Markets keep climbing despite rising oil prices, geopolitical tensions and growing inflation risks. The S&P500 and Nasdaq pushed to fresh record highs as stronger-than-expected earnings — especially from AI and energy companies — helped investors look through the Middle East turmoil and higher energy costs. But beneath the surface, the rally is becoming increasingly narrow, with tech and semiconductors doing most of the heavy lifting. The million dollar question is: why markets continue rallying despite unideal geopolitical headlines, why emerging markets are also hitting record highs despite a rising oil and stronger US dollar, and why some investors — including Michael Burry — warn tha...

AI investors now brush aside worsening geopolitical headlines. Despite fading peace hopes in the Middle East, rising oil prices and renewed inflation fears, tech-heavy indices trade to record highs, driven once again by semiconductor and AI-linked stocks. The divergence between tech and the rest of the market is becoming increasingly extreme, with investors seemingly willing to ignore slowing growth signals and energy-driven inflation risks as long as the AI narrative remains alive. But with crude oil back above $100pb, inflation data due this week and valuations looking increasingly stretched, investors may be underestimating the risks building beneath the surface. Could...

Markets are ending the week on another geopolitical twist as renewed Middle East tensions can’t come to an end! Meanwhile, all eyes now turn to the US jobs report. While employment data remains important, investors are increasingly watching wage growth and inflation signals as central banks grow more concerned about price pressures than slowing labour markets. Can strong jobs and softer wages keep the rally alive? Or will rising oil prices and inflation fears dominate sentiment again? Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Ca...

Markets erupted in euphoria after headlines suggested that a potential US-Iran peace proposal could help de-escalate tensions in the Middle East. Oil prices plunged from recent highs, the US dollar weakened, yields dropped and equity markets surged to fresh records, with AI and semiconductor stocks once again leading the rally. But is the market getting ahead of itself? Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012...

Markets erupted in euphoria after headlines suggested that a potential US-Iran peace proposal could help de-escalate tensions in the Middle East. Oil prices plunged from recent highs, the US dollar weakened, yields dropped and equity markets surged to fresh records, with AI and semiconductor stocks once again leading the rally. But is the market getting ahead of itself? Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012...

Bitcoin is slowly creeping up to 80'000 USD, how long will it stay there?

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AI optimism is once again overpowering geopolitical fears. Markets continue to flip-flop between Middle East headlines and enthusiasm around artificial intelligence, but investors remain focused on strong tech earnings, booming AI infrastructure spending and resilient equity momentum. The S&P500, Nasdaq100 and Kospi are at ATH levels thanks to semiconductor stocks, amid strong earnings reaction. European equities are lagging behind tech-heavy markets like the Kospi and Taiex, as energy prices are shaping sentiment, and investors appear increasingly comfortable ignoring geopolitical risks unless tensions escalate significantly. Today, we discuss whether markets are underpricing risk, what the latest US economic data means...

Oil volatility, rising yields and geopolitical tensions are back in focus — and markets are feeling it. A fresh escalation in the Middle East sent crude prices surging before easing slightly, reminding investors how quickly sentiment can flip from optimism to risk-off. As oil pushes higher, the narrative shifts from supply concerns to demand destruction, with inflation fears and hawkish central bank expectations returning to the forefront. At the same time, the US dollar is regaining strength, weighing on gold and tightening financial conditions globally. Equity markets are reacting, with pressure on European stocks and renewed uncertainty around trade dynamics. Meanwhile, th...

Is Ethereum the better war-proof investment than BTC? How is Solana planning on becoming quantum-resistant?

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Geopolitical tensions remain elevated as uncertainty around the Strait of Hormuz keeps oil markets tight, with no clear resolution in sight. Despite this, global equities continue to show resilience. Central banks are holding rates steady, but the tone is shifting — particularly in Europe, where inflation concerns persist even as growth weakens. At the same time, AI optimism continues to dominate market sentiment. Strong earnings from industrials and tech-linked sectors highlight how AI-driven investment is feeding into the real economy. Meanwhile, Apple’s latest results show a different approach — strong cash returns and limited AI spending, but increased reliance on external models...

Geopolitical tensions remain elevated as uncertainty around the Strait of Hormuz keeps oil markets tight, with no clear resolution in sight. Despite this, global equities continue to show resilience. Central banks are holding rates steady, but the tone is shifting — particularly in Europe, where inflation concerns persist even as growth weakens. At the same time, AI optimism continues to dominate market sentiment. Strong earnings from industrials and tech-linked sectors highlight how AI-driven investment is feeding into the real economy. Meanwhile, Apple’s latest results show a different approach — strong cash returns and limited AI spending, but increased reliance on external models...

