The Huddle Breakdown

Celtic dropped points at home to Dundee United, and Callum McGregor and Cameron Carter-Vickers have both suggested the team isn’t organised enough. On this week’s Huddle Breakdown Extra Time, James and Alan use the data to test that claim. The opposition is getting about 15 shots a game against Celtic and more than double the touches in the Celtic box of the 2019/20 side. xG conceded has gone up from around 1.0 a game to 1.5. One stat suggests McGregor’s struggles are about the team’s structure rather than his age: he’s being taken out of the game by opposition passes twi...

Celtic came from behind to bag 3 points against Hibs in 50–60mph Edinburgh winds. Alan and James get into whether there’s anything to learn from a game that chaotic, the Grant Hanley-up-front gamble, Martin O’Neill’s “best performance” comments, and why finishers like Duran and Nygren are so valuable when the ball drops. They look at Alistair Johnston’s latest hamstring setback and what it says about rest, recovery and soft-tissue injuries at Celtic. They also cover the young right side of the defence, with a new five-year deal for Donovan. Then the stats come out for a Dundee United...

Celtic fell to another Europa League defeat, losing to Celta Vigo at Celtic Park, and on this Huddle Breakdown Extra Time, Martin, James and Alan get into why the Hoops keep hammering teams in the Scottish Premiership and then get carved open in Europe. James reports from his first European night at Paradise. He also shares UEFA tracking data showing Callum McGregor has covered 37.4km in three Europa League games, the second most in the whole competition. Alan breaks down the structural issues behind Celtic giving up more shots than they take, a lopsided left side, and the “Engels-sized hole” on t...

Celtic thrash Hearts 7-1 at Celtic Park, and James and Alan dig into the data behind the Scottish Premiership demolition. Hearts had more possession and more shots but were blown away on xG. It’s a scoreline that echoes Germany 7-1 Brazil, and the packing numbers tell a similar story. We break down why Hearts’ bold possession game plan backfired, how Callum Osmand’s first professional start on the left wing set the tone, Benjamin Nygren’s movement, Kieran Tierney’s performance, and whether Celtic’s pace up front makes them a counter-attacking force in the Europa League. We also ask whether...

Celtic were beaten 4-1 by Benfica in Lisbon in the Europa League, and on this Huddle Breakdown Extra Time, Martin, Alan and James break down why. Alan uses packing data to show that Benfica cut through Celtic’s front three 14 times in the first half alone, and asks why Martin O’Neill left Oliver Sørensen in a number 10 role that doesn’t suit him. The guys go through all four goals and Viljami Sinisalo’s goalkeeping. Alan’s data shows how much Sebastian Tounekti’s output drops in big games compared with Gianluca Prestianni, and the panel discusses Kasper Høgh’s strugg...

Football author and executive Ben Lyttleton (Twelve Yards, Edge, Football School) joins Alan and James on The Huddle Breakdown Interview to talk about how data analytics is changing football and what that means for Celtic. Ben goes behind the scenes of the Netherlands’ penalty data before the 2010 World Cup final. He explains why your best penalty taker should go first or fourth, and why most Premier League transfers fail. He also makes the case for a sporting director as the “guardian of the culture.” Then the conversation turns to Martin O’Neill. Ben explains how the man-management strengths that won Celtic t...

Celtic produced their most dominant performance in weeks at Fir Park, and Alan and James break down the data from the Motherwell win. After Liam Scales talked about the player meetings, has Celtic’s game model shifted back towards Ange-ball? Is Shaun Maloney now effectively running the team under Martin O’Neill? The guys cover the expected goals (xG), the packing numbers behind Kieran Tierney’s huge game and Bauer’s man-of-the-match display. They also cover Jota’s emotional return after three years away and why a striker’s underlying numbers don’t match the doubters. Then they look at the Scottish P...

Is the Celtic board as successful as it claims? On this week’s Huddle Breakdown Extra Time, James benchmarks Celtic FC against Club Brugge, Sporting CP and PSV Eindhoven on revenue, matchday income, wages, player amortisation and player trading. His conclusion is that weak player trading and missed Champions League football have cost the club £300M or more under Dermot Desmond’s model, and that domestic trophies hide how far behind its European peers it has fallen. Alan explains why Scotland’s Nations League loss to Slovenia felt so familiar to Celtic fans. He also covers the knives coming out for...

