movers, elevated yields and today’s key earnings and data, then weighs whether strong demand can withstand higher energy and borrowing costs.
GE’s Big Quarter Meets the $100 Oil Test
Ray Calloway breaks down GE Aerospace’s strong third-quarter results and raised outlook, while weighing the risks of $100-plus oil and elevated interest rates. Plus, a look at market movers, housing data, upcoming earnings, and what United Airlines may reveal about fuel costs.
Cleveland-Cliffs Surges as Markets Test a Rebound
Cleveland-Cliffs’ strong results and upbeat outlook lead the morning brief, as markets weigh a futures bounce against elevated Treasury yields, French turmoil and unsettled oil prices. Ray Calloway also checks in on cross-sector movers, the day’s calendar and whether the rebound has staying power.
Warsh Cools the Rate-Hike Panic—for Now
Ray Calloway breaks down Friday’s relief rally as Fed Chair Kevin Warsh pushes back on near-term rate-hike fears, while inflation pressures and higher import prices keep the December outlook uncertain. The episode also covers Treasury yields, bank and industrial earnings, key premarket movers, and what to watch on the calendar.
TSMC Beats, Tech Breaks: The AI Debt Test
Tech stocks sell off again despite TSMC’s strong results, as hotter-than-expected producer prices revive rate concerns and high borrowing costs put the AI data-center buildout under scrutiny. We weigh the bull and bear cases, track global markets and company earnings, and preview the economic reports that could shape the next move.
CPI Resurges on Oil Shock: Will the Fed Hike Again?
A hotter-than-expected September CPI report and surging oil prices rattle Wall Street, putting pressure back on the Federal Reserve and Treasury yields. Plus, we break down mixed earnings results from Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and BlackRock.
Goldman Smashes Earnings, Dimon Warns of Shifting Ground
Grant Calloway breaks down the kickoff of Q3 earnings season, examining massive beats from Goldman Sachs and UnitedHealth against Jamie Dimon's stark economic warning. Plus, an analysis of the growing divergence between the Dow and the Nasdaq as yields linger above 5%.
Oil Surges as Truce Talks Collapse in Ukraine and the Middle East
Crude oil rebounds as weekend strikes by Russia on Ukraine's energy grid and Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia shatter fragile truce hopes. We break down how rising geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe and the Middle East are pushing Brent and WTI higher to start the week.
Delta's Fuel Shock Tests the Limits of Pricing Power
Grant Calloway breaks down Delta Air Lines' earnings miss as surging fuel bills test corporate pricing power despite strong consumer demand. Plus, an analysis of market futures, SpaceX's spectrum deal, and the ongoing tension between robust earnings growth and volatile energy costs.
Fed Friction, $100 Oil, and PepsiCo's Margins
Grant Calloway breaks down the Fed's divided rate hike minutes, surging oil prices, and rising bond yields. Plus, an inside look at earnings from PepsiCo and Levi Strauss to see if corporate cost-cutting can truly outrun tightening macroeconomic pressure.
Yield Shock: 30-Year Rates Hit 5.7% as Fed Minutes Loom
With the 30-year Treasury yield touching 24-year highs and crude oil back above $100, Grant breaks down market tension ahead of the Fed's crucial meeting minutes. Plus, an analysis of Constellation Brands' messy earnings drop and whether earnings growth can realistically outrun surging interest rates.
Yields at 24-Year Highs: Are Stocks Brave or Blind?
Grant Calloway breaks down why equities are touching record highs even as the 10-year Treasury yield spikes to a 24-year peak of 5.31%. Plus, a look at cooling oil prices, big premarket moves, and the bull versus bear case for this divided market.
Stocks Rally, Bonds Push Back on Weak Jobs Data
Stocks are rallying on softer Fed hike odds after a weak jobs report, but the bond market is refusing to cooperate as the 10-year yield stays near multi-decade highs. We also break down the split between AI mega caps and the rest of the market, plus key moves in energy, Europe, and the day’s biggest stock movers.
Weak Jobs Data, Rate Relief, and the Market’s First Move
We break down the weak September payrolls report, the big July and August revisions, and what softer wages could mean for rates, valuations, and the market’s first reaction. Then we scan standout movers like Nike, Synaptics, Moderna, and Fair Isaac to separate discount-rate trades from real earnings and demand stories.
Show Notes
Nike Plans a Smaller Company as Sales Slide Weighs on Shares - WSJ: https://www.wsj.com/business/earnings/nike-projects-sales-decline-this-year-after-lower-first-quarter-revenue-3b845fa0Micron, Market Breadth, and the Rally Test
Markets are sending mixed signals as oil and Treasury yields stay elevated, even while stock futures hold firm. The episode breaks down Micron’s sold-out chip demand, tariff risks, and why breadth, jobs data, and upcoming Fed remarks may decide whether the rally has real legs.
Show Notes
Micron Says 75% of 2027 Output Already Committed, Stock Flat in ...: https://www.benzinga.com/markets/earnings/26/10/62098162/micron-75-percent-output-committed-mu-stock-analyst-explainsInflation Cools, Fed Bets Fade, and AI Valuations Explode
Markets react to cooler-than-expected inflation data and softer October rate-hike odds, while the episode weighs mixed labor signals, a stubbornly high Treasury yield, and what it all means for stocks, housing, and the dollar.
