The Rush Lindell Show

On Thursday, October 29, Rush and Reagan put their midterm picks in ink, and they agree on only two Senate races.

Reagan brings the math, Rush brings the gut, and every call goes on the record before Tuesday with no edits afterward.

The baseline. Kalshi prices Democrats at about 64 percent to win Senate control. That is market pricing, not a poll or a forecast.

The Senate map. Texas, Ohio, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Alaska and Kansas each get a pick and a one-sentence reason. Rush refuses to hedge, and Reagan admits Maine is her...

Tuesday, October 27: the Fed is expected to hold rates Wednesday, but the real fight is whether Chairman Kevin Warsh hints at another hike.

Rush Lindell and Reagan run the scorecard on a decision that reaches your mortgage, your 401(k) and your gas bill, just days before the midterms.

Here is what they take on. First, the grade: does Rush deserve credit for calling the hold, or was it an easy pick? Second, the pain: September inflation hit 3.7%, and affordability is driving the vote. Third, the blame: the war, the Fed, or both. Fourth, December...

Thursday, October 22: The Fed is poised to sit on its hands days before the midterms, and every economist in the Reuters poll expects a December hike anyway.

Rush and Reagan start by grading their own misses. They called a September cut, and the Fed hiked to 3.75-4%. Then they dig in.

The data. September payrolls came in at 29,000 against an 84,000 forecast. Unemployment is 4.2%, wage growth is the slowest since May 2021, and gas is back at $4. GDP and PCE land next Thursday, Oct. 29.

Warsh. Is his no-guidance style discipline or a communications problem...

On Tuesday, October 20, the ballots are in, and Rush Lindell and Reagan fight over whether early voting is a warning for Republicans or just people voting early.

Real votes replace polls, and the hosts end by grading each other's reads. Here is what they dig into:

Iowa: Day-one numbers show Democrats ahead, but a thin first day and a 23-point headline gap leave plenty to argue about.

North Carolina and Georgia: North Carolina is well ahead of the last midterm, and Georgia passed 940,000 in-person ballots in week one. The volume is real...

Thursday, October 15: Inflation just hit 3.7 percent, and the fight is over whether to blame Trump's war or Warsh's Fed.

Rush Lindell and Reagan go through the scorecard and disagree about who owns the pain at the pump and the kitchen table.

The number. September consumer prices beat the 3.6 percent forecast, and gasoline jumped 9.1 percent on the month.

The war. The June ceasefire collapsed over Hormuz, and the hosts test the link from the strait to your gas tank.

The votes. The Senate defeated the Iran withdrawal resolution on Sept. 24 while...

On Tuesday, October 13, the House map is the story: is Cook Political Report spotting a real Democratic wave, or are the pundits just stampeding together?

Rush Lindell and Reagan dig into Cook's October 9 update, which moved eighteen races and now projects a Democratic gain of nine to nineteen seats, or 224 to 234 in the chamber.

Herd or math? Rush says raters copy each other. Reagan says the numbers and voter unhappiness do the work. The districts. They walk through the Iowa rematch, Pennsylvania, Michigan-10 and Virginia. The money. Republicans lead on cash, $89 million to $76 million...

On Thursday, October 8, Rush Lindell and Reagan tackle the question rattling Washington: do more than 700,000 early ballots across 30 states signal real trouble for Republicans, or just a skewed sample?

They open with the headline numbers and what a pile that size can and can't tell you. Then they go state by state on Democratic ballot-request shares in Iowa, Pennsylvania, Maine and North Carolina, which are up from 2024. Here's the catch: in most of those states they're still below 2022, and a request is not a returned vote. Rush makes his case that early voters skew older and...

On Tuesday, October 6, Rush Lindell and Reagan take on Pete Hegseth's plan to cut one in five generals and admirals, and ask whether it is a long-overdue shake-up or a purge.

First, what Hegseth actually announced at Quantico, how the 20% breaks down, and why the Jan. 1 deadline for roughly 170 slots matters. Then, why Republican senators say they were blindsided and what they want in notice and transparency. Then, a parody, a Lear Capital sponsor read, and the competing price tags on the Iran war. Finally, why some Republicans are now campaigning against that war, what the $67...

