Unbreakable Ventures

🎙️ Unbreakable Ventures Fortnightly Risk Update — 1 July 2026

Nine in ten enterprises can't map their AI dependencies, and the world's airlines are quietly writing the resilience playbook the rest of us should be copying. This fortnight: what happens when the tools you depend on can vanish overnight, and how carriers survive when their entire runway disappears.

🧠 Main Threats Covered

1. Hidden AI Dependencies Expose Enterprises A new IBM study finds 91% of organisations don't fully understand their dependencies across AI vendors, models, and infrastructure.

2. Airlines Become Resilience Case Study Middle East carriers including Emirates, Etihad, and Qatar...

Gantries failed, kiosks shut and pharmacy waits hit an hour. One network fault hit all three Singapore health clusters.

🎙️ Unbreakable Ventures Fortnightly Risk Update | 21 October 2026

In this fortnight’s risk update: a network outage across Singapore’s public hospitals, Cebu’s power crisis and five more threats we’re watching.

🧠 Main Threats Covered

1. Network Fault Stalls Singapore Hospitals

A network fault disrupted Singapore’s public healthcare services from 7.10am on 13 October. Services were fully restored by 4.37pm.

2. Cebu Power Crisis Threatens Business

After months of power cuts, Cebu E...

A flooded supplier stops your line as surely as water in your own plant. Thailand's Toyota suspensions prove it.

🎙️ Unbreakable Ventures Fortnightly Risk Update — 7 October 2026

In this fortnight's risk update: Thailand's floods, Australia's stuck breach warning, and five quick-fire threats.

🧠 Main Threats Covered

1. Thailand's Flood Damage Will Outlast Water

Earlier shocks thinned balance sheets, so financial damage will outlast the water.

2. Breach Warning Stuck in Shared Inbox

A June breach sat five days in a government inbox before reaching the ACSC.

⚡ Quick-Fire Threats

1 - Hea...

A $100 million tanker now costs up to $10 million to insure for one Gulf voyage. Before the war: $250,000.

🎙️ Unbreakable Ventures Fortnightly Risk Update — 23 September 2026

In this fortnight's risk update: war risk pricing reshaping Gulf trade, a patch release too large for most remediation cycles, and five other emerging threats we're watching.

🧠 Main Threats Covered

1. Gulf Shipping Costs Squeeze UAE Trade

War risk pricing has re-rated the Gulf, with insurers charging 3% to 10% of a vessel's value per voyage, up from about 0.25%.

2. Microsoft Patches Nearly 1,000 Flaws

Microsoft has shipped fi...

Fifteen exporters move nine in ten of the world's AI-enabling goods. Alternatives barely exist.

🎙️ Unbreakable Ventures Fortnightly Risk Update — 9 September 2026

In this fortnight's risk update: a dangerously narrow AI supply chain, advertising data used to target US troops, and five more emerging threats we're watching.

🧠 Main Threats Covered

1. AI Supply Chain Concentration Risk Deepens

Atradius finds the 15 largest exporters account for 85–90% of global AI-enabling goods trade.

2. Ad Trackers Became Military Targeting Data

The US Department of Defense has disabled advertising identifiers after reports commercial location data was use...

A Melbourne man's AI assistant hacked his gym to bump a stranger from class. Nobody is legally liable.

🎙️ Unbreakable Ventures Fortnightly Risk Update — 26 August 2026

In this fortnight's risk update: Australia's first known autonomous AI cyber attack, a three-week resilience cliff facing half the world's CEOs, and five emerging threats we're watching closely.

🧠 Main Threats Covered

1. AI Agents Now Breach Live SystemsA Melbourne man asked a personal AI assistant to book a gym class: it exploited the booking system and bumped a stranger off the waitlist.

2. Half of CEOs Fail at Three W...

🎙️ Unbreakable Ventures Fortnightly Risk Update — 12 August 2026

AI detectors are silently throttling the human creators they were meant to protect, and Iran's grip on the Strait of Hormuz is quietly rewriting corporate travel budgets. This fortnight: when the machines can't tell us apart, and why 2025 travel prices aren't coming back.