Microsoft, Amazon and Alphabet posted strong earnings, with cloud growth confirming that the AI boom is translating into real revenue. From Amazon’s fastest cloud expansion in years to Microsoft’s 39% Azure growth, the AI trade looks alive and well. At the same time, oil prices are surging above $113, shaking the macro outlook. Rising energy costs are pushing inflation expectations higher and complicating the path for the Federal Reserve and other central banks. So… is the AI rally strong enough to withstand an oil shock? Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the struct...

Two major headlines hit markets yesterday: a report that OpenAI may be missing internal revenue and user growth targets, and the United Arab Emirates are stepping away from OPEC. Nasdaq 100 fell 1%, as oil prices rallied on near-term supply concerns, even as longer-dated contracts signalled a more cautious medium-term outlook. Later today, investors will focus on the Fed decision and Big Tech earnings from Microsoft, Google and Meta. Let’s see if the latter could keep investors in the mood! Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Ba...

With no progress on Middle East peace talks, rising tensions are pushing energy prices higher, complicating the outlook for inflation, central banks and global growth. The BoJ leaved rates unchanged but revised growth projections lower and inflation forecast higher. The Fed may be on hold for longer, as well. while policymakers face a tough trade-off: rising prices and slowing economies. At the same time, Big Tech is stepping back into the spotlight. Once questioned over massive AI spending and stretched balance sheets, tech giants are now seen as a relative safe haven in a fragile market environment. But there’s a...

Markets are kicking off the week in a risk-on mood — but is it built to last? Renewed peace hopes in the Middle East are helping ease geopolitical tensions, pulling energy prices slightly lower and boosting equities across Asia, the US and Europe. At the same time, earnings season is delivering: a strong majority of companies are beating expectations, keeping the bullish momentum alive. Beneath the surface, cracks are forming, but the latter is also softening the central bank expectations! Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Ba...

Bitcoin is finally showing us some strength!

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Geopolitical tensions remain elevated as markets navigate fragile ceasefire dynamics, rising oil prices, and persistent inflation pressures. Brent crude is consolidating near the $100 per barrel level, keeping global yields elevated and reinforcing concerns about the inflation outlook. At the same time, macro data is beginning to reflect the strain, with European activity—particularly in services—showing signs of weakness under higher energy costs. Equity markets remain resilient near all-time highs, but internal dispersion is increasing. Software stocks came under pressure after IBM’s results raised questions about AI disruption to traditional business models, while semiconductor names continue to outperform on strong...

Major US indices hit fresh record highs yesterday but the contrast between market prices and fundamentals is striking. Geopolitical tensions remain elevated, energy markets are volatile and macro data is starting to show strain. Yet risk assets continue to climb, driven less by the physical economy and more by narrative momentum—especially around AI and long-term productivity gains. The growing gap raises a broader question—are markets still pricing reality, or expectations? Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Priv...

Markets are navigating a fragile calm. The Middle East ceasefire extension isn’t enough to anchor sentiment, as oil volatility persists and uncertainty around supply dynamics lingers. Yet, despite rising energy prices, the US consumer refuses to crack—fueling higher yields and pushing back rate cut expectations. Across assets, conviction is thin: equities are mixed, the dollar is losing momentum, and investors are increasingly focused on what comes next. With earnings season kicking off, all eyes turn to Tesla—not for the numbers, but for its AI narrative and long-term growth story. Is this just noise… or the start of somethin...

Oil spikes, then pulls back. Markets sell off, then bounce. Is this the same pattern all over again? This week kicked off with renewed Middle East tensions shaking sentiment, but the real story may lie beneath the surface. Despite supply risks and ongoing disruptions, oil prices are struggling to hold their gains — pointing to something deeper: demand destruction may already be kicking in. Meanwhile, equities — especially tech and AI names — continue to show resilience, brushing off macro uncertainty and geopolitical noise. Are investors underestimating the risks, or correctly looking through the volatility? With key US data ahead and Kevin Warsh’s Senate...

Markets are walking a tightrope. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have flared up again, sending oil prices higher and raising fresh questions about global stability. Oil is up, US and European markets are pressured but Asian tech heavy indices are holding up well thanks to encouraging AI news of late. This week, earnings season is picking up pace, with major companies about to report. Can strong results offset the pressure from higher oil and ongoing conflict? Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale...