Thursday, October 1: Two dates three days apart, Friday's jobs report and Monday's Supreme Court opening, are fighting for control of the November conversation.

Rush Lindell and Reagan grade their own Fed calls first. Rush earns a D-plus and Reagan a B for the right call with the wrong reasoning. Then they lay out what to expect from the September payroll number, with forecasts running from about 50,000 to 90,000 jobs and unemployment near 4.1%. The Oct. 27-28 FOMC meeting comes next, with futures pricing roughly a one-in-three chance of a hike.

Reagan makes her case with a...

This beat no longer re-quotes Rush's prior 'Texas stays red' line or re-stages the Cook Political Report toss-up move as fresh news — it briefly nods to the cold open's admission and treats the toss-up rating as already-established fact before moving to the early-voting deadline (October 19) and teasing three separate polls without naming them yet. The toss-up reclassification and the GOP-favored self-quote are now fully spent; the next beat must name and detail Marist, TPOR, and Big Data Poll rather than re-establishing the toss-up premise.

In this episode, we cover Grading Ourselves: We Called This Wrong, Th...

New Hampshire just blew up the Senate map on Thursday, September 24 — Cook Political Report yanked Sununu-Pappas from Lean Democratic to Toss Up, and Rush Lindell and Reagan aren't letting that slide. This episode is the full seven-seat scorecard the show has been promising for weeks, ranking every race that decides whether Republicans keep their 53-47 majority.

Rush and Reagan grade Alaska and Iowa first, then move into Ohio and the Paxton-Cornyn mixup in Texas before landing on that New Hampshire bombshell. Michigan and Maine get graded as quieter Democratic-leaning risks, and the hosts lock a final ra...

Tuesday, September 22: Nate Silver just called the political forecasting industry asleep at the wheel — and Rush Lindell and Reagan put his brand-new FLIPR model on trial to see if he's right.

This episode breaks down whether Silver's Senate and House projections actually hold up against the old guard, or if it's just a louder spreadsheet. Topics covered include the FLIPR model's Senate numbers versus prediction markets and Cook Political Report's toss-up list; the historical midterm precedent Silver leans on to argue for a Democratic wave; a head-to-head of three competing House forecasts and why they diverge so...

Thursday, September 17: Rush and Reagan finally admit it on air — the Fed just hiked rates instead of delivering the cut they called for months, and Trump is not happy about it. The vote landed 12-0 for a quarter-point hike to 3.75-4%, the first increase since 2023, with 16 of 18 officials signaling more hikes ahead.

This episode breaks down where the prediction went wrong, why Trump's trade-threat pressure campaign on the Fed didn't force the cave everyone expected, and what his real-time fury at Fed chair Warsh actually reveals about his leverage. Rush and Reagan also translate the decision in...

This beat established the binary being graded tomorrow: a hike to 3.75-4.00% or a surprise hold, with no cut option left on the table despite the show's months-long cut thesis, and closed with an added exchange affirming they won't dodge their own scoreboard. Reagan's insistence on evidence before victory-or-defeat is spent and should not be re-litigated. Next beat must explain the mechanics of the meeting itself, not restate the two outcomes.

In this episode, we cover The Thesis on Trial, The Meeting on the Calendar, Meet the Tell: Warsh at Jackson Hole, and more.

Thursday, September 10: Trump closes his Dallas convention speech with a jaw-dropping promise — a $5,000 dividend for every American adult, contingent on Republicans sweeping the House and Senate this November. Rush and Reagan grade the bet live, and it's messier than it sounds.

This episode breaks down the actual price tag on the pledge, the trillion-dollar funding gap nobody in the campaign has explained, and whether offering cash tied to an election outcome crosses into bribery territory under federal law. The hosts also dig into Fox News' own on-air skepticism, a budget expert's blunt fact-check, and the ready-made at...

On Tuesday, September 8, Rush and Reagan tear into the GOP's first-ever midterm convention in Dallas and ask the question nobody in the party wants answered: is a 100-plus speaker lineup a show of strength or a five-alarm panic dressed up as strategy?