🧠 Main Threats Covered

1. AI Detectors Are Misfiring On Humans YouTube's automated systems for suppressing synthetic content wrongly flagged science channel Kurzgesagt, leaving it with its worst-performing upload since 2013.

2. Travel Costs Could Stay Locked High Through 2029 Travel cost growth should moderate in 2027, but prices are...

🎙️ Unbreakable Ventures Fortnightly Risk Update — 29 July 2026

Narrow global chokepoints can now paralyse whole industries, and your biggest hidden risk is quietly sitting inside a supplier's walls. This fortnight: what happens when pressure concentrates on a single node, and why most firms still can't see past their own perimeter.

🧠 Main Threats Covered

1. Global Chokepoints Squeeze Trade Flows Disruption in the Strait of Hormuz shows how pressure concentrates in narrow chokepoints where one actor or force can restrict trade.

2. Third-Party Risk Threatens Supply Chains Firms have strengthened their own operations but overlooked one of the big...

🎙️ Unbreakable Ventures Fortnightly Risk Update — 15 July 2026

The AI meant to replace expensive workers is now writing bills that horrify the boardroom, and CEOs are opening their chequebooks to keep supply chains standing. This fortnight: the true cost of running AI, and the price of resilience in a fragmenting world.

🧠 Main Threats Covered

1. AI Bills Blindside Corporate Leaders The refrain that AI can do the job cheaper than human workers is proving wrong. Business owners are aghast at their AI bills.

2. CEOs Pay Premium For Supply Resilience Facing continued supply chain threats, businesses...

🎙️ Unbreakable Ventures Fortnightly Risk Update — 1 July 2026

Nine in ten enterprises can't map their AI dependencies, and the world's airlines are quietly writing the resilience playbook the rest of us should be copying. This fortnight: what happens when the tools you depend on can vanish overnight, and how carriers survive when their entire runway disappears.

🧠 Main Threats Covered

1. Hidden AI Dependencies Expose Enterprises A new IBM study finds 91% of organisations don't fully understand their dependencies across AI vendors, models, and infrastructure.

2. Airlines Become Resilience Case Study Middle East carriers including Emirates, Etihad, and Qatar...

🎙️ Unbreakable Ventures Fortnightly Risk Update — 17 June 2026

A frontier AI model is forced offline worldwide in ninety minutes, and a Middle East peace deal still cannot unwind the supply shocks now setting up for 2027. This fortnight: vendor lock-in becomes a national-security risk, and three crises stack into one.

🧠 Main Threats Covered

1. Government Pulls Frontier AI Model Anthropic was ordered by the US Commerce Department on 12 June to suspend access to its Fable 5 and Mythos 5 models for any foreign national, inside or outside the US, triggering a full global shutdown within ninety minutes.

2. Compoundin...

🎙️ Unbreakable Ventures Fortnightly Risk Update — 3 June 2026

Google's AI is quietly stripping businesses of brand control in search, while a civil war in Myanmar tightens its grip on the world's rare earth supply. This fortnight: the platform that owns your customers' attention, and the conflict zone powering your electric vehicles.

🧠 Main Threats Covered

1. Google AI Reshaping Brand Control Online Google's AI Overviews now dominate search results, pushing organic website links further down the page, representing a fundamental loss of control over how customers discover and engage with brands online.

2. Myanmar Conflict Threatens Global Rar...

🎙️ Unbreakable Ventures Fortnightly Risk Update — 20 May 2026

The age of managing one crisis at a time is officially over, and nation-states are now turning ransomware into a weapon against private business. This fortnight: why resilience must be built for permanent turbulence, and how the line between espionage and cybercrime has dissolved.

🧠 Main Threats Covered

1. Building Systems for Continuous Disruption Supply chain shocks no longer arrive one at a time. Disruptions now emerge as continuous, concurrent, and cascading pressures, overwhelming traditional crisis response models.

