The Exchange

Mounting inflation concerns could put Trump's pick for Fed Chair in a bind.  The company Wells Fargo says is the "best-positioned" name in the AI race. Plus, a rough week for memory stocks but will the dip be short-lived?

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Trump says negotiations have started, Iran denies that talks are taking place, but which one do markets believe? Memory stocks are under pressure after Google unveiled its new AI model, but Morgan Stanley sees underlying resilience in the space. Plus, a Fed hike is back on the table.

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Chevron says California risks a fuel crisis unless the Iran war ends. Ondas CEO Eric Brock talks autonomous drone usage in the ongoing conflict. Plus, OpenAI announces plans to shut down its popular AI video app just six months after its launch.

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Carlyle's Jeff Currie says even if the Iran war stops now, surging oil prices will impact the economy for months. Databricks CEO Ali Ghodsi on his new cybersecurity product and AI disruption within the space. Plus, Anthropic and the Department of Defense head to court.

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President Trump postponed strikes on Iranian power plants after saying negotiations were underway, but Iranian state media refuted those claims, triggering wild swings across asset classes. Markets now expect the Fed to hold rates steady, but HFE's Carl Weinberg makes the case for a hike. Plus, the airline bracing for oil prices to top $100 through 2027.

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The energy complex keeps climbing as the Iran war enters its third week. Housing season officially kicks off, but rising mortgage rates could challenge the market. Plus, the Mag 7 name that Clockwise Capital thinks will come out on top this year.

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Oil prices spike after Iran strikes key energy infrastructure in Qatar, but is the end of the war on the horizon? Micron shares slide despite blowout earnings, but BofA is still bullish. Plus, why private equity's pain could be commercial real estate's gain.

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As fuel costs spike and inflation proves sticky, our panel dissects the delicate balance Jay Powell has to strike in today's Fed decision. Brookings' Michael O'Hanlon on why the killing of more Iranian leadership could backfire. Plus, are higher food prices on the way?

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Orlando Bravo talks uncertainty in private equity, private credit, and software. How will the Fed navigate oil's surging prices as their two-day meeting kicks off? Plus, American Airlines CEO Robert Isom says TSA workers deserved to be paid.

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There’s “no need to worry” about the situation in the Strait of Hormuz according to Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. Why RBC Capital Markets is playing hide and seek with consumer staples stocks. And one professor’s case for why the Trump Administration needs to tame, not topple, the Islamic Republic. 

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Oil flowing through the Straight of Hormuz is the “only thing that matters in the world,” according to BCA Research. A former NSA and Marine Corps. hacker warns Iran is being much more aggressive in its cyber warfare, and says businesses need to take the threat very seriously. Plus, why the ongoing war could wreak havoc on real estate's key spring season.

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The IEA announced plans to release a record 400 million barrels of oil to help ease the Iran supply disruption, but does that leave some parts of the energy complex at risk? Inflation steady in February, but the Fed will have to reconcile high energy prices in next week's rate decision. Plus, Oracle looks to be in safer waters after its big third quarter beat.

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Listen to the day's top stories, the must reads & a whole lot more for today's modern investor.

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Oil prices hit their highest peak since June 2022 before falling back below $100/barrel. Airline stocks take a dip as jet fuel costs surge amid the Iran war. Plus, software beat semis for its best week since April, but can the trade continue this week?

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Crude oil breaks above $90 a barrel for the first time since 2023. The economy lost 92,000 jobs, but rising oil prices leaves the Fed's next moves up in the air. Plus, why Jefferies thinks Oracle's sell-off may be overdone.

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China sets its lowest economic growth target since the 1991, but AIE's Derek Scissors says it's actually on the "high end of reality." The hiring bifurcation between blue- and white-collar jobs.  Plus, stocks under pressure as oil prices keep climbing, but software names buck the downtrend.

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The Mag 7 underperforming recently, but Rosenblatt Securities sees better days ahead. Box CEO Aaron Levie says AI agents will be the biggest users of software in the future. Plus, the Korean Kospi was the best performing stock market in the world last year, but posted its worst day ever amid concerns over the Iran conflict.

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President Trump says Israel did not force his hand to enter the Iran conflict, now in its fourth day. Oil and natural gas prices surge as the Strait of Hormuz effectively closes. Plus, an ugly day on Wall Street as the Dow falls nearly 1,300 points.

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The Iran conflict enters its third day, and President Trump leaves the door open for American boots on the ground. Natural gas prices soar after the worlds largest producer, Qatar Energy, halts production. Plus, JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon on geopolitical risks, the cracks in credit, and deregulation.

