The Exchange
"The Exchange" on CNBC is a one-stop shop for the day's top business stories, along with breaking news and the must-see market movers heading into the back half of the trading day. This newsroom-based program also features lots of original reporting, in-depth conversations and showcases CNBC's award-winning investigative work.
Safe Haven Status, Retail Wrap Up, and Crypto Comeback 8/21/26
The Wall Street Journal’s Greg Ip joins us to discuss whether U.S. Treasurys are losing their safe haven status after Treasury Secretary Bessent’s buyback plan. Plus, Guggenheim’s Simeon Siegel is here with his retail outlook after a big earnings week. And Pantera Capital’s Cosmo Jiang weighs in on bitcoin’s big week and the other big headlines in the crypto space.
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Bessent’s Bond Battle, Go Broad Not Bearish, and Stripe’s Strategy 8/20/26
Former OMB Director Mitch Daniels on the Trump administration’s fiscal policy fight. Five-star fund manager Matt McLennan says despite the rising bond risks, investors should broaden their holdings, rather than get bearish. Plus, why Stripe could stay private for the long-term.
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The Exchange 8/19/26
Listen to the day's top stories, the must reads & a whole lot more for today's modern investor.
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Global Bond Rout, Meta’s Landmark Trial, and Anthropic’s Revenue Surge 8/18/26
Yields around the world hitting multi-decade highs as bond vigilantes go to work. The Verge’s Nilay Patel says Meta’s federal child-harm trial is the social media platform’s “Microsoft moment.” Plus, Anthropic pulls back the curtain on its financials as it prepares to go public.
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Retail Ramp-Up, Chinese Tech Catalysts, and a Bitcoin breakout? 8/17/26
The retailer Morgan Stanley says could go from laggard to leader in the second half. After the 2020 clamp down, can China woo tech investors back? Plus, the bullish set-up for Bitcoin.
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Bubble Beacons, Prediction Friction, and a Data Center Disconnect 8/14/26
Semis are in a bubble, according to Citi’s indicator. Former Assistant AG Jonathan Kanter on prediction markets’ legal hurdles. Plus, the disconnect between investors and developers when it comes to data center moratoriums.
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S&P 500 Milestone, Zuckerberg’s AI Manifesto, Anthropic’s Power Deal 8/13/26
The benchmark index crossing 7,800 for the first time ever as new inflation data comes in softer than expected. Plus, early Facebook investor Roger McNamee calls Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg’s AI manifesto a piece of science fiction. And Anthropic is inking a deal with ERock to power their AI infrastructure. We speak exclusively with ERock’s CEO about the agreement.
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The Exchange 8/12/26
Listen to the day's top stories, the must reads & a whole lot more for today's modern investor.
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Compute an Asset Class?, Two Wars Becoming One?, and Existing Home Sales Slump 8/11/26
Nvidia just lined up $500 billion in funding from some of the biggest financiers in the world. Does this mean compute is now its own asset class? Plus, analysts warn the Iran war could merge with the Russia-Ukraine war. Could the US end up pulling out of the Middle East altogether? And existing home sales dropped in July. Are buyers starting to get the upper hand?
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Take a Three-Quarter Point Hike, Food Safety Changes, and Grab the Chips 8/10/26
Sticky inflation has Bank of America predicting 75 basis points of Fed hikes this year. Acting FDA Commissioner Kyle Diamantas on a rule change for ingredients and the ongoing foodborne illness outbreaks. Plus, the name trader Jeff Kilburg is buying on the dip.
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Weak Jobs Report, AI Model Fears, and the Data Center Economy 8/7/26
Does July’s weak jobs report change the Fed’s rate path? OpenAI is pausing the rollout of its upcoming model due to “cyber capabilities.” Plus, the data center economy and the three sectors our market guest is bullish on because if it.
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Memory’s Next Move, Google’s Fork in the Road, Countdown to July Jobs Report 8/6/26
Sandisk and Western Digital drop following results. We look at how position within the memory trade. Plus, Alphabet has to make a tough decision between AI talent and cloud computing dominance. And we’re counting down to tomorrow’s jobs report with a look at hiring and the labor market.
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SpaceX Sinks, AI’s Bad Behavior, 3 Rate Hikes this year? 8/5/26
One of Wall Street’s first SpaceX bears joins us on the heels of the company’s debut quarterly results. Anthropic’s Mythos makes headlines for its bad behavior. And two prominent voices in the business world see a path toward 3 rate hikes this year.