For decades, the US dollar has been the undisputed anchor of the global financial system. But what happens if that dominance starts to crack — even slightly? And could the euro step in? From the weaponisation of finance to rising US deficits and a more fragmented global trade system, the foundations of dollar dominance are being quietly challenged. Europe sees an opportunity: a stronger international euro could reduce imported inflation, lower transaction costs, deepen capital markets and increase financial autonomy. But the path is far from simple. Without a unified fiscal system, a true safe asset comparable to US Treasuries, and st...

When investors talk about “the market,” they are usually referring to an index. But what exactly are stock market indices, and why have they become such a powerful tool for investors? In this episode, we break down how major benchmarks like the S&P 500, FTSE 100, DAX, and CAC 40 work. We also explore how indices reflect different economies, why diversification matters, and how investors can gain exposure through ETFs or futures. From technology-driven US markets to commodity-heavy indices, discover how tracking the right index can help shape a smarter investment strategy. Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her fina...

Silver is often grouped with gold as a “precious metal” — but that label can be misleading. Unlike gold, silver is not a safe haven. It behaves more like a cyclical asset, driven by industrial demand rather than financial stress. With roughly half of global demand coming from sectors like electronics, solar panels, and electric vehicles, silver is deeply tied to economic growth and the energy transition. That makes its price sensitive not just to macro conditions and interest rates, but also to the US dollar and broader commodity cycles. On top of that, supply dynamics are complex, as most silver is pro...

In the first episode of a series focused on commodities, we dive into the world of crude oil in this special episode, break down the key factors shaping oil prices — from global supply and demand dynamics to geopolitics, US dollar moves, interest rates and economic growth. Learn how OPEC+, US shale and top consumers like China, the US, and India influence market balance and imbalances. We also explore trading strategies: spot markets, futures, equities and energy ETFs, highlighting risks, opportunities and the nuances of the market structure. Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in...

Bitcoin is back in the green, thanks to the ceasefire in Iran! Will it be enough for bullish momentum?

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Natural gas is one of the most important — and often misunderstood — energy commodities in the world. While oil usually dominates the conversation, natural gas plays a crucial role in heating homes, fueling power plants, supporting industrial activity and acting as a bridge fuel in the global energy transition. In this episode, we explore how natural gas markets actually work. Why are there different regional prices? Why can gas prices diverge dramatically between the US, Europe and Asia? And how do traders and investors gain exposure to natural gas through futures, ETFs, or energy companies? Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozka...

US equities surged nearly 3% on renewed hopes that tensions between the US and Iran could ease, lifting investor sentiment across global markets. Oil prices pulled back, the US dollar weakened, and the euro gained as traders reassessed central bank expectations. A more cautious tone from the Federal Reserve, combined with softer US economic data, contrasted with rising inflation pressures in Europe—fueling moves in FX markets. But is this rally built to last? Much will depend on energy prices and whether geopolitical risks continue to ease or flare up again. With the Strait of Hormuz remaining a key pressure point – and...

In this episode of UNLOCKED, Cindy Candrian, founder of Delta Labs, joins us to explore the rise of “AI twins”: artificial versions of people designed to better understand how we think, decide and behave. 🎙️ Drawing from her work at the intersection of AI, human behavior and decision-making, she explains why humans are often blind to their own biases, and why AI twins can sometimes predict our actions more accurately than we can ourselves. 📊 We also discuss cognitive bias, overlooked customer segments, and how AI can help businesses move beyond their own perspective to make better decisions, ask better questions and understand p...

Markets are walking a tightrope. A sharp rebound in sovereign bonds suggests investors believe the surge in oil prices will slow global growth enough to limit central bank tightening. But is that a step too far? While yields pulled back and Fed Chair Jerome Powell struck a relatively balanced tone, inflation—especially in Europe—is far from under control. The ECB is unlikely to sit on its hands, keeping rate hikes firmly in play even as growth risks mount. Meanwhile, equity rebounds look fragile. Energy stocks are thriving, but the broader market faces rising costs and potential margin compression. Yet earn...

The escalation in the Middle East continues with US troops coming to the region and Houthis joining the war. Oil prices are up this morning, again, with some calling for $150… even $200 per barrel. But at what cost? Demand destruction, rising recession risks and a potential stagflation shock are all back on the table. At the same time, central banks are stuck. Inflation could stay higher for longer, even as growth slows — a difficult mix to assess when uncertainties are so high. Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the...