From there, the show gets sharper. Trump's approval slide and the Democratic enthusiasm edge get measured against 2018's messy lessons. Reuters/Ipsos numbers showing 71% disapproval on cost of living force a hard look at whether Dallas's tax-relief pitch even matches what voters are angry about. Politico's list of no-shows and undecideds — including Thune, despite be...

The House passed a stopgap funding bill 370-48 on Thursday, September 3, and Rush and Reagan aren't buying the victory lap Speaker Johnson is taking. That lopsided margin looks less like consensus and more like both parties dodging a fight they knew they'd lose before the midterms.

Rush and Reagan break down what's actually in the bill and what it means for the months ahead. They trace this year's two record-breaking shutdowns and call out the identical playbook both parties ran while blaming each other. They replay the near-collapse of the rule vote, where five Republican defections...

On Tuesday, September 1, Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech puts Rush and Reagan's September rate-cut call in front of a firing squad. The hosts break down exactly what Warsh said, why his use of AI-driven productivity to justify staying tight flips the usual Fed playbook, and how markets reacted in real time as hike odds jumped from a coin flip to over 55% on CNBC and past 66% on CME FedWatch. They dig into the growing split at the top, with Bessent pushing back on a hike while Roger Ferguson calls for two more this year, and translate all of it...

Thursday, August 27, the Fed might hike into an election and Rush and Reagan are here to admit their rate-cut-saves-the-midterms call may be flat-out wrong.

They walk through how July’s softer inflation data set up their original thesis, then stack that against Kevin Warsh’s bruising confirmation fight and the summer oil spike that flipped market odds toward a September hike. From there, they unpack the tug-of-war between rate-cut hopes, hike fears, and a possible hold, all while a Hormuz scare and a gold rally rattle nerves. Along the way, they bring it back to kitchen-table math...

On Tuesday, August 25, a closed-door meeting between Jared Kushner and Hakeem Jeffries becomes the prism for whether the White House is secretly hedging on who will control the next House of Representatives.

The episode unpacks why this off-camera conversation matters, how it collided with progressive anger at Jeffries, and what it reveals about the gap between public confidence and private preparation in an election year. Listeners get a clear walk-through of Johnson’s on-air bravado, the polling and forecasting numbers he left out, and how recent Iran war-powers moves in the Senate fit the same hedging pa...

Trump's approval just hit thirty-three percent on Thursday, August 20, and Rush Lindell and Reagan tear into what's actually driving the collapse. This episode digs into the Reuters/Ipsos crosstabs showing Democrats now beating Republicans on economic trust for the first time in a decade, then follows the money down to $527 in extra household fuel costs since the war began. Rush and Reagan clash over Fed nominee Warsh's split July decision and whether a September rate hike can even touch oil-shock inflation. They also stage a brutal parody of the White House's broken gas-price promises, with an OPIS analyst...

Trump's approval hit 33 percent on Wednesday, August 19, and Rush Lindell and Reagan aren't letting the White House spin it away. Five separate pollsters are landing in the same range, echoing the December 2017 floor Trump eventually clawed back from.

This episode digs into whether MAGA erosion is real or just noise, testing old predictions against fresh NBC/Newsweek identification numbers and a Politico finding on Trump voters ditching the label. Rush and Reagan break down a historic shift in economic trust toward Democrats, sliding Republican support for the Iran war even among Trump's own base, and what...

Rush and Reagan track Trump's whiplash on Iran — calling off history's biggest planned strike twice in a week, then branding Tehran "unbelievably duplicitous" — while Iran insists it's only talking to Oman about Hormuz, not Washington.

In this episode, we cover Lead Story / Iran War, Economy / Energy, Accountability / Analysis, and more.

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On Thursday, July 30, Alex Jones did the unthinkable and called for Trump's impeachment over the Iran war, and Rush Lindell and Reagan aren't letting the moment pass quietly. They pick apart whether the war powers argument holds up even as they question the messenger delivering it.

This episode covers a lot of ground fast. Oil crossing $100 a barrel and Leavitt's unanswered draft comment get separated fact from fear. The actual congressional vote counts, a 214-208 House win and a failed 47-49 Senate resolution, expose defectors nobody's tracking yet. Rush's satirical mock floor speech on Article I...