2. State-Backed Ransomware Threatens Private Enterprise State-sponsored ransomware operations are escalating...

🎙️ Unbreakable Ventures Fortnightly Risk Update — 6 May 2026

An AI chatbot wipes an entire company database in minutes, and a Pacific paradise becomes ground zero for a global drug superhighway. This fortnight: the human negligence behind the AI blame game, and the cartels, gangs, and corruption reshaping Fiji.

🧠 Main Threats Covered

1. AI Blame Game Masks Human Negligence An AI chatbot built on Anthropic's Claude model deleted an entire company database after being given overly broad instructions, raising urgent questions about how organisations govern autonomous AI tool use.

2. Pacific Drug Superhighway Threatens Regional Stability Fiji has t...

🎙️ Unbreakable Ventures Fortnightly Risk Update — 20 April 2026

A UN report warns the Middle East crisis could drag millions across Asia-Pacific into poverty—and a catastrophic biometric breach just handed hackers a near-perfect deepfake training kit. This fortnight: compound shocks radiating from the Strait of Hormuz, and the permanent cost of stolen faces.

🧠 Main Threats Covered

1. Middle East Crisis Threatens Global Poverty Surge A new UNDP report warns the Strait of Hormuz closure could push millions across Asia-Pacific into poverty through surging energy prices, trade disruption, and collapsing remittance flows.

2. Mercor Breach Exposes Permanent Bi...

🎧 This week on Unbreakable Ventures

This episode features Greg Headley, Lead Data Scientist at Informed Solutions, on what it actually takes to build AI systems that work in high-impact, safety-critical environments—from healthcare regulation to national policing.

Informed Solutions is one of the first ten UK organisations to achieve ISO 42001 certification, the world’s first international standard for responsible AI. With two Queen’s Awards for Innovation and clients including the UK National Health Service, Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency, Metropolitan Police, and Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, they’re at the forefront o...

The largest oil supply disruption in history is unfolding—but the real crisis hits in 2027. This week: agricultural collapse looms across Asia-Pacific, and the UAE turns regional chaos into competitive advantage.

🧠 Main Threats Covered

1. Hormuz Closure Triggers Cascading Agricultural and Industrial Crisis

The Strait of Hormuz closure has disrupted 20% of global oil and LNG flows alongside critical fertiliser shipments, threatening food production across Asia-Pacific.

2. UAE Positions Crisis Response as Competitive Edge

The UAE is leveraging regional instability to strengthen its position as a global business hub, with government-backed initiatives accel...

In this week's risk update: intensifying insurance audits are catching businesses off guard across Australia and New Zealand, military strikes on Middle East data centres threaten global cloud infrastructure, and five other emerging threats we're watching closely.

🧠 Main Threats Covered

1. Insurance Audits Intensify as Businesses Scramble to Prove Resilience

Fixinc has observed a marked increase in the frequency, intensity, and on-site presence of insurance audits across their Australian and New Zealand client base, with scrutiny previously reserved for $500M+ ARR businesses now extending to smaller organisations.

2. Data Centre Strikes Force Businesses to...

In this week's risk update: quantum computing threatens to break the encryption protecting your business, Singapore's SME backbone calls for expanded government support, and five emerging threats we're watching closely.

🧠 Main Threats Covered 

1. Your Encryption Has an Expiry Date

Google's latest announcement confirms quantum computers capable of breaking current encryption standards are no longer theoretical—they're an engineering challenge with a visible timeline.

2. Singapore SMEs Face Internationalisation Crossroads

Singapore's business chambers are calling for expanded government support in Budget 2026, specifically requesting larger automation grants and enhanced assistance for SMEs pursui...

Unbreakable Ventures Special Edition – February 2026

Monsters, Multipolarity, and the 1%: Inside the WEF Global Risks Report 2026

What's inside this episode

The World Economic Forum has released its 21st Global Risks Report. Only 1% of experts expect calm. In this special episode, we break down what has changed, what risks are climbing, and what you can do about it.

Key Highlights

- Why the WEF's tone has shifted from "cooperation under pressure" to "cooperation crumbling".

- Geoeconomic confrontation takes the number one spot, up eight positions from last year.

