FactSet Evening Market Recap

US equities were modestly higher this week, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq both up less than 1% but higher for a second straight week (and fifth week in the past six). The Iran war narrative was fairly choppy, as kinetic activity resumed over the weekend, though was fairly limited in scope. August headline payrolls were up +162K m/m, well ahead of +55K consensus.

US equities were higher in Thursday trading, ending near best levels. The move to the upside was tabbed in large part to rate stabilization following Fed Governor Waller's remarks offering support for a September rate hold if data showed continued disinflation progress. September hike probabilities now seen as just above 50% vs odds near 68% on Tuesday.

US equities were higher in Wednesday trading, a bit off best levels. It was a very quiet, low volume session as the market bounced following a three-day losing streak that was largely chalked up to higher rates, higher energy prices, hawkish central bank reaction function concerns, elevated geopolitical tensions, dampened positive macro surprise momentum and seasonal headwinds.

US equities finished lower in Tuesday trading, with stocks ending not far off worst levels amid upward pressure on rates/oil and AI trade weakness. July JOLTS job openings missed at 7.27M, while June revised down to lowest since February.

US equities were lower in Monday trading, though ended the day off worst levels. The latest Middle East escalation/higher oil prices were seemingly the excuse for the decline. Rates remain in focus with a lot of moving pieces in the takeaways surrounding Warsh's Jackson Hole speech last Friday.

Major US equity indices were mostly higher for the week. Software was a big outperformer after several well-received reports seemed to ease some SaaS anxieties. There was a lot of anticipation for Nvidia's earnings report, which ultimately offered blowout Q3 results and Q3 guidance.

US equity indices finished higher in Thursday trading, though breadth was negative, all sectors outside tech were lower, and the equal-weight S&P lagged by more than 100 bp. It was a very quiet session with the tech rally (and AI and software upside specifically) the only real market narrative. The move was driven by Nvidia's well-received report and guidance, while software also rallied following multiple solid earnings reports that also helped push back against the AI disruption narrative.

US equities ended slightly lower in Wednesday trading, though S&P 500 breadth was positive, and the equal-weight a bit higher amid a bit of a rotation toward select cyclical pockets. It was a fairly quiet session as stocks did not do much overall amid a higher yield and oil backdrop. Today's economic data was mixed.

US equities were higher in Tuesday trading. Several dynamics were in focus today. In macro news, August consumer confidence slipped to 89.4 against July's downwardly revised 90.2.

US equities were mostly lower in Monday afternoon trading, though somewhat in waiting mode for key catalysts ahead (including Nvidia earnings and Warsh's Jackson Hole speech). Momentum was the notable drag with memory and semis both down. The AI narrative was busy with a number of recent headlines, including Nvidia price hikes driven by memory surge, Deepseek and OpenAI price cuts, and rising AI-linked CDS.

US equities declined this week, with the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Russell 2000 ending three straight weeks of gains. Major US equity indexes were modestly lower on the week, pressured by elevated long-end yields, higher oil, and some sporadic weakness in crowded AI and momentum trades. The Fed and macro calendar was relatively quiet this week

US equities were lower in Thursday afternoon trading, on track for modest weekly declines. A lot of the day's focus was on long-end rates giving back much of Wednesday's declines that followed the Treasury's unexpected buyback boost. Analysts have voiced some skepticism about the Treasury's ability to offset ongoing structural pressures.

US equities were higher in Wednesday trading. The Treasury rally big focus of the day with significant bull steepening move following Treasury announcement on ramp in size of buyback operations for longer-term paper. Healthcare was the big sector leader of the day with pharma/biotech in focus.

US equities finished lower in Tuesday trading, ending near worst levels. Semi/memory weakness was the big drag on indices today. July housing starts came in at a 1239K SAAR, below the 1350K consensus and June's downwardly revised 1415K (was 1427K).

US equities finished down in Monday trading, ending near session lows. Higher yields and oil were no help for stocks in fairly quiet Monday trading. In macro news, August’s Empire Manufacturing Index beat, tied for the highest print since December 2021

US equities were mostly higher this week though upside was limited. The S&P 500 and Russell 2000 were both up for a third-straight week, setting fresh record closes this week. The momentum trade was a standout this week, notably for memory and select AI infrastructure names, while semis were also broadly higher. Laggards included off-priced retail, department stores, athletic apparel, homebuilders, China tech, airlines, and insurance.

US equities were mostly higher in Thursday afternoon trading. Some of the modest upside was tabbed to the rate rally that followed the cooler July core PPI print. However, the market is pricing ~34% chance of a September rate hike, little changed from Wednesday.

US equities were mostly higher in Wednesday trading, though ended a bit off best levels. Upside tabbed to a couple factors, including in line July CPI that helped keep yields down for the day

US equities were mostly lower in Tuesday trading. It was another very quiet session without much of a narrative. This is likely a function of the waiting game for CPI/PPI over next couple of days, given heightened attention/uncertainty surrounding the Fed.

US equities were lower in Monday trading, though the downside was fairly limited. It was a very quiet Monday session with few updates around the biggest market narratives. Nothing on the US economic calendar today in macro news.