On Tuesday, July 28, Rush and Reagan tackle a hard truth: Congress just voted twice on Iran war powers, and neither vote actually stops Trump from waging war. With three American troops dead in Jordan and a fourth in Iraq, the hosts dig into why a nonbinding resolution and a failed binding one both amount to Congress talking tough while ceding real authority.

This episode covers a lot of ground. Rush and Reagan grade their own prior predictions on the ceasefire collapse, owning what they got wrong. They trace triple-digit oil prices and near-four-dollar gas straight back...

Rush opens fired up over CENTCOM's twelfth straight night of strikes on Iran, framing it as a war dressed up as diplomacy, until Reagan corrects the record on how many separate waves of strikes there have actually been.

In this episode, we cover Lead Story / Iran War, Callback / Accountability, Defense Spending / War Economics, and more.

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The Iran MOU is dead, and on Tuesday, July 21, Rush Lindell and Reagan tear apart exactly how it collapsed. Trump killed the deal himself at the NATO summit, and within weeks his rhetoric flipped from praise to calling Iran's leaders "scum."

This episode covers the full timeline from tanker attacks to CENTCOM's 80-plus target strikes and Tehran's defiant response from Ghalibaf. Rush and Reagan break down oil's 6% spike, CFR's read on why prices still sit below prior war highs, and shipping data showing Hormuz is rattled but not shut. They also revisit their own MOU predictions...

Thursday, July 16: DDHQ's new 2026 midterm forecast has Democrats favored to retake the House while the Senate sits at a knife's-edge 50-50, with JD Vance as the tiebreaker "asterisk man." Rush and Reagan dig into what that 57% probability actually means before anyone calls it a done deal.

From there, the show turns structural: mid-decade redistricting quietly padded the GOP's House position by roughly five seats, a shift Rush calls the party's "insurance policy" and Reagan insists gets separated from any Trump approval bump. The Senate breakdown maps all eight DDHQ-flagged races into Rush's "Firewall" thesis, stress-tested against...

The Supreme Court's birthright citizenship ruling isn't the 6-3 landslide everyone's reporting on Thursday, July 9 — it's actually a 5-4 constitutional squeaker, and Rush and Reagan break down why that distinction changes everything.

This episode covers Trump's Truth Social demand for Congress to act despite the legal contradiction baked into his own request, Kavanaugh's concurrence that dodged the Fourteenth Amendment entirely, Stephen Miller's apocalyptic "knife wound" rhetoric versus what federal law may already handle, and the GOP's three-way strategy collapse between Rand Paul's state-by-state amendment push, the Lee-DeSantis-Johnson caucus, and competing statutory bills from Cotton and Cornyn.

On Tuesday, July 7, Graham Platner's Maine Senate campaign implodes overnight after a new sexual assault allegation from a former girlfriend sends Democratic leaders scrambling for cover. Rush and Reagan break down exactly how bad it is, why the party's outrage feels awfully convenient, and what happens next in a race that could decide control of the Senate.

Topics covered: the allegation itself and Platner's denial, the pattern of past controversies (that Nazi-style tattoo, the texts, the Reddit posts) that made this feel inevitable, the Democratic exodus with Khanna and Gallego pulling endorsements while Warren and Sanders...

Tuesday, June 30: The Supreme Court drops its ruling on Trump v. Barbara — the birthright citizenship case — on the final day of its term, and the legal arguments the government brought into that courtroom did not survive contact with the justices.

Rush and Reagan walk through the government's failed attempt to redefine domicile within the 1898 Wong Kim Ark precedent, the two ruling paths the Court could take and why the narrow statutory route matters more than cable news will admit, and the documented reality of birth tourism versus the constitutionality of the executive order used to address it...

Monday, June 29 — Trump launched a war that broke the Fed's rate-cut path, and now he's still demanding cheaper money.

Rush and Reagan walk through Kevin Warsh's first FOMC meeting, where rates held at 3.5–3.75% and nine of eighteen officials flipped from projecting a cut to projecting a hike — a full reversal in three months. They trace the 4.2% CPI spike directly to the Strait of Hormuz oil disruption that began February 28th, the day the Iran war launched. They examine whether Warsh's five-task-force reform agenda is genuine central banking or political cover-building. And they perform a mock press confer...

