The Exchange
"The Exchange" on CNBC is a one-stop shop for the day's top business stories, along with breaking news and the must-see market movers heading into the back half of the trading day. This newsroom-based program also features lots of original reporting, in-depth conversations and showcases CNBC's award-winning investigative work.
Capital Concerns Hammer the AI Trade 10/22/26
Tech stocks under pressure after Nvidia’s Jensen Huang warns that neocloud demand is ‘off the charts,’ but capital is scarce. Meta taking a step to address those concerns, planning to issue a new class of non-voting shares the company can use to raise funds. Plus, Palantir’s Joe Lonsdale’s long-term investment advice.
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SpaceX’s Tesla Tie-Up, Muse Momentum, and AI’s 1% 10/21/26
SpaceX pop on strong earnings and Elon Musk’s signaling about the possibility of a merger with Tesla, but one AI researcher is flagging a risk he calls an “unacceptable liability.” Meta shares down nearly 10% from its high following Muse’s launch, will third quarter results bring the momentum back? Plus, the AI industry’s new spending problem.
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Cracks in the AI Trade, A Content Clash, and The Key Questions for SpaceX 10/20/26
One portfolio manager is playing defense with mega cap tech stocks as investors weigh potential red flags for the AI trade. Does Netflix have a content issue? Plus, ahead of earnings, the five factors Evercore says will drive the medium-term action in SpaceX.
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Bull Case for Coreweave, Putin Suggests Summit, and the Read on Retail 10/19/26
The positive case for Coreweave, despite its debt raising some red flags. Atlantic Council CEO Fred Kempe says it’s been the worst 10 days for U.S-Ukraine relations as reports circulate that Russia’s Putin has proposed a summit with President Trump and China’s President Xi to end the Ukraine War. Plus, Morgan Stanley’s under-the-radar retail winners, including one housing adjacent name.
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Flying Cars, Deep Value in Korea, and Tech on Deck 10/16/26
Tesla debuts its long-awaited Roadster; it flies, it drives upside down—but is it commercially viable? Memory stocks capture much of the attention when it comes to investing in Korea, but Verdad’s Dan Rasmussen is finding bargains beyond the chips. Plus, the trades on Netflix, Meta, and SpaceX ahead of next week’s results.
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Risk off, Rate Reprieve and a new OpenAI Lawsuit 10/15/26
The AI trade is getting shellacked with a surprisingly positive twist; it’s lowering bond yields. We look at what that tells us about inflation, the economy, and the future of rate hikes.
Plus, Nebraska AG Mike Hilgers on the decision to sue OpenAI.
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Goldman Sachs CEO, The Debt Dilemma, and Open A-Spy? 10/14/26
An extended interview with Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon on the heels of the bank’s results. Brookings’ Robin Brooks would be long gold and short the dollar, saying debt is going to be an issue for the medium-term. Plus, the wild tale behind the arrest of a former OpenAI employee.
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the Exchange 10/13/26
Listen to the day's top stories, the must reads & a whole lot more for today's modern investor.
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The Bull Market Turns Four, Energy Headwinds, and Isaacson on AI Safety 10/12/26
On the fourth anniversary of the bull market, Bespoke’s Paul Hickey digs into the historical data for what comes next. Oil prices back on the rise after Houthis attack Saudi Arabia and President Trump tries to broker an “energy ceasefire” between Russia and Ukraine. Plus, Walter Isaacson on what AI regulation should look like.
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SpaceX’s Starlink Push, The Real Price of Oil, and the NBA’s Big Bet 10/9/26
The beaten down names that could benefit from SpaceX’s push deeper into the US telecom market. Energy Aspects’ Amrita Sen on how much oil actually costs. Plus, we’re live from Macao as the NBA heads overseas for a second year in a row.
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Oil Spike, The Technical Take, and Oppormunities 10/8/26
Oil prices higher, despite President Trump asserting the U.S. will not attack Iran again before the midterms. Technician Katie Stockton sees new highs ahead for Nvidia. Plus, the tax-free bonds to buy as Treasurys sit near multi-decade-highs.
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Bond Bull, Un-Freezing Housing, and Under-the-Radar AI Names 10/7/26
The Vice Chairman of Ariel Investments says investors are being adequately paid to hold bonds for the first time in seven years. Can policymakers fix the frozen housing market? Plus, two AI-related names to buy outside the tech sector, as the Nasdaq retreats from record highs.
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Stocks at Record Highs, The Bullish Case for Bonds, and NYC’s AI Safety Push 10/6/26
What’s in store for the fourth quarter as the S&P and Nasdaq both hit record highs. Parametric’s Nisha Patel makes the case for adding duration risk, despite volatile rates. Plus, the NYC Council Speaker says senior leadership from the likes of OpenAI and Meta were unable to answer the most basic questions posed to them at a recent AI hearing.
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A New Normal, From Wall Street to Y’all Street, and “Net” Bets 10/5/26
Economist Stephanie Roth argues 5% rates aren’t restrictive. Why companies like Sunoco and Dillard’s have moved their listings to the Texas Stock Exchange. Plus, our trader bets on the “NET” names in Q4.