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Market Rally, Oil Slips, C-Shaped Economy 8/4/26
Another batch of strong earnings powering the Dow and S&P 500 to record highs. Oil prices fall after Treasury Secretary Bessent told CNBC we may have a deal “today or tomorrow” on the Strait of Hormuz. And our panel debates whether we’re in a K-shaped or a C-shaped economy.
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Torque in Tech, Macro Shifts, and Earnings Exchange 8/3/26
Evolution in the AI trade. A rise in long-term global bond yields. And the key names to watch this week.
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The Spending Shift, Model Mayhem, and Wrong on Warsh? 7/31/26
The bullish case for the AI capex spenders, rather than the receivers. Cybersecurity expert Ivan Tsarynny’s AI warning after Anthropic discloses three of its models breached their testing environments. Plus, Brookings’ Robin Brooks on how the market has corrected its misreading of the June Fed meeting.
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Regaining Momentum, Fed Up, and the Next Phase of the Iran War 7/30/26
Semis on the upswing after a rough couple of sessions, but should investors trust the bounce in the momentum trade after what BTIG calls the largest/fastest crash in modern history? JPMorgan’s Michael Feroli slides his rate hike timeline from the second half of 2027 to December after Kevin Warsh evades some reporter questions in his second news conference as Fed Chair. Plus, why the war in Iran could last through the midterms.
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Countdown to the Fed Decision 7/29/26
Kelly Evans and Brian Sullivan go to Washington, DC to sit down with leaders from the White House to the C-Suite ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision.
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Zelenskyy and Netanyahu in DC, A Memory Shift, and a Stealth AI MVP? 7/28/26
Ukrainian President Zelenskyy and Israeli Prime Minister meeting separately with President Trump at the White House as the wars in Iran and Ukraine become more entwined. Susquehanna’s Mehdi Hosseini says memory prices are nearing a ceiling, and that leadership in the space will come down to ‘hand-to-hand combat’ now that the ‘easy money’ has been made. Plus, Gabelli Co-CIO Chris Marangi’s under-the-radar AI trade.
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Big Tech’s Big Week, Time for Some A.I.R (AI regulators), and a China Chip Debut 7/27/26
Four of the Mag 7—Apple, Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft—report this week, our experts get you ready. Former Nasdaq CEO Bob Greifeld makes the case for AI regulation sooner than later, and draws a page from the SEC’s playbook. Plus, China’s most valuable company is also its best chance at homegrown AI chips.
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Semis Suffer, Capex Concerns Crop Up, and Bullish Bets 7/24/26
Intel’s massive quarter not enough to boost chip stocks. AI spending concerns cropping up in both the equity and the credit markets--and that could be good for Apple. Plus, the bullish options action ahead of the busiest week of this earnings season.
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Tech Trashed and Rising Risks 7/23/26
Tech under pressure as oil prices climb and yields touch multi-year highs, on top of Alphabet hiking capex for the second quarter in a row, adding to AI spending concerns. And there could be more pain ahead, at least in the short-term, according to BTIG’s Jonathan Krinsky. Plus, one company’s pivot to pets.
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John Paulson Stays Gold, Alphabet After the Bell, and the Hugging Face Hack 7/22/26
In his first CNBC appearance in nearly two years, billionaire John Paulson, alongside NovaGold Chairman Thomas Kaplan, reveals why he’s staying focused on gold. Capex the main focus of Alphabet’s Q2 earnings, and one analyst expects it to top $300B in 2027. Plus, “I can’t believe we’re living in this right now. It’s insane,” says a former Marine Corps hacker about OpenAI’s Hugging Face breach.
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No TAM Troubles, The Debt Debate, and a Defense Deficit 7/21/26
Bank of America reminds investors that “open source” AI models don’t mean “free,” and that concerns about memory stocks are overblown. With $77 billion in AI related-debt raised in June, should investors prepare for another credit boom/bust cycle? Plus, the Pentagon asks for $67 billion in immediate funding as the war in Iran drains coffers.
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Big Tech on Deck, Congress’ Midterm To-Do List, and Cyclospora Outbreak 7/20/26
Alphabet, Intel and ServiceNow report this week. There are fewer than 20 legislative days until the midterm elections and Pimco’s Libby Cantrill says Congress has a lot of work to do. Plus, a two-time former FDA commissioner on the cyclospora outbreak.
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China’s New AI Model, Tap-to-Pay Troubles, and Underdog Plays the Field 7/17/26
A new Chinese AI model reportedly narrows the gap between OpenAI and Anthropic. A CNBC investigation reveals how criminals are using tap-to-pay technology to commit fraud. Plus, the CEO of Underdog, America’s fastest growing daily fantasy sports company.