Friday, June 26 — the Supreme Court is days away from ruling on birthright citizenship, and most of the media still hasn't caught up to what's actually at stake.

Rush and Reagan break down Trump v. Barbara, the case Newsweek is already comparing to Dobbs in constitutional weight. They walk through the five words at the center of the 14th Amendment fight and why 128 years of settled law may not protect the government's position. They expose the administration's denaturalization quota machine — 100 to 200 referrals per month per USCIS internal guidance — running quietly alongside the SCOTUS case. They map both possib...

Thursday, June 25 — The Supreme Court just handed Republicans a redistricting weapon, and states are already using it.

This episode breaks down the House majority fight that most political coverage is ignoring. Rush and Reagan walk through the 6-3 Alito ruling in Louisiana v. Callais that gutted Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act, why Florida, Tennessee, and Alabama moved within days, and how the resulting maps could shift up to 19 House seats before the 2026 midterms.

They cover the state-by-state redistricting fallout — DeSantis targeting four Democratic incumbents, Tennessee cracking majority-Black Memphis across rural districts. They run the...

Wednesday, June 24 — the Senate map just moved against Republicans, and most of Washington is still looking the other way.

Rush and Reagan break down the Cook Political Report's June 11 ratings shift that dropped Alaska and Ohio to toss-up and pushed North Carolina into Lean Democrat territory — and what it means for a party defending 23 of 35 seats. They walk through the structural math behind Democrats' four-seat path, the candidate quality problem the GOP created for itself in North Carolina with Michael Whatley, and why Iowa moving in an R+13 state is the number nobody in Republican circles want...

Tuesday, June 23 — Trump signed a peace deal with Iran at the Palace of Versailles, and the loudest critics are conservatives.

Rush and Reagan break down the 14-point US-Iran MOU: what the ceasefire actually says versus what the press release claims, and why the nuclear provisions look nearly identical to the Obama-era JCPOA Trump spent years attacking. They map the conservative media revolt — Fox News, the Wall Street Journal, and the New York Post all broke with Trump on the same day — and ask whether the critics cheering the war ever had a plan for ending it. They d...

Monday, June 22 — The Supreme Court is deciding who gets to be an American, and the administration is already acting like the answer is settled.

This episode breaks down the Court's packed end-of-term sprint: the birthright citizenship case (Trump v. Barbara), the administration's contested "domicile" theory under the 14th Amendment, and why even a narrow ruling could rewrite 128 years of precedent. Then the number that should stop you cold: a secret USCIS quota pushing 100 to 200 denaturalization referrals per month — against a historical average of 11 per year. Rush and Reagan argue these aren't two separate stories. They're two hand...

Friday, June 19 — the President of the United States said "I love the inflation" on the same day CPI hit 4.2%, a three-year high, and Rush and Reagan are not letting it go quietly.

This episode breaks down the May CPI print and what is actually driving the headline number versus core inflation. It traces the tariff-to-price pipeline — how retailers spent 2025 absorbing costs and are now passing them to consumers in 2026. It dissects Marjorie Taylor Greene's CNN appearance where she called Trump's remark a "punch in the gut" and what that signals about base tolerance, not just media opti...

Thursday, June 18 — DHS Secretary Mullin said ICE would be at World Cup stadiums every day, then LA County Sheriff Luna put a no-enforcement commitment in writing. Nobody in the White House has explained that contradiction.

This episode covers the full four-month policy arc from February to now: how a 96% strike authorization vote by UNITE HERE Local 11 extracted an unprecedented right to strike over ICE threats, why Human Rights Watch went zero for nineteen with FIFA sponsors, and how Iran's national team was bused back to Tijuana the same night they drew with New Zealand — while their wing...

Wednesday, June 17 — the Supreme Court is sitting on roughly 20 unissued opinions with no warning on timing and a hard deadline at the end of June. Rush and Reagan hand you the cheat sheet before the rulings land.

They break down the birthright citizenship fight in Trump v. Barbara and why the nationwide injunction question buried inside it may matter more than the citizenship ruling itself. They cover the two transgender athlete cases and why a narrow legal holding will get covered as something far broader. They walk through a pair of Second Amendment cases — including one tied...