Real Vision Daily Briefing: Finance & Investing

Harry Melandri of MI2 Partners welcomes Tom Caddick, managing director at Nedgroup Investments, to explore why UK commercial real estate is an overlooked and particularly unique investment opportunity given the current macro backdrop.

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Roy Behren, co-president and co-CIO of Westchester Capital Management joins Samuel Burke to explain his strategy of generating low-risk, market-neutral returns. Then, he reveals his 3 favorite merger arb trades for this uncertain environment.

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Hot inflation data didn't impact the market, as it races higher on the back of an AI frenzy and talks of a debt ceiling agreement being reached.

Maggie Lake is joined by Dale Pinkert, trading coach at Tradegate Hub, to discuss the current state of the debt ceiling talks and their impact on bond volatility and the US dollar. Dale will share a few of his favorite trade ideas as we head into the long weekend.

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Maggie Lake is joined by Amelia Bourdeau, managing director at Diamond Standard, to give us her take on NVIDIA’s price action and the impact from the debt ceiling talks, along with her views on the US Dollar. You can find more of Amelia’s work here: https://www.diamondstandard.co

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Maggie Lake is joined by Tom Thornton, founder of Hedge Fund Telemetry, to discuss the debt ceiling deadline, how it will impact bonds, and what it means for inflation moving forward. Tom will also share his thoughts on mega-cap tech and the AI race. You can find more of Tom's work here: https://t.co/mAfhsH0qdL

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Greg Weldon, CEO of Weldon Financial, joins Maggie Lake to give us his take on the debt ceiling, the US Dollar, impacts on bonds, and how he’s thinking about commodities. You can find more of Greg’s work here: https://t.co/z73MeGwuwA and you can follow him on Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/@GregoryWeldon

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Peter Boockvar, Chief Investment Officer of Bleakley Financial Group and Editor of The Boock Report, joins Maggie Lake to break down recent remarks from the Federal Reserve, provide valuable insight into retail earnings, and identify potential areas of strength in the economy. More of Peter’s work at https://t.co/x9RdjtPQus

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Andreas Steno Larsen examines how liquidity trends are turning negative and macro fundamentals are weakening alongside an equity rally that may be exhausting. Find out what comes next on Steno’s Signals.

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Warren Mosler, president of Valance Company and the economist considered the father of Modern Monetary Theory (MMT), joins Maggie Lake to discuss what MMT is, how it relates to inflation and the ramifications of current Fed policy.

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As the market experiences turbulence, join Maggie Lake in welcoming Mish Schneider, Chief Strategist at http://www.marketgauge.com/realvision. Mish will provide valuable guidance and share her thoughts on various sectors, including energy, currencies, metals, agricultural commodities, and China. You can find more of Mish’s work here: http://www.marketgauge.com/realvision.

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Maggie Lake is joined by Raoul Pal, co-founder and CEO of Real Vision. Raoul will be updating us on his big-picture outlook, his thoughts on AI, and what's happening behind the scenes at Real Vision. Plus, he'll be answering your questions.

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Darius Dale, founder, and CEO of 42 Macro, joins Maggie Lake to discuss the implications of the looming debt ceiling, where the economy is headed next, and why he thinks both bulls and bears are about to be battered over the next few quarters.

You can find more of Darius’ work here:  https://42macro.com

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Maggie Lake is joined by Tavi Costa, portfolio manager at Crescat Capital, to discuss why he believes the U.S. is headed towards a recession, what the Fed will do next to combat inflation, how AI will impact growth, and why certain commodities are setup for a long-term cycle of demand. You can find more of Tavi’s work here:  https://www.crescat.net

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Stocks start the week muted as commodities tick up on the back of a weaker dollar. Maggie Lake is joined by Tony Greer, editor of The Morning Navigator and founder of TG Macro, to discuss the recent action in energy markets, and precious metals, and how the debt ceiling stress and inflationary pressures are impacting the U.S. dollar. You can find more of Tony’s work here: https://tgmacro.substack.com

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Larry McDonald shares his best plays for the next market cycle. Larry McDonald, founder of The Bear Traps Report, joins Samuel Burke to share why a weakening dollar and looming U.S. credit crunch has him leaning on energy and emerging markets. Plus, one sector he's targeting for a short opportunity. You can track the performance of all our guests’ 3 Ideas here: https://bit.ly/RV3Ideas

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#ad As one of the richest men on Earth and a self-described business maverick, Elon epitomizes the Silicon Valley ethos of “move fast and break things.” And once Elon became Twitter’s new CEO, you were either with him or against him.