...

🎙️ Unbreakable Ventures Fortnightly Risk Update — 9 February 2026

In this week's risk update: a global shipping crisis reshaping trade economics, Singapore's bold nationwide blackout simulation, and five other emerging threats we're watching closely.

🧠 Main Threats Covered

1. Consumer Goods Costs Surge on Global Shipping Crisis

Container rates from Asia to Europe and the US have more than doubled, forcing businesses into difficult decisions about absorbing costs or passing them to consumers.

2. Singapore Stress-Tests National Resilience with Simulated Crisis

Singapore's Total Defence Day exercise will simulate simultaneous power outages and digital disruption...

🎙️ Unbreakable Ventures Fortnightly Risk Update — 26 January 2026 

In this week's risk update: a staggering 80% insurance protection gap leaving Asia-Pacific businesses exposed to climate losses, the World Economic Forum's warning on geo-economic fragmentation reshaping global trade, and five emerging threats we're watching closely.

🧠 Main Threats Covered

1. APAC Insurance Gap Leaves 80% Weather Exposure Unprotected

Natural catastrophes have risen to the second-highest global business risk, with Asia-Pacific's protection gap exceeding 80% for weather-related losses.

2. Global Risk Landscape Fractures as Economic Warfare Eclipses Traditional Threats

State-based armed conflict tops short-term risks while geoeconomic confrontati...

🎙️ Unbreakable Ventures Fortnightly Risk Update - 12 January 2026

🔍 What's inside this episode In this fortnight’s risk update: Compounding 2026 supply-chain shocks, ransomware squeezing transport logistics, and five quick-fire threats to watch.

🧠 Main Threats Covered 1. Economic: 2026 Supply Chain Disruption Outlook Everstream Analytics is flagging a 2026 disruption landscape where climate-linked shocks, infrastructure strain, and geopolitics increasingly compound rather than occur in isolation, turning “single events” into multi-region, multi-tier supply failures.

2. Technological: Ransomware Targets Transport Logistics A Cyble report highlights a surge in ransomware activity affecting transport and logistics, with attackers exploiting the sector’s high uptime requirements and op...

🎧 This week on Unbreakable Ventures

In this solo deep dive, Ollie Law examines the Common Operating Picture paradox and why New Zealand still lacks a truly integrated national system for disaster response.

Using Taiwan’s world-leading disaster management platform as a reference point, the episode explores how communication, technology, and community preparedness combine to dramatically reduce loss of life, and what happens when those elements remain fragmented.

Drawing on real events, system failures, and international comparisons, this episode challenges the idea that planning alone equals preparedness.

In this episode, we cover:

...

🎧 This week on Unbreakable Ventures

This episode features Brenden Winder, Civil Defence and Emergency Manager at Christchurch City Council, on what really happens when disasters strike — and why community leadership matters more than plans.

Drawing on experience from the Christchurch earthquakes and tsunami planning, Brenden shares hard truths about preparedness, public behaviour, and the limits of emergency services during large-scale events.

In this episode, we cover:

Why communities are the real first responders

The myth of panic — and why apathy is the bigger risk

What people misunderstand about t...

🎙️ Unbreakable Ventures Fortnightly Risk Update — 16 December 2025

In this fortnight's risk update: HR burnout emerges as the top business risk heading into 2026, India mandates continuous SIM-binding for messaging apps affecting 500+ million users, and five emerging threats from Cloudflare outages to AI investment warnings.

🧠 Main Threats Covered

1. HR Burnout Identified as Top Business Risk Nearly half of HR professionals warn burnout is the biggest organisational risk for 2026, with one-third considering quitting due to emotional exhaustion.

2. India's SIM-Binding Mandate Sparks Concerns One in two Indian consumers fear disruption as messaging apps must link continuously to active...

Unbreakable Ventures Fortnightly Risk Update — 1 December 2025

In this week's risk update: the UN's inaugural Global Risk Report reveals a world dangerously under-prepared for interconnected threats, major food companies abandon net-zero timelines in favour of operational resilience, and five emerging threats we're tracking closely.

