FactSet Evening Market Recap

US equities were lower in Tuesday trading, though off their worst levels. The momentum trade names led the market to the downside, with notable weakness in memory, semis, and AI energy infrastructure. Today's action extended the recent momentum selloff which has been attributed to factors including the growing fears around the return on investment for AI capex, Chinese and open source model competition, and frontier model commoditization.

US equities finished higher in Monday trading, ending a bit off best levels. Momentum rebound was the big story today with no specific catalyst, but some analyst focus on the extent of recent drawdown in the space industry. In macro news, June ISM Services fell in line with consensus, though down month over month.

US equities finished mixed in Thursday trading. However, equal-weight S&P outperformed the cap-weighted index by ~70 bp and RSP set a fresh ATH. Momentum unwind in focus again with memory/semis hit by recent scrutiny surrounding AI capex trade and input cost pushback.

US equities finished lower in Wednesday trading, off midday highs, though breadth was positive and the equal-weight S&P ended higher. There were several moving parts in play today, with another day of momentum unwinding as the big story. There were some positive takes on today's ISM manufacturing reading given a big drop in the prices-paid component and less pessimistic commentary.

US equities were higher in Tuesday trading, just off their best levels. The momentum trade again took the lead in a session without many notable drivers. There was some stalling of the broadening-out trade with S&P decliners leading advancers and the equal-weight S&P lagging the cap weighted index.

US equities finished mostly higher in Monday trading, ending near best levels. There were several big gainers in the big-tech space, though no specific catalyst in view. In macro news, Dallas Fed manufacturing fell a bit below consensus, though still reported steady new orders and rising employment.

Markets were mixed this week with AI remaining the dominant theme as the Iran war continued to take a backseat. Early-week softness in semis and memory was driven largely by positioning and market concentration concerns, while actual fundamentals remained solid. Those concerns were largely offset by MU's blowout earnings and guidance, which reinforced confidence in the AI capex cycle and sustained memory demand.

Major averages were overall little changed, but there was a lot of movement beneath the surface. The momentum trade bounce driven by renewed support for the AI capex trade following blowout results from Micron. Pockets of the broadening out/reopening/cyclical trade worked as well, with small caps, industrials, builders, travel & leisure and banks the standouts.

US equities were mixed in Wednesday trading as stocks struggled for direction after the Tuesday selloff. Today's big rate rally and ongoing oil selloff did not do much to support stocks as a hawkish Fed remains an overhang, while inflation concerns beyond oil remain elevated. May new home sales rose 580K m/m, missing consensus of 640K and the weakest since Jan-26.

US equities were lower in Tuesday trading, a bit off worst levels. Momentum memory semis under outsized pressure. Big Tech mostly lower.

US equities were mixed in Monday trading with stocks hovering near worst levels. Big tech underperformance was the big story in Monday trading with Google and SpaceX the notable decliners. Nothing on the economic calendar this morning in macro news, and nothing monetary policy related from Fed's Waller.

US equities were higher this week with the Dow and Russell 2000 hitting fresh record highs, while the S&P 500 ended up for its 11th week out of the past 12, and within ~1.5% of its 2-Jun record close. The Nasdaq was the best index performer this week on big upside from semis and memory.

US equities were lower in Wednesday trading following a hawkish FOMC. The market is now pricing in a 25bp rate hike by September. It was quiet outside of the Fed, with the market continuing to view the US-Iran deal as done.

US equities were mostly lower in Tuesday trading. Market took a bit of a breather after a three-day run higher that saw SOX run up by nearly 16%. ADP weekly private-payrolls report showed average growth of 25.5K over past four weeks

Major US equity indices were higher this week following last week's lower performance. The Market was encouraged by reports that the US and Iran are nearing a memorandum of understanding that could include a 60-day ceasefire extension, Hormuz reopening, Iranian commitments not to pursue nuclear weapons, and a framework for broader nuclear talks. Lots of investor attention was also on SpaceX's massive $75B IPO.

Stocks were up, oil was down, yields were down, and the VIX was down after Trump said tonight's bombing of Iran was cancelled and that Tehran had approved a draft agreement that would extend ceasefire. Big tech was mostly better though MSFT was a drag.

US equities were lower in Wednesday trading. Stocks saw another day of rotation out of tech, where semis and memory names again headed lower. Overbought conditions and crowded positioning are still among the factors in the bearish narrative.

US equities mostly lower in Tuesday afternoon trading, though off worst levels. Breadth positive with another day of rotation. Market tangled today with another round of tech weakness, with semis memory giving back much of their Monday rebound. ADP weekly private employment estimate came in at an average of 29K jobs per week.

US equities were mostly higher in Monday trading. Semis and memory names were very strong as the groups rebounded off of Friday's big declines. The day's bounce played into a resilient equity market narrative, while strategists continue to highlight earnings growth, AI capex tailwinds, and macro surprise momentum as broader market tailwinds.

Major US equity indices were down this week. The big story this week was the dip in semis/memory and select AI names, accompanied by a rotation into defensives, financials, and healthcare. There was no real movement on the US-Iran conflict despite last week's hopes that a memorandum of understanding was close that could lead to a 60-day ceasefire and further negotiation on sticking points.

US equities were higher in Thursday trading as stocks ended just off best levels. It was a fairly quiet session without much new around the major market themes. In macro news, Challenger Layoffs are up 16% month over month and 3% year over year in May with AI again cited as biggest reason for job cuts.