Those still employed at Twitter soon saw the company and its culture morph into something they didn’t recognize. He laid off 75% of the Twitter workforce, reinstated exceedingly problematic and dangerous users, and even encouraged his staff to sleep in the office. Ex-employees, Elon’s critics, and fellow CEOs were quick to denounce him as an in-over...

Stocks ended the week down on renewed concerns about the economy. Has the Fed reached its breaking point? Dennis Lockhart, former president and CEO of the Federal Reserve of Atlanta joins Maggie Lake to discuss the current state of the economy, inflation, the looming debt ceiling, and whether the Fed’s current framework is still effective. In the second half, we dive into the developing credit crisis and how it changes the Fed’s positioning.

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Banking stress continues as markets look to end the week with little movement. “Banks crashing, crazy economic data, and the Fed is still hiking rates, but the markets are sleeping," Jared Dillian, Editor of the Daily Dirtnap, wrote in his latest newsletter. He joins Ash Bennington to break down what he calls the "boringest exciting market ever." You can find Jared’s work here:  https://www.dailydirtnap.com

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Jesse Felder, the founder of Felder Investment Research, joins Maggie Lake to discuss the market's uncertain reaction to today's inflation data, why he’s taking a closer look at gold, and what he makes of the recent U.S. credit crunch.

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Debt ceiling talks proceed as eager investors wait for tomorrow's inflation data. Jeremy Schwartz, global CIO of WisdomTree Asset Management, joins Maggie Lake to share his key takeaways from Warren Buffet’s shareholder event this weekend, what to expect from April CPI data, and why we need to pay attention to the debt ceiling.

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Markets traded sideways as investors digested economic data, a regional bank rebound, and Warren Buffet's comments. Mish Schneider, the chief strategist at MarketGauge, joins Maggie Lake to discuss what to make of today’s rebound in regional banks, the price action in oil, and where the Fed stands as we wait for Wednesday’s CPI release.

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Tune into The Breakdown with Nathaniel Whittemore as we discuss with Raoul Pal the Exponential Age and the Everything Code. Discover how AI, crypto, and QE are reshaping our world. Don't miss this riveting episode packed with expert insights! Please find out more about Nathaniel's podcast here:

The Breakdown podcast: https://pod.link/1438693620

The Breakdown YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/nathanielwhittemorecrypto

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A bull market in liquidity started in October of 2022, and we know liquidity leads asset markets. Raoul speaks with Michael Howell, CEO of CrossBorder Capital, about why the biggest force in global macro is pointing towards a new bull market in equities.

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Yields and stocks surged after the April jobs report showed a labor market that still won't quit. Joe Zhao, founder and partner of the venture fund Millennia Capital, joins Maggie Lake to discuss whether resilient labor will put more pressure on failing banks, what ripple effects he expects the Fed to cause, and why AI and tech will drive the next cycle of growth.

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Contagion fears are mounting as shares of more regional banks sold off sharply on Thursday. George Goncalves, head of U.S. macro strategy at MUFG, joins Maggie Lake to discuss the unwinding of U.S. regional banks, the ramifications of the ECB's 25bps rate hike following yesterday's Fed decision, and how to navigate markets in what could be a tumultuous next few months.

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As expected, the Fed raised interest rates another 25 basis points while signaling that a pause could come next. On this hour-long Fed Day special Daily Briefing, Andreas Steno Larsen, Mike Coolbaugh, and Darius Dale join Maggie Lake to react to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference and break down exactly what this decision means for the economy — and for investors — in the coming months.

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All eyes are on tomorrow's Federal Reserve interest rate decision as U.S. investors wonder whether markets can handle more pressure.

Jeff Snider, host of Eurodollar University, joins Maggie Lake to discuss today's market selloff and the stress in banking, whether the Fed will hike interest rates tomorrow, and why deflationary fallout is spreading across the globe.

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What comes next after JP Morgan absorbs First Republic Bank?

Maggie Lake sits down with Dale Pinkert, head of trader development at TradeGateHub, to discuss the direction of the U.S. dollar, gold, and rates amid broader economic uncertainty. Plus, Dale makes some predictions for the next Fed decision.

