Moving Markets: Daily News
Moving Markets is a daily market news briefing from Julius Baer. Our experts discuss the latest market developments and put the headlines in perspective to set you up for the coming day. The information contained in this podcast is marketing material. Opinions expressed do not constitute independent financial/investment research, investment advice, or an offer to buy or sell securities by Julius Baer. Please refer to www.juliusbaer.com/legal/podcasts for important legal information prior to listening to this podcast.
Europe shines amid US politics
Amid the noise surrounding Donald Trump’s policies and potential tariffs, European equities have been quietly shining, defying expectations with several robust trading sessions. Investors in Europe seem to be shrugging off trade tensions and there are even signs that the Russia-Ukraine conflict may be easing. Elsewhere, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi made headlines at a joint press conference with Donald Trump, outlining bold plans to significantly increase bilateral trade between India and the US. On the commodities front, oil looks set to snap a three-week losing streak, while gold is on track for its seventh consecutive weekly gain. In...
A Ukraine peace deal?
US inflation rose 0.5% in January, beating expectations. The market reacted with rising yields but unlike previous months, US equities held up and the USD failed to rally. In Europe, stocks rose slightly, helped by strong earnings from several large companies. European equities are pointing higher again today, with the focus now on the Ukraine peace talks. In Asia, stocks in Hong Kong and Japan gained ground on improved sentiment and lower oil prices, rounding out a significant 24 hours in global financial markets. Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics and Next Generation Research, gives a world tour of the energy m...
Tariff headline fatigue
Markets are already showing signs of tariff headline fatigue, with US stocks little changed after the latest US tariff announcements. Meanwhile, European equities continue to outperform. French, German, and Swiss markets are all hitting new all-time highs. Traders are now braced for the US inflation report later today. Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, explains why the Fed is in no hurry to make further interest rate cuts. And we have Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy, on the show to give us an update on the ongoing earnings season, and to discuss opportunities in Europe and China.<...
Gold shines as Trump weighs in on Gaza and tariffs
US president Donald Trump has said he will call for an end to the Gaza ceasefire unless Hamas releases all Israeli hostages by Saturday. Meanwhile, the US president has signed executive orders to impose 25% tariffs on all steel and aluminium imports, boosting safe-haven demand and sending gold to its seventh record high this year alone. Also on today’s podcast, we are also joined by Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research, who provides an update on artificial intelligence after the dust has settled from the DeepSeek shock.
00:00 Introduction by Bernadette Anderko (Investment Writing)
00:25 Markets wrap-up by Jo...
Market movers: tariffs, inflation and earnings
US stock market futures are slightly up this morning despite President Trump announcing another set of tariffs, this time on all imports of steel and aluminum. The US dollar is slightly up on the news and gold is trading at all-time highs. This week, we will be watching US and global inflation figures, the Federal Reserve Chair's testimony, and a slew of big companies reporting earnings. Our special guest Markus Wachter, Technical Analysis, believes that stocks are bound to rally further.
00:00 Introduction by Bernadette Anderko (Investment Writing)
00:38 Markets wrap-up by Roman Canziani (Investment Writing)
<...Amazon outspends its rivals on AI
European equities surged to a new all-time high, driven by robust earnings reports and positive developments regarding a potential peace plan for Ukraine. US equities also gained ground, with the S&P 500 finishing just shy of 1% below its record high. However, Amazon's post-market earnings release tempered the positive mood, as strong results were offset by slower cloud growth and cautious first-quarter guidance. Notably, the company announced plans to invest USD 100 billion in AI infrastructure this year, outspending its rivals. Tim Gagie, Head of FX & PM Solutions in Geneva, joins the podcast to discuss the high volatility in currency markets...
Stocks rise as inflation fears ease and earnings impress
Join us for a recap of a dramatic trading day, marked by a late-day surge in stocks as inflation concerns eased in the US and earnings reports exceeded expectations. While tech stocks stumbled, rate-sensitive sectors and financials shone in both European and US markets. Meanwhile, gold continued its upward trajectory, reaching yet another intraday record high. In this episode, we're joined by two expert guests: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation, who shares his insights on the gold market, and Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy, who provides an update on the earnings season so far.
00:00 Introduction...
Trump makes his mark with radical Gaza plans
Marking the most significant change in US policy towards the Middle East in decades, President Trump has shocked markets by announcing plans for the US to take over the Gaza Strip, resettle Palestinians, and turn it into what he has called the ‘riviera of the Middle East’. Meanwhile, gold notches a fresh record close as tariff concerns remain at the forefront of investors' minds. On today’s podcast, we are also joined by Markus Allenspach, Fixed Income Research, who provides an update on fixed income markets.
00:00 Introduction by Bernadette Anderko (Investment Writing)
00:31 Markets wrap-up by Jonti...
It’s still all about tariffs
The ongoing tariff saga continues to dominate financial markets, as President Trump’s trade policies spark uncertainty and volatility. While Mexico and Canada have temporarily avoided tariffs through an agreement with the US, China has been hit with 10% tariffs, prompting retaliatory measures including its own tariffs, export controls on critical minerals and an antitrust investigation into Google. Meanwhile, in separate news, Trump has signed an executive order paving the way for the creation of a potential sovereign wealth fund that could acquire TikTok. In this episode, we’re also joined by Manuel Villegas from Next Generation Research to discuss the...
Trump escalates trade war
US President Donald Trump has announced tariffs on Mexico, Canada and China, citing economic and non-economic reasons. The tariffs are set to go into effect on 4 February, unless a last-minute deal is reached. Mexico and Canada promptly announced retaliatory tariffs. This has led to risk-off sentiment in the market, with safe-haven assets in demand, equities lower and volatility rising across asset classes. The USdollar is the big winner and is rising. Chinese equities are outperforming thanks to gains in technology stocks. Looking ahead to this week, investors will be closely watching tariffs, earnings (including UBS, Amazon, and Eli Lilly...