A ceasefire… of sorts. While Donald Trump extended his self-imposed ceasefire deadline in the Middle East, attacks continue at full speed and traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains severely limited. Iran’s “gift” to Trump? Allowing 10 oil tankers to pass this week — compared to ~100 in normal times. Markets are clinging to the hope that the extension keeps immediate escalation off the table, offering fragile relief into the weekend. Oil flows remain constrained, geopolitical tensions persist, and global inflation risks are rising. Investors are left watching carefully: this isn’t peace, and risks persist! Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya...

Crypto also profits from AI domination, this time with Bittensor

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Markets are already pricing in peace—but is it far too early? Despite rising geopolitical tensions and Iran’s rejection of the US proposal, equities continue to push higher, with the S&P500 showing surprising resilience. Investors appear eager to move past the conflict, but the reality on the ground tells a different story. Oil prices are climbing again, inflation risks are resurfacing, and central banks may be forced to stay tighter for longer. At the same time, bond yields are rising, mortgage rates are creeping higher, and the US dollar is regaining strength. Markets are leaning into an optimistic scen...

Middle East tensions remain firmly in the driver’s seat—and markets are reacting in real time. Oil is volatile, equities are cautiously rebounding, and the US dollar continues to push higher. Meanwhile, global growth signals are weakening, inflation pressures are creeping back, and central banks may be forced into a more hawkish stance. History reminds us that geopolitical shocks can fade—but only if tensions ease. Could oil stabilize? The answer is yes, but the timing remains unknown, and the short term price moves depend on Iran’s response and duration of the war. Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozk...

Markets are trading like a theatre of the absurd — where one headline can flip everything in seconds. Within hours, threats of escalation turned into ceasefire hopes, sending oil plunging, equities soaring, and investors scrambling to keep up. But just as quickly, doubts crept back in. At the center of it all: the TACO trade — the idea that Trump ultimately “chickens out.” It’s worked before. But what happens when the other side doesn’t play along? With tensions in the Middle East driving energy prices and sentiment, markets are caught between fear of escalation and fear of missing the next rally. Is th...

The narrative is changing hands. What started as a US-driven escalation in the Middle East is now evolving into a more complex standoff, with Iran increasingly shaping expectations. Markets are reacting differently—investors are less sensitive to Trump’s announcements, signaling that the US is no longer fully in control of the story. Oil prices remain elevated on fears of a prolonged disruption, while rising inflation expectations push central banks toward more hawkish moves. Slower growth and stagflation risks are also being priced in, creating a delicate balancing act for investors. Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her...

Oil is pulling back as US/Israel are trying to calm the game, but don’t be fooled—the Middle East continues to boil, energy price risks remain tilted to the upside and the latter has thrown central banks into a fresh dilemma: what to do with the rates? Rate cut expectations are fading, while the risk of renewed tightening is creeping back—especially in Europe, where the energy shock hits harder. But here’s the catch: higher rates won’t fix an oil shock. Is there a place to hide? Chinese equities outperformed US, European peers since the beginning of the Ira...

Oil markets can’t catch a break. What started as optimism on Iraq resuming exports quickly flipped into renewed panic as escalating tensions in the Middle East rattled energy markets. Attacks on Iranian facilities and threats toward Gulf countries have pushed oil and gas prices sharply higher again — and markets are feeling the heat. Equities are under pressure as rising energy costs squeeze margins and fuel inflation fears. Meanwhile, central banks are walking a tightrope. The Fed held rates steady, but the tone remains cautious — even hawkish — as inflation risks linger. And it’s not just the US: the ECB, BoE, and S...

XRP gaining speed again according to futures traders... 00:00 Intro 00:26 Disclaimer 00:30 Preview 00:43 Bitcoin 05:50 Ethereum 07:37 Ripple 08:49 Subscribe & Good bye #crypto #cryptonews #cryptotrading #swissquote _____ 👉 Discover our brand and philosophy: https://www.swissquote.com/en/group _____ 👉 Deepen your trading and investing knowledge with Swissquote Inspire: explore our articles, analyses, webinars and exclusive content: https://www.swissquote.com/private/inspire _____ 👉 Discover Swissquote’s culture and join a company that values innovation, diversity and team spirit: https://www.swissquote.com/en/careers