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Nibbling at Nvidia, Building Backlash, and Korea’s Volatility Curb 7/16/26
Nvidia is finally derisked enough to buy, according to GMO’s Tom Hancock. New York becomes the first state to pass anti-data center development legislation. Plus, the steps South Korea plans to take to calm the Kospi’s wild swings.
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The Exchange 7/15/26
Listen to the day's top stories, the must reads & a whole lot more for today's modern investor.
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Kevin Warsh Testifies, IBM’s Warning, and the Incredible Shrinking AI Model 7/14/26
Fed chair Kevin Warsh says inflation is a choice in his first Monetary Policy Report testimony on Capitol Hill. IBM shares have their worst day since October 1987 after the company pre-announces disappointing Q2 earnings, with CEO Arvind Krishna saying “this quarter we faltered.” Plus, CNBC’s exclusive look at the AI model small enough to run directly on an iPhone.
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Oil Climbs on Hormuz Tensions, Apple’s OpenAI Lawsuit, and Earnings Season Eve 7/13/26
Crude prices surge as President Trump says the US is ‘reinstating’ a Strait of Hormuz blockade. Apple sues OpenAI, alleging intellectual property theft, but The Verge’s Nilay Patel questions if trade secrets even exist when it comes to AI. Plus, with tech companies trading at peak margins, we set the table for second quarter earnings season with Wolfe’s Chris Senyek.
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SK Hynix's US Debut, Bring Back the Blockade, and a Water Break Boost 7/10/26
SK Hynix shares pop in their first day of Nasdaq trading, but Susquehanna is staying cautious. Brookings' Robin Brooks makes the argument for implementing another, stricter blockade of Iran oil. Plus, hoe World Cup hydration breaks could give Fox Sports a $250M boost.
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‘ROC’-ing the AI Trade, JetBlue Founder on Airlines, and a Chips Pair Trade 7/9/26
The trade for investors concerned about AI capex. Aviation entrepreneur David Neeleman on the airline industry. Plus, the chip stocks Carter Worth calls so bad, they’re good.
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The Exchange 7/8/26
Listen to the day's top stories, the must reads & a whole lot more for today's modern investor.
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Bulls on Course, Valley of the Deals, and CNBC Investigates 7/7/26
Why the bull market should last at least another five months. Tech and media executive Tom Rogers’ surprising potential deal target as the Allen & Co. Conference kicks off in Sun Valley, Idaho. Plus, CNBC investigates the Chinese tech in American products that’s raising national security concerns.
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Rotation Nation, AI in the Classroom, and Betting’s Soccer Boost 7/6/26
With tech proving volatile, investors are putting their money to work in other sectors. Sal Khan, CEO of Khan Academy, reveals how much computer time kids should have per week to be successful. Plus, the beautiful game drives prediction market volumes to record highs.
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Bringing Back the Barbell, OpenAI’s Government Proposal, and Winter is Ending 7/2/26
Citi moving to market weight on tech in the third quarter and returning to barbell positioning with large growth and small value. Big Technology’s Alex Kantrowitz calls OpenAI’s reported suggestion the government take a 5% stake in the startup an “incentive misalignment nightmare.” Plus, Deepwater’s Gene Munster declares the EV winter of the past two years over.
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A More Opaque Fed, AI’s Strange Bedfellows, and “Less Screaming. More Streaming!” 7/1/26
Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh saying he’d rather have a “good family fight” with his FOMC colleagues at the next rate decision meeting than give forward guidance. Journalist and author Sebastian Mallaby weighs in on what’s holding OpenAI back, how Google is pulling ahead and why it’s in the best interests of both nations if the US and China coordinate on AI. Plus, Wolfe Research upgrades Fox, saying its merger with Roku will scale Fox’s general entertainment streaming and could double its long-term sales growth rate.
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Hold Off on Hikes, Deals in the Driver’s Seat, and Luxury Lodging 6/30/26
Piper Sandler’s Michael Kantrowitz sees a two-handle for CPI inflation by year-end, which will put the Fed hawks on pause. Will M&A drive the next leg of the bull market? Plus, a record-setting NYC real estate agent on what’s next for luxury properties.
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Another Comcast Spinoff, AI Spending Risks, and Drill Down on Dislocations 6/29/26
Comcast touching off merger speculation after announcing it will separate NBCUniversal and Sky, its European media arm, from its broadband business. A new report warning the AI spending spree risks ending in a damaging, lengthy investment bust. Plus, DA Davidson sees a split in the tech trade.
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The Exchange 6/26/26
Listen to the day's top stories, the must reads & a whole lot more for today's modern investor.
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