The Decision Advantage

In this episode of The Decision Advantage podcast, RANE’s Senior Middle East and North Africa analyst Ryan Bohl and RANE’s Global Economy Analyst Markus Jaeger provide an in-depth look at global bond markets.

RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information about RANE's risk intelligence solutions, visit www.ranenetwork.com. 

This episode was recorded on October, 26th 2026.

RANE's South Asia Analyst Misha Iqbal takes an in-depth look at Bangladesh’s potential graduation from Least Developed Country status. 

RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information about RANE's risk intelligence solutions, visit www.ranenetwork.com.

In late September, the Tigray People’s Liberation Front, which controlled most of Ethiopia’s northern Tigray region, launched offensives against the Ethiopian government following months of rising tensions between the two sides. However, the Ethiopian military rapidly gained the upper hand, entering the regional capital Mekelle on October 3 and pressing further north, following which reporting suggests that Eritrea deployed thousands of troops to northern Tigray. While Eritrea now seems to have withdrawn the bulk of its forces, tensions between the two countries remain severe, with widespread fears that they will once again go to war. In this episode of T...

In this episode of The Decision Advantage, Senior Middle East and North Africa Analyst Ryan Bohl examines Israel’s shift back towards a containment strategy in Gaza. He explores why Israel traditionally treated Gaza as a secondary frontier, and why returning to a posture of "mowing the grass" carries a far steeper cost today.

RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information about RANE's risk intelligence solutions, visit www.ranenetwork.com. 

On July 22, the Washington Post reported that the Trump administration is considering taking military action against al Qaeda affiliate JNIM in Mali. This comes amid an expansion of jihadist activity across West Africa at large, and follows large-scale attacks by JNIM and its allies across Mali in late April. In this episode of the Decision Advantage, RANE’s Sub-Saharan Africa analyst Remi Dodd lays out the major implications and likely scenarios.

RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience fo...

In this episode of The Decision Advantage, RANE’s Asia-Pacific Analyst Nate Fischler unpacks the complex geopolitical history of the Pacific Islands and lays out the larger strategic stakes and dynamics shaping the region’s security environment.

RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information about RANE's risk intelligence solutions, visit www.ranenetwork.com. 

In this episode of RANE’s new mini-series, Foreseen Effects, on The Decision Advantage, we take one verified event, one thing that happened out in the observable world, and we walk the chain. First order. Second order. Third order. And to keep us honest, we bring in an expert to think through the chain of events.

Today that's Ryan Bohl, Middle East and North Africa analyst at RANE. Ryan has spent this entire crisis watching the Gulf. We'll tell the story of what happened, then bring him in with pointed questions about what happened next, and we'll ke...

In this episode of The Decision Advantage, RANE's Global Security Analyst Hellen Muzungu discusses unrest risks in various Sub-Saharan countries stemming from the Iran conflict.

RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information about RANE's risk intelligence solutions, visit www.ranenetwork.com. 

In this episode of The Decision Advantage, RANE Global Economy Analyst Markus Jaeger provides an update to our Q1 conversation regarding the economic implications of the Iran War.

RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information about RANE's risk intelligence solutions, visit www.ranenetwork.com. 

In this episode of The Decision Advantage podcast, RANE’s Senior Middle East and North Africa Analyst Ryan Bohl examines how the current crisis in the Strait of Hormuz is pushing decades of American grand strategy in the Middle East to its breaking point.

RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information about RANE's risk management solutions, visit www.ranenetwork.com.

In this episode of The Decision Advantage podcast, RANE Asia-Pacific Analyst Chase Blazek explores how Washington's traditional military support for Taiwan is being leveraged as a high-stakes bargaining chip in the ongoing U.S.-China trade war.

RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information about RANE's risk management solutions, visit www.ranenetwork.com.

In this episode of The Decision Advantage Podcast, founder of RANE David Lawrence and Silobreaker CEO Geoff Brown discuss insights and analyses shared at RANE’s recent in-person briefing session on key developments shaping today’s threat landscape. 

RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information about RANE's risk management solutions, visit www.ranenetwork.com.

In this episode of The Decision Advantage, RANE's Cyber Analyst Ali Plucinski addresses the systemic and corporate risks posed by Anthropic’s Claude Mythos, which claims to have unprecedented cybersecurity capabilities, and provides potential roadmaps for organizations to mitigate these threats.

RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information about RANE's risk intelligence solutions, visit www.ranenetwork.com.

In this episode of The Decision Advantage, RANE's Sub-Saharan Africa Analyst Remi Dodd deep dives into the current outlook for the ongoing conflict between Rwanda and the Democratic Republic of the Congo.

RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information about RANE's risk intelligence solutions, visit www.ranenetwork.com.

In this episode of The Decision Advantage, RANE's Middle East and North Africa Analyst Kristin Ronzi provides an update on the current status of Iran-U.S. negotiations and discusses the key imperatives shaping the direction of the talks. 

RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information about RANE's risk intelligence solutions, visit www.ranenetwork.com.

In this episode of The Decision Advantage, RANE's Cyber Intelligence Analyst Hayley Benedict provides an analysis of how high-stakes cyber tools are currently defining modern geopolitical conflict.

RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information about RANE's risk intelligence solutions, visit www.ranenetwork.com. 

RANE’s Legal, Regulatory and Compliance Risk Outlook focuses on the implications of  President Trump's legal and regulatory priority divergence from his first term and looks at the new resulting organizational risks associated with these changes. 

In this episode of The Decision Advantage, RANE's Senior Legal, Compliance and Regulatory Analyst Beth Siegert unpacks key insights from the LRC Outlook and provides a roadmap for professionals to navigate the complex and evolving regulatory landscape. 

RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensur...

In this episode of The Decision Advantage, RANE’s Global Security Analyst Hellen Muzungu shares her insights into the rise and spread of Jihadism in West Africa and the Sahel.  

RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information about RANE's risk management solutions, visit www.ranenetwork.com. Sign up to receive our complimentary weekly rundown, an email digest that highlights the geopolitical risks and opportunities that will shape the coming week, keeping you up t...

In this episode of The Decision Advantage, RANE Asia-Pacific Analyst Chase Blazek breaks down the geopolitical ripples of an Iran conflict and what it means for the regional balance of power across Asia.

RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information about RANE's risk management solutions, visit www.ranenetwork.com. Sign up to receive our complimentary weekly rundown, an email digest that highlights the geopolitical risks and opportunities that will shape the coming...

In this episode of The Decision Advantage podcast, RANE’s Global Economy Analyst Markus Jaeger breaks down the potential economic fallout from various Iran conflict scenarios.

RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information about RANE's risk management solutions, visit www.ranenetwork.com. Sign up to receive our complimentary weekly rundown, an email digest that highlights the geopolitical risks and opportunities that will shape the coming week, keeping you up to date on th...

The 14th National Party Congress in Hanoi has just wrapped up, and To Lam has been reaffirmed as General Secretary. As we look toward the mid-March National Assembly elections, the country potentially faces additional political shifts. RANE’s Asia-Pacific Analyst Nate Fischler unpacks the broad national implications as well as the international impact of these changes.

RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information about RANE's risk management solutions, visit www.ranenetwork.co...

As the situation in Iran rapidly evolved this weekend, RANE’s analyst team provided continuous, actionable intelligence to keep our clients ahead of the curve. Ryan Bohl RANE’s Senior Middle East and North Africa Analyst provides a rundown on  events of this past weekend and what to expect going forward. 

RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information about RANE's risk management solutions, visit www.ranenetwork.com.

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In this episode of The Decision Advantage podcast, RANE's Middle East and North Africa Analyst Kristin Ronzi addresses what a civilian nuclear agreement between the United States and Saudi Arabia could look like, reactions to the prospect of allowing uranium enrichment and what a deal could mean for a potential arms race.

RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information about RANE's risk management solutions, visit www.ranenetwork.com. Sign up to receive...

Michael Metz, COO for V.I.P. Mortgage, Inc. and Ryan Bohl, RANE’s Senior Middle East and North Africa Analyst discuss current geopolitical dynamics and the effects of uncertainty and perception on the bond market. 

Michael Metz is the Chief Operating Officer for V.I.P. Mortgage, Inc., a mid-sized residential independent mortgage bank based out of Scottsdale, Arizona, with a nationwide presence. He has been with the company for 16 years and runs the operations and forecasting to ensure the company can prepare for market shifts and help with community homeownership.

RANE is a glo...

In this episode of The Decision Advantage, South America Analyst Mario Braga breaks down how RANE analysts navigate dynamic geopolitical shifts, using the evolving U.S.-Venezuela relationship as a roadmap.

RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information about RANE's risk management solutions, visit www.ranenetwork.com.

In this episode of The Decision Advantage, RANE’s South Asia Analyst Misha Iqbal discusses the major players and pressures shaping the outlook for Bangladesh’s first election following the pro-democracy uprising that ousted Sheikh Hasina in 2024.

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RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information about RANE's risk...

In this episode of RANE Insights, Founder of RANE David Lawrence sits down with Dr. Sarah Church to explore the culture of online gambling and its societal effects. 

Dr. Church is a clinical psychologist with more than 20 years of experience in research, program development, and treatment of patients with substance use and co-occurring mental health disorders. She is an expert in Mentalization Based Therapy (MBT), Cognitive Behavioral Therapy (CBT), Community Reinforcement Approach (CRA), Community Reinforcement Approach and Family Therapy, (CRAFT), and Contingency Management.

You can learn more about her work here.

RANE is a...

On September 9, Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed inaugurated the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam on the Blue Nile at a high-profile ceremony in the presence of several regional heads of state. But while the inauguration of the Renaissance dam was seen as a triumph by many Ethiopians, it sparked fresh backlash from downstream Egypt and Sudan, with Egyptian President Abdel Fatah al Sisi denouncing Ethiopia’s inauguration ceremony as unilateralism and stressing that Egypt would take “all necessary measures to protect its interests and water security.” 