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Find out how Russell Clark views the global economy and how he's investing in it. Samuel Burke speaks with Russell Clark, former hedge fund manager and author of the Capital Flows and Asset Markets newsletter, in this special Festival of Learning edition of 3 Ideas. You can track the performance of all our guests’ 3 Ideas here: https://bit.ly/RV3Ideas

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With natural gas has had a major correction and uranium experiencing some weakness, is oil next to drop? Francis Hunt of The Market Sniper joins Ash Bennington to discuss why he believes oil is due for a harsh selloff, with potential knock-on effects for inflation, yields, currencies, and more.

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Prices stay high as investors wonder whether recession will be avoided at a cost.

Maggie Lake is joined by Vincent Deluard, director of global macro strategy at StoneX Group, to discuss this morning's key inflation data, stress on the banking system, and why infrastructure and chips are 2 reasons the U.S. will not see a recession in 2023.

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U.S. GDP for the first quarter of 2023 rose slower than estimates, refreshing stagflationary fears for investors.

Maggie Lake is joined by George Milling-Stanley, chief gold strategist at State Street Global Advisors, to discuss his expectations for gold in 2023, how the current stress in U.S. banks impacts the precious metals, and how to position your portfolio.

You can find more of George’s work here: https://www.ssga.com/us/en/intermediary/etfs

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The banking sector is back under pressure as First Republic's stock continues to plummet. Will we see spillover?

Jason DeSena Trennert, CEO of Strategas Securities, joins Ash Bennington to share his views on the fallout at First Republic Bank, potential contagion in the banking sector, and why growth investors may not want to get ahead of themselves if a recession is coming.

You can find more of Jason’s work here: https://www.strategasrp.com

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Volatility spiked and the market tumbled as earnings season continues, with First Republic Bank down more than 40%. Maggie Lake is joined by Andy Constan, CEO of Damped Spring Advisors, to discuss his views on the global macro landscape, renewed fallout in the banking sector, and why it’s time to get reacquainted with the debt ceiling. You can find more of Andy’s work here: https://dampedspring.com

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All eyes are on Tech earnings as investors look for the next stock rotation. Tony Greer, the founder of TG Macro and editor of The Morning Navigator, joins Maggie Lake to discuss what might be priced into Big Tech earnings, how he's trading energy and industrial metals, and where the U.S. dollar is headed next.

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This episode is in partnership with The Gold Investment Letter - helping sophisticated investors successfully navigate capital markets and maximize profits in gold, silver, and mining stocks. GIL discovers the most undervalued companies and isolates special situations in the mining sector for our members. Sign up for our free E-letter for immediate action: https://www.goldinvestmentletter.com/realvision

"The collision between emerging technologies and fundamental human needs is where you can see the future," Raoul speaks to David Mattin, the founder of the New World Same Humans newsletter and a Real Vision contributor, about the emerging technologies...

This episode is in partnership with The Gold Investment Letter - helping sophisticated investors successfully navigate capital markets and maximize profits in gold, silver, and mining stocks. GIL discovers the most undervalued companies and isolates special situations in the mining sector for our members. Sign up for our free E-letter for immediate action: https://www.goldinvestmentletter.com/realvision

The Saudi-led cut has drawn criticism from the Biden administration. Maggie Lake speaks with Harris Kupperman, Founder & CIO, Praetorian Capital about OPEC’s surprise cut and what it says about U.S.-Saudi relations.

Learn mo...

This episode is in partnership with The Gold Investment Letter - helping sophisticated investors successfully navigate capital markets and maximize profits in gold, silver, and mining stocks. GIL discovers the most undervalued companies and isolates special situations in the mining sector for our members. Sign up for our free E-letter for immediate action: https://www.goldinvestmentletter.com/realvision

Harry Melandri joins the show to assess whether there’s any cure for this global economic hangover? Harry Melandri, advisor at MI2 Partners, joins Ash Bennington to talk through the current state of the global economy, risks in the re...

This episode is in partnership with The Gold Investment Letter - helping sophisticated investors successfully navigate capital markets and maximize profits in gold, silver, and mining stocks. GIL discovers the most undervalued companies and isolates special situations in the mining sector for our members. Sign up for our free E-letter for immediate action: https://www.goldinvestmentletter.com/realvision

As earnings season unfolds, is the VIX warning investors of a new window of weakness? Maggie Lake sits down with Cem Karsan, founder of Kai Volatility Advisors, to discuss whether the Federal Reserve still needs to trigger a "reverse...

U.S. markets stall as the VIX hits a new 52-week low. What's next? Maggie Lake is joined by Jared Dillian, editor of the Daily Dirtnap newsletter, to update us on current market sentiment, what volatility levels are signaling, and why he’s bullish on European stocks.

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