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A Jobs Jolt, Mayer’s New Venture, and Can Nike Pick Up the “Pace”? 10/2/26
The economy added fewer jobs than expected in September--we have the first reaction from newly minted Labor Secretary Keith Sonderling, as well as what it means for the path of interest rates. Former Yahoo CEO Marissa Mayer on her new AI startup. Plus, Nike tries to revive its turnaround strategy.
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Under-the-Rader AI Plays, Housing Shift, and Sneaker Softness 10/1/26
Three beaten-down small cap AI names that are ripe for the picking, according to Federated Hermes’ Stephen Denichilo. Is real estate about to become a buyers’ market? Plus, ahead of earnings, Needham says Nike’s path of least resistance is likely the downside.
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The Federal Reserve: a Renovation Report, an Inflation Tracker, and a Tale of Espionage 9/30/26
Fresh this hour, the Federal Reserve’s independent watchdog finding no evidence of criminal wrongdoing or of administrative misconduct in its building renovations. The Fed’s favorite inflation gauge cools more than expected in August. Plus, how Chinese spies used love and betrayal to target the institution.
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Inside Man: How Chinese Spies Used Lies, Romance and Betrayal to Target the Federal Reserve
One week after a friendly summit between Chinese President Xi Jinping and U.S. President Donald Trump, CNBC details an aggressive plot by China to infiltrate one of the United States’ most important institutions: the Federal Reserve. This explosive documentary delves into the incredible saga of a Chinese spy's effort to obtain secrets from the inner confines of the US top bank. It's a tale of sex, money, deceit and betrayal that put some of the country’s vital economic and financial secrets at risk. With exclusive access to new documents, audio, photos and text messages, CNBC's Senior Washington Corr...
OpenAI’s Dev Day and A Shift for College Sports? 9/29/26
All the news from OpenAI’s Developer Day as Sam Altman takes the stage. Plus, the Senate advances a bill that could re-shape the lucrative name, image, and likeness (NIL) deals for student athletes.
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Nvidia’s Security Push, Consumer Conundrum, and the Diesel Divide 9/28/26
Nvidia launches an AI security platform to contain AI agents. Bank of America says the consumer spending is still growing, but buyers are getting choosier. Plus, why a diesel export ban could push gas prices even higher.
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Rate Hike Regret, Iran Negotiations, and Mortgage Mayhem 9/25/26
The so-called “Bond King of Texas” says the Fed made a mistake hiking rates. Stocks pop and oil prices sink on reports U.S.-Iran talks have entered the technical stage, but Helima Croft, who served as a commodities analyst at CIA, says seemingly nothing has truly shifted in negotiations. Plus, are mortgage rates above 7% the new normal?
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Navigating Rising Rates and the Trump-Xi Summit 9/24/26
Long-term yields above 5% present a good deal of “shock value” to the markets, but are likely over-rated as a driver of the economy, according to CIO Group’s Steven Wieting. Utilities under pressure amid those rising rates, and trader Jeff Kilburg is going bargain hunting. Plus, AEI’s Derek Scissors says the pageantry around Chinese President Xi’s first state visit in 11 years is setting the stage for a political clash between President Trump and other members of the GOP.
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Yields Jump, A High-Stakes Visit, and Lefrak’s Real Estate Warning 9/23/26
Yields, and rate hike expectations, climb on strong manufacturing data. With President Trump pushing back on creating a global entity for AI oversight, will a visit from Chinese president Xi Jinping’s be more show than substance? Plus, legendary real estate developer Richard LeFrak’s warning amid higher rates.
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Inspiring the AI Trade, Peloton Product Launch, and Muni Bonds to the Rescue? 9/22/26
Meta’s Muse is a hit with Main Street, but is the next phase of AI enough to keep the trade alive on Wall Street? Peloton launches a new suite of products. Plus, how muni bonds are coming to the rescue when it comes to climate disasters.
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AI Stocks Rally, Meta’s Muse Moment, Nike’s Swoon 9/21/26
The Nasdaq is climbing 2% as semiconductors and tech stocks rally. Meta having its third-best month on record amid investor optimism about its Muse personal agent app. And we look at whether Nike is nearing a bottom, as shares hit a 12-year low
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Nvidia Too Cheap to Ignore?, AI Safety Debate, Apple’s iPhone Launch 9/18/26
Our market guest’s favorite big AI name used to be Microsoft but now says Nvidia is too cheap to ignore. Plus, the AI safety debate is heating up in Washington and across the country. And the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max are launching today, but Wall Street is already looking ahead to next month’s Duo launch.
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A Post-Rate-Hike World, a C-Suite Warning, and a Former Treasury Secretary 9/17/26
Stocks higher, yields lower as markets digest the first Fed rate hike in three years. The CEO of Sentinelone says AI labs are engaging in “self-serving marketing.” Plus, an extended conversation with former Treasury Secretary Jack Lew.
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Countdown to the Fed Decision 9/16/26
Ahead of the Fed’s decision on interest rates, Kelly Evans and Brian Sullivan sit down with lawmakers, former Fed Presidents, and investing heavyweights from Washington DC.