In this episode of RANE's Essential Geopolitics, RANE's Sub-Saharan Africa Analyst Rémi Dodd...

In this episode of Essential Geopolitics, RANE's Director of Analysis Adriano Bosoni and RANE’s Lead Europe Analyst Matteo Ilardo examine the current state of European politics and discuss the forces shaping the geopolitical landscape in Europe through 2026.

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RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information about RAN...

For this special episode of Essential Geopolitics, RANE's Senior Middle East and North Africa Analyst Ryan Bohl provides a brief, but substantive historical overview of U.S. involvement in the Middle East over the past 200 years. 

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RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information about RANE's risk ma...

Chinese nation-state actors were observed using Anthropic's Claude Code generative AI coding assistant in an espionage campaign first discovered in mid-September, according to a report from Anthropic released Nov. 13th.

In this episode of Essential Geopolitics, RANE’s Cyber Intelligence Analyst Ali Plucinski explores the details of this campaign and discusses what it could mean for the future of state-sponsored espionage activity. 

Register here to receive a complimentary subscription to RiskBook, our curated email digest with the latest risk news and analysis, delivered every weekday morning. 

RANE is a global risk intelligence company that...

In this episode of Essential Geopolitics, RANE’s Asia-Pacific Analyst, Nate Fischler unpacks the motivations behind Indonesia’s interest in the Israel-Gaza conflict and explores the major constraints and defining factors impacting the country’s domestic policy. 

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RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information about RANE's risk man...

In this episode of Essential Geopolitics, RANE’s Latin America Analyst Mario Braga and RANE’s Senior Middle East and North Africa Analyst Ryan Bohl explain the dynamics of the current situation between Venezuela and the U.S. and deep dive into the complex history of the relationship that shapes the outlook for various cooperative and/or conflict-ridden scenarios.

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RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security profe...

In this episode of RANE Insights, Founder of RANE David Lawrence sits down with Dr. Mark Gold to discuss causes and implications of the recent increase of global cocaine production and use. 

Mark S. Gold, M.D., is an author, inventor, and mentor who has had over 1,000 peer-reviewed publications since beginning his academic career at the University of Florida College of Medicine and Yale University School of Medicine in the 1970s.

You can learn more about his work here. 

Register here to receive a complimentary subscription to RiskBook, our curated email digest with th...

In September 2025, Nepal’s government banned major social-media platforms, which ignited wider youth protests over corruption, unemployment, and elite privilege. After days of deadly protests, Prime Minister K.P. Sharma Oli resigned, paving the way for an interim leader to take charge and call for fresh elections for March 2026. This is the most recent political upheaval in South Asia and it’s reminiscent of the July 2024 protests in Bangladesh which erupted over a controversial job-quota system and broader discontent with governance. As a result, the long-time prime minister Sheikh Hasina stepped down and an interim government took leadership with elec...

Political instability is on the rise in Africa, driven by a new wave of youth activism. Gen Z is increasingly vocal in demanding political and economic reforms, as seen in Morocco and Madagascar. In Morocco, the Gen Z 212 protests began in late September, criticizing the government's public service provision, corruption in the government and the current prime minister. In this episode of Essential Geopolitics, RANE’s Middle East and North Africa Analyst Kristin Ronzi unpacks likely geopolitical causes and implications of the recent rise in Gen Z protests.

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In this episode of Essential Geopolitics, RANE's Asia-Pacific Analyst Chase Blazek unpacks the results of Japan’s recent LDP leadership election and explores what the outcome means for the  country going forward.

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RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information about RANE's risk management solutions, visit www.rane...

RANE recently published our Fourth Quarter Geopolitical and Threat Intelligence Forecasts which cover key trends we're following in the final months of 2025, including U.S. trade policy, the war in Ukraine and conflicts in the Middle East. In this episode of Essential Geopolitics, RANE’s Directors of Analysis Adriano Bosoni and Sam Lichtenstein share a brief overview of the report. 

DOWNLOAD THE FORECAST SUMMARY HERE.

RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For mor...

Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard has unveiled what she calls ODNI 2.0 — a sweeping overhaul that will cut nearly half of the agency’s workforce, eliminate or consolidate several intelligence centers, and slash more than $700 million in annual costs. RANE’s Cyber Intelligence Analyst Hayley Benedict explains the increased cybersecurity risks associated with the recent ODNI cuts. 

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RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to criti...

In this episode of Essential Geopolitics, RANE’s Global Economy Analyst Markus Jaeger analyzes the risks associated with potentially compromised Fed independence in light of President Trump’s criticism of the organization.

Register here to receive a complimentary subscription to RiskBook, our curated email digest with the latest risk news and analysis, delivered every weekday morning. 

RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information about RANE's risk management solutions, visit www.ranen...