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Problems are piling up on private equity and credit lenders, and it's spreading to the banks. OpenAI closed a $110 billion fundraising round, rocketing the company's valuation to $730 billion. Plus, the bid for Warner Bros. Discover finally ends with Paramount as the victor, but Wolfe Research says Netflix wins anyway.

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Listen to the day's top stories, the must reads & a whole lot more for today's modern investor.

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Wedbush calls Nvidia the leader in the AI revolution ahead of earnings. Circle surges on strong results, but Mizuho says it's facing two major headwinds. Plus, what President Trump said, and didn't say, in his State of The Union address.

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Meta striking a massive deal with AMD, but should Meta be in the chips business? Financials post their worst day since last April, and one technician says the slump will continue. Plus, FedEx is taking the Trump administration to court.

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The Supreme Court struck down Trump's tariffs, but the president is warning countries to not back off from trade deals. Further AI disruption could lead to another round of software destruction. Plus, Carlyle's Jeff Currie breaks down the other capex cycle quietly brewing.

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Rising tensions between the U.S. and Iran send oil prices higher. Why Walmart is still set up for a strong year despite falling short on its earnings outlook. Plus, the Wall Street Journal's Greg Ip says the 65 and older crowd owns the economy.

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Retail investors are passing on Nvidia in favor of other beaten down tech names. The owner of the Empire State Building weighs in on NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani's new property tax proposal. Plus, Mark Zuckerberg heads to court in one of Meta's most high-profile trials ever.

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Netflix allows Warner Bros. Discovery to reopen talks with Paramount after it sweetened its bid for the streamer. Ford's surprise joint venture push. Plus, the bullish case for Amazon despite its near-record skid.

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It was a wild week on Wall Street as AI fears sparked selloffs in different sectors. We look through the wreckage for opportunities and highlight some names that could be “AI-proof.” Plus, why Nvidia’s moat keep shrinking.

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The AI disruption is moving to new sectors. We look at the winners, the losers, and the biggest buying opportunities. Plus, real estate power player Ryan Serhant says the American Dream has changed.

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Prospects of fewer rate cuts are outweighing enthusiasm on the economy. We game out what today’s report means for the Fed and for the markets. Plus, the top tech opportunities in the software wreckage, and the CEO of Generac on data center tailwinds.

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It’s a big week for econ data, and we’re off to an ugly start with retail sales. Apple has quietly outperformed the rest of the Mag 7 this year, and our analyst says there are reasons to be bullish from here. Plus, why Bitcoin could be getting closer to a bottom.

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DA Davidson says Oracle is a 'Buy' on renewed optimism for OpenAI. Melius Research is downgrading Microsoft saying CEO Satya Nadella has "lost the AI narrative." Plus, why Bitcoin could drop to $38K

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The Dow soars more than 1,000 points, getting within striking distance of 50,000. With Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft lower on capex concerns, but the rest of the Mag 7, chips, and even software rallying after a rough week, we make sense of what's next in the AI trade. Plus, bitcoin climbs back above $70k, but Jefferies sees few bullish indicators when it comes to finding a crypto bottom.

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Tech's pain is consumer staples' gain, as the mag 7, chips, and software all take hits, while the likes of Coca-Cola and Hershey's hit highs. But, after fresh jobs data disappoints and Revelio Labs says the labor market is now "permanently smaller," is the market action rotation or risk-off? Plus, Bitcoin is on pace for its worst week since November 2022, putting Strategy's crypto hoard underwater.

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The software sell-off continues, but the CEOs of LegalZoom and Box both say AI agents will make those platforms more valuable in the long run. Futurum makes the case for Google as an AI infrastructure utility ahead of earnings. Plus, the potential headwinds on the horizon for Bitcoin.

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Elon Musk's SpaceX-xAI merger could be the biggest in history, but where does that leave Tesla? Disney names Josh D'Amaro as CEO Bob Iger's successor. Plus, Walmart joins the $1 trillion club.

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Oracle plans to raise $50 billion to shore up its AI spending, while Nvidia stalls its $100 billion investment into OpenAI. Mizuho says speculative money will move out of metals and into memory stocks. Plus, the partial government shutdown delays the January jobs report.

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President Donald Trump selects Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair, leaving investors to wonder which Warsh will show up: the hawk or the dove? Plus, Senator Elizabeth Warren joins us after urging Republicans to not move forward with Warsh's nomination until the DOJ ends its inquiry into Jay Powell.

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Meta shares are surging, but will its big capex spending plans pay off? Tesla trades its Model X and S vehicles for humanoid robots. Plus, can Microsoft play catchup in the AI race?

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Why there could be more pain ahead for the dollar. Economist Claudia Sahm says the Fed is in wait-and-see mode as both downside employment risk and inflation cool. Plus, will this earnings season separate the wheat from the chaff when it comes to the Mag 7?

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