Main Threats Covered

1. The UN Global Risk Report 2024 The United Nations has released its first Global Risk Report, surveying 1,111 experts across 136 countries — and the world scores just 4.3 out of 7 on preparedness for catastrophic risks.

2. Food Companies Reframe Net-Zero Around Resilience Major food and beverage companies are revising or aban...

🔍 What's inside this episode

Threat concerns this week: AI demand triggers 60% memory chip price surge. UK's Storm Claudia shows compound weather risks. And 5 quick fire stories on aviation's $11B crisis and H5N5 bird flu.

In this week's risk update: Samsung's 60% memory price hike reveals how AI's explosive growth is starving global tech supply chains, Storm Claudia demonstrates the cascading chaos of compound weather events, and five emerging threats including aviation's supply chain breakdown and the first human case of a bird flu strain never before seen in people.

🧠 Main Threats Covered

1. G...

🔍 What's inside this episode

Threat concerns this week: Business travel weather disruptions cost US firms $17 billion annually. AWS's fifteen-hour outage locks fans out of playoff baseball. And 5 quick fire stories on Microsoft's second outage and crisis management costs.

In this week's risk update: weather chaos forces companies to rethink duty-of-care as 50% of US business travelers face disruptions, Amazon's cloud collapse exposes the fragile infrastructure holding modern sports and commerce together, and five emerging threats including another Microsoft outage days after AWS recovered.

🧠 Main Threats Covered

1. Business Travel's $17 Billion Weather Problem

Weat...

🔍 What's inside this episode

In this week's risk update: researchers expose how half the world's satellite communications broadcast unencrypted—intercepted with $800 of basic equipment, the pharmaceutical industry faces a perfect storm of supply chain fragility and regulatory upheaval threatening patient access to critical medicines, and five other emerging threats including Japan's ransomware-crippled beer industry and the "dead internet" theory.

🧠 Main Threats Covered

1. Satellites Are Leaking the World's Secrets

UC San Diego and University of Maryland researchers used $800 of off-the-shelf equipment to intercept unencrypted satellite communications—capturing T-Mobile calls and texts from 2,700+ users, U.S...

Sonali Chandratilake, a seasoned crisis management expert and Emergency Management & Business Continuity Manager at the University of Canterbury, shares insights from 15+ years on the front lines of NZ's major crises (Canterbury Earthquakes, Christchurch Mosque Attack, COVID-19). Her unique perspective combines professional roles with personal advocacy (Cleft New Zealand). Discover her pragmatic approach to crisis leadership, emphasizing community connection and emotional intelligence.

In this episode, we talk about:

0:00 | Introduction and Guest Background

2:12 | Sonali's Unexpected Path to Emergency Management

9:00 | The SVA Experience as a Foundation

15:13 | Replicating Community Resilience in Organizations

🔍 What's inside this episode

In this week's risk update: three climate disasters kill over 100 people in 14 days exposing compound environmental risks, U.S. tariffs trigger economic upheaval across Southeast Asia threatening entire export sectors, and five other emerging threats including Google's disruption of the SEO industry and warnings of a historic AI bubble.

🧠 Main Threats Covered

1. Asia-Pacific Climate Crisis Intensifies Super Typhoon Ragasa and Typhoon Bualoi struck one week apart killing 102 people across the Philippines, Taiwan, Vietnam and China, while Syria's worst drought in 36 years threatens 16 million with food insecurity—demonstrating the new reality...

This week on Unbreakable Ventures, we welcome Sandeep Sharma who joins us to share his experiences and advice from his debut book, Good on you Mate!

Good on You, Mate! follows Sandeep’s journey from Mumbai to Christchurch as an international student. It's part memoir, part practical guide for anyone considering studying abroad. And where one might think this as a purely academic read, the advice on putting together systems, community, and plan B’s can be used in any organisation.

In this interview, we cover:

* Having motivation and vision in your work.