The conversation then turns to the AI trade, from a jaw-dropping Anthropic valuation rumor to real-world costs hitting major companies, plus key stock movers and the data releases to watch next.
Oil Shock, Yield Spike, and the Illusion of Market Strength
Oil spikes on renewed Strait of Hormuz tensions, Treasury yields jump, and gold gets hit as rate-hike odds surge. Beneath the surface, a handful of mega-cap winners are masking weak market breadth, rising mortgage stress, and growing cracks in consumer and housing data.
Stocks Ignore 5% Yields as AI and Consumer Fault Lines Grow
Markets are shrugging off a surge in Treasury yields as strong growth, cooling oil, and a U.S.-China trade truce help keep stocks afloat. We also break down the split beneath the surface: AI infrastructure and semiconductors are powering higher while consumer names wobble, with Oracle’s data center warning and a possible Fed hike adding to the tension.
Yields Spike, Oil Rises, and the Fed Stays Hawkish
Markets are under pressure as the 10-year Treasury yield hits a 19-year high, oil climbs above $93, and traders price in a strong chance of another Fed hike. We also break down key stock moves, the bull versus bear case for equities, and the economic data and Treasury auction to watch next.
Treasury Yields Spike as Fed Hike Odds Jump
Stocks are under pressure as the 10-year Treasury yield hits a 19-year high, raising the odds of another Fed hike and sending valuation-sensitive names lower. We also break down the latest jobless claims, key premarket movers, and what today’s U.S.-China trade talks could mean for energy and agriculture.
Yields Top 5% as Buffett Steps Aside at Berkshire
Markets open with Treasury yields above 5%, Fed policy shifting, and a sharp debate over whether resilient labor and housing data can offset higher borrowing costs. The episode also covers Buffett’s Berkshire transition, moves in crypto-linked stocks, and the day’s key catalysts, including PMI data and the EIA crude inventory report.
Markets Split as Yields Near 5% and Oil Stays Hot
Markets are wrestling with a split tape as 10-year Treasury yields near 5% and crude oil holds near $98, putting pressure on tech while cyclicals and financials find support. The episode also breaks down major premarket stock movers, the day’s key economic data, and Fed speakers that could shape the next move.
Fed Hike Shock, Weak Breadth, and a Volatile Week Ahead
An in-depth market briefing on the Federal Reserve’s first rate hike in years, the shaky breadth beneath the S&P 500, and rising pressure from higher yields, oil prices, and global liquidity shifts. The episode also previews a packed week of earnings and economic data that could shape the next move in stocks.
5% Yields, Fed Hike Fallout, and Market Crosscurrents
Markets are rattled as the 10-year Treasury yield hovers near 5%, futures split, and traders weigh the fallout from the Fed’s first rate hike in more than three years. We break down the bull and bear cases, the Bank of Japan’s surprise dissent, and what looming economic data could mean for banks, tech, and the broader market.
Fed Hikes Again as Yields Hit 5%
The Fed delivers its first rate hike in three years, sending stocks lower as the 10-year Treasury yield pushes above 5% and Brent crude stays near $100. We break down the market reaction, the bull vs. bear case for the move, and the key data and earnings to watch next.
Show Notes
Stock market today: Live updates - CNBC: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/15/stock-market-today-live-updates.htmlMarkets Brace for a Fed Hike as Yields Hit 5%
Markets are bracing for a likely Fed rate hike as 10-year Treasury yields hover near 5% and oil stays above $100, putting pressure on equities, housing, and corporate earnings. We also break down the latest moves in Amazon, Novo Nordisk, crypto after the Senate’s failed Clarity Act vote, and why historical rate-hike cycles may point to a rebound after the initial selloff.
Markets Brace as Yields Test 5% Ahead of Fed Decision
Wall Street is under pressure as Treasury yields flirt with 5%, crude oil hovers near $100, and traders brace for a high-stakes Fed meeting. We break down the market reaction, the case for a quarter-point hike, and the key retail sales and earnings data that could shape tomorrow’s decision.
Treasury Yields Jump as Fed Hike Odds Climb
Markets are reacting to a hotter-than-expected core CPI print, rising Treasury yields, and shifting odds for a Fed move next week. The episode weighs the soft landing case against the risk of a policy mistake, while previewing key setup points for the trading week ahead.
CPI Showdown, $100 Oil, and the Fed’s Next Move
Markets are on edge ahead of the August CPI release as stubborn core inflation, surging oil prices, and climbing Treasury yields reshape expectations for the Fed’s next move. The episode also breaks down Kroger’s earnings, premarket sector rotation, and the bulls-versus-bears debate over whether rate hikes can tame a supply-driven shock.
Oil Spike, Yield Surge, and the Pre-PPI Market Crossroads
Markets are under pressure as crude surges above $105, the 10-year Treasury yield jumps toward 4.92%, and tech stocks slide before the open. We break down the bull and bear cases, global ripple effects, and the key catalysts ahead, including the latest PPI release and Fed commentary.