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Yields Surge, The Fed vs. Oil, and a Predictions Pop 9/15/26
The yield on 10-year notes hitting the highest level since 2007 ahead of the Fed decision. Jefferies’ David Zervos expects a more dovish Warsh and says the market is wrong on rates. Plus, prediction markets are already scoring this NFL season.
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“Pace the Frontier,” The Case for a Cut, and Healing Healthcare 9/14/26
After Anthropic’s Dario Amodei calls to “pace the frontier” on AI, one of the researchers who discovered OpenAI’s hack of a German website says slowing U.S. model development will also curb China. Jefferies’ Chief Economist makes the case for a December rate cut. Plus, the billionaire founder of Groupon and CEO of Tempus AI on how AI is changing healthcare.
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Hikes on the Horizon, Diesel Distress and Remembering September 11 9/11/26
JPMorgan’s Michael Feroli raising his rate hike forecast to two this year after inflation comes in slightly hotter than expected. What record high diesel prices mean for the US economy. Plus, 41-year New York Stock Exchange veteran Peter Tuchman reflects on the 25th anniversary of the September 11 attacks.
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Bond Bonanza, Driving Oil Action, A GOP Guarantee? 9/10/26
Yields continue higher, and on the heels of a strong 30-year bond auction, Rick Santelli says it’s “war, not Warsh” moving rates. Real Macro’s Jeff Currie on the “toxic” double-trade pushing oil prices higher. Plus, President Trump’s $5,000 midterm ‘dividend.’
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Crude’s “Crash Diet,” Tariff Tiff, and Hold off on a Hike? 9/8/26
West Texas crude reapproaching $100 a barrel, and while Middle East tensions are ramping, Rapidan’s Bob McNally says China is also playing a big role in driving up prices this time around. We talk to the CEO of AGCO as retaliatory Canadian tariffs going into effect on U.S. goods like dairy and ag equipment. Plus, whether a 25 basis point rate hike at the next Fed meeting would do more harm than good.
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Jobs Jolt, Hugging Face’s First Investor, and Where the Pricing Power Is 9/4/26
With markets pricing in a rate hike in September after a strong August jobs report, Steve Liesman and KPMG’s Diane Swonk weigh in on whether Chair Warsh’s ‘forward silence’ could backfire. The first investor in Hugging Face reveals the three companies he’s investing in now. Plus, the trade that still has pricing power.
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Nvidia Buys Hugging Face, AI Outages, and Data Center Dissent 9/3/26
Nvidia will buy open-source AI platform Hugging Face for nearly $13B. BofA’s Vivek Arya says that will extend Nvidia’s sphere of influence well beyond Silicon. Meanwhile, ChatGPT, Claude, and Grok all experienced outages in the morning--former Marine Corps. hacker David Kennedy says while that can be attributed to new models causing massive usage spikes, there could also be other, more sinister, factors at play. Plus, a Kansas union leader on why he broke with tradition, aligning with Republicans on data centers in the state.
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The Great Data Center Debate, Apple’s New Era, and Not Swooning in September 9/2/26
As West Virginia says ‘yes’ to data centers, Governor Patrick Morrissey is focused on clean water and keeping energy costs low. Steve Jobs biographer Walter Isaacson wants Apple to get back to its roots under its new CEO, creating devices that bring humans closer to the machines and intelligence they use. Plus, trader Jeff Kilburg says, despite a potential rate hike, stocks won’t experience a September swoon.
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Hike vs. Cut, FTC Chair on Amazon Lawsuit, and Why Electricians Love Data Centers 9/1/26
Investor Barry Knapp makes the case for a Fed rate cut with global yields back on the rise. FTC Andrew Ferguson on the agency’s new lawsuit against Amazon. Plus, an officer from electrical workers union, I.B.E.W., Local 26, tells us why data centers are “the best opportunity in generations for blue-collar workers to attain a portion of the American dream.”
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Renewed Iran Tensions, Colorado’s Data Center Fight, and the Summer Software Surge 8/31/26
The US striking Iran for the first time in a month as the G20 kicks off and Secretary Bessent says the administration can keep the pressure on without China’s help. Colorado AG and Democratic gubernatorial candidate Phil Weiser on his plan for data centers. Plus, Sarat Sethi’s leader-to-laggard pick for the second half has already surged nearly 60% since July.
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Warsh at Jackson Hole, Retail Roundup, and Treasury Trouble? 8/28/26
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh striking a hawkish tone in his first speech at Jackson Hole, saying there’s more work to do on inflation and former Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren agrees. Peterson Institute’s Adam Posen calls the Treasury’s increased bond buybacks “nuts.” Plus, off-price retail is on-target, according to Bank of America.
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Nvidia’s Record Quarter, Connecticut Sues Kalshi, and So Long, SaaSpocalypse? 8/27/26
The AI trade roaring back on the heels of Nvidia’s blowout earnings and strong guidance. Connecticut Governor Ned Lamont on the state’s suit against Kalshi, the impact of Canadian tariffs, and how to lower energy costs for New Englanders. Plus, Anthropic’s Dario Amodei reassures the software industry, “we’re not interested in destroying anyone.”
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