🔍 What's inside this episode

In this week's risk update: a cyberattack on shared airport systems exposes the hidden costs of efficiency, Russian military aircraft systematically test NATO's eastern defences, and five other emerging threats including AI surveillance glasses and Thailand's banking crisis.

🧠 Main Threats Covered

1. Collins Aerospace Cyberattack A single software platform failure brought Europe's busiest airports to manual operations, exposing dangerous single points of failure in shared infrastructure systems.

2. Russian Aircraft Airspace Violations Three MiG-31 fighters deliberately violated Estonian airspace for 12 minutes, part of systematic probing of NATO's eastern borders that t...

What's inside this episode

A chemical spill at a battery plant becomes the sixth major incident in ten years, while New Zealand's economic ranking plummets to near the bottom of developed nations, plus five emerging threats including the largest cyber attack ever recorded.

Main Threats Covered

1. Chemical Crisis A solvent spill at LG Energy Solutions' Michigan facility hospitalizes fifteen workers, marking the sixth major safety incident in a decade at this critical EV battery supplier.

2. Economic Decline New Zealand drops to 37th out of 43 developed countries for recent income growth, revealing...

What's inside this episode

In this week's risk update: shared AI conversations creating permanent shadow data trails that organisations can't control, Australia's first potato virus detection threatening national food security, and five other emerging threats we're watching closely.

Main Threats Covered

1. Shared LLM Conversations Permanently Archived OpenAI removed 50,000 ChatGPT conversation links from Google search results, but over 110,000 remain permanently accessible on the Wayback Machine.

2. Potato Mop-Top Virus Detection in Australia First detection of potato mop-top virus in Australia confirmed in northwest Tasmania on July 18, 2025, affecting a single farm property.

...

Unbreakable Ventures Fortnightly Risk Update — August 11, 2025

🔍 What's inside this episode

In this week's risk update: New Zealand's emergency alert system loses public trust during a real tsunami threat, AI disruption forces investors to flee traditional service industries, and five other emerging threats challenging business resilience worldwide.

🧠 Main Threats Covered

1. Alert Fatigue Crisis New Zealand's emergency communication breakdown during tsunami warnings reveals systemic failures that could prove catastrophic during the next major disaster.

2. AI Market Disruption Artificial intelligence threatens traditional business models faster than expected, forcing investors to abandon entire industry...

Summary

In this conversation, Ollie Law and Martin Petts discuss the evolving landscape of resilience technology and business continuity across different regions, particularly focusing on the cultural differences in understanding and implementing these practices. They explore the role of international companies in shaping local markets, the trends in emergency management solutions, and the impact of AI on resilience technology. The discussion highlights the need for comprehensive solutions that combine technology and consultancy to effectively address business continuity challenges.

Takeaways

- Martin Petts works for F24, a resilience technology company.

- Cultural...

This Week's Major Threats

🌊 Russia's 8.8 Magnitude Earthquake

One of the strongest quakes ever recorded

Pacific-wide tsunami warnings from Japan to Chile

2+ million evacuated, airlines grounded

Key lesson: Test your business continuity against real worst-case scenarios

🔒 US Nuclear Agency Hacked

Chinese state groups exploited Microsoft SharePoint zero-day

National Nuclear Security Administration breached

400+ servers infected globally

Brad: "We need to hammer our third parties more"

⚖️ AI Chaos in Courts

95+ cases of lawyers using fake AI-generated citations

Recent $...

🧠 Main Threats Covered

1. US Nuclear Weapons Agency Breached Chinese state-sponsored hackers breached the U.S. National Nuclear Security Administration using Microsoft SharePoint zero-day vulnerabilities known as "ToolShell."

2. AI Errors Infiltrate Court System First known judicial ruling based on AI-generated fake legal cases occurred in Georgia divorce dispute, with trial judge issuing order citing completely fabricated precedent.

⚡ Quick-Fire Threats

- Alaska Airlines IT Outage Grounds Fleet- Swiss Broadcasting Infrastructure Disrupted- French Air Traffic Strikes Cause Mass Disruption- Global Starlink Outage Affects Millions

📚 Sources

- US nuclear weapons agency hacked i...