James and Alan break down Tennis Ball Gate at St Andrews and the club's furious Saturday night statement. They ask whether the growing split between the Celtic board, Dermot Desmond and the support can be repaired, or whether escalation and personal targeting will only deepen it. The pair look at why domestic trophies and a healthy balance sheet can't justify Celtic's European record against similarly sized clubs, and what proper benchmarking, expected trophies and modern football governance would look like. James explains his "Anderlechtification" fear. In the second half, Alan relaunches the Speedboat League, his expected points table for the...

Is the Manchester City case Scottish football's Rangers 2012 all over again? In this Huddle Breakdown Extra Time, host Martin Murphy is joined by Alan and James to compare the Premier League's handling of Man City with the Lord Nimmo Smith Commission into Rangers. They also ask why the clubs' own fans were victims too, and look at the UAE geopolitics that could shape the outcome. Then it's into your subscriber questions on Celtic. Who's the signing of the season so far? Is Callum McGregor reaching a hinge point, and should he play deeper? Is Cameron Carter-Vickers still Celtic's most important...

As the Premier League's Man City case dominates headlines worldwide, Alan and James ask why the Scottish football media has stayed almost completely silent, and what the parallels with Rangers' 2012 liquidation, the EBT scandal and the obstruction of investigators reveal about football governance, power and accountability. The Huddle Breakdown then turns to Celtic. Alan has rewatched the games from his time away and comes back with a stark verdict on Martin O'Neill's management team drifting from Celtic's possession-based playing model. James brings StatsBomb pace-to-goal and xG-conceded data showing Celtic losing control. They also discuss Cameron Carter-Vickers' honest comments about confusion...

Alan is back(!) from Japan and straight into the wreckage of Celtic's three straight defeats, capped by a 1-0 derby loss to Rangers at Celtic Park. With James and Martin, he argues it was a systemic collapse, not a question of individual effort, and backs it with the numbers: Rangers won the ball back with 42% of their pressures, the highest figure in six-plus seasons of our data. We look at Martin O'Neill's tactics, why asking Celtic's centre-backs to hit 50-yard channel balls played straight into Derek McInnes's hands, the Callum McGregor question, and why Celtic are now playing a...

Celtic's 1-0 defeat to Rangers at Parkhead was, by the numbers, the worst home Old Firm performance of the Wyscout era: an xG difference of -1.91, just three shots to Rangers' 14, and a long-ball rate roughly triple Celtic's historical norm. James is joined again by Rhiann (DataBhoys) to rewatch and dissect the debacle, including the confusing team selection and shifting formations, Callum McGregor's 14 possession losses, and why "the players didn't try" is the wrong conclusion. They then zoom out to the bigger picture: the "Frankenstein" clash between Celtic's legacy possession game model and Martin O'Neill's more direct approach, season-to-date data...

Celtic’s 3-1 home defeat to Ferencváros capped a miserable week, and on this episode of The Huddle Breakdown Extra Time, Martin Murphy is joined by James and Heath to work out how much of it can possibly be fixed before Sunday’s Glasgow Derby. The panel goes deep into the tactical wreckage: a press with no triggers and no cohesion in the front line, a rest defence so open that every turnover turns into a jailbreak, Callum McGregor dropping into a 3-2-5 build-up that strands Bauer and Sorensen as a makeshift two, and a game model James calls...

Celtic were humbled 3-0 by Rangers at Ibrox, and The Huddle Breakdown goes beyond the hot takes to explain why. With Alan away in Tokyo, James is joined by data analyst Rhian (RhiCam on Substack, @databhoys on X) for a tactical and data-driven breakdown of the Old Firm derby. They cover Derek McInnes' man-marking plan, James Penrice's dual role, the Hassan and goalkeeper selection calls, Celtic's disjointed press, and Callum McGregor dropping between the centre-backs. The bigger question is whether Celtic's possession game model is now outdated, since opponents like Rangers, LASK and Club Brugge have worked out how...

Martin, James, and returning guest Heath break down Celtic's 1-0 win away at St Johnstone — a game that delivered three points but raised plenty of questions, from a flat first half and an experimental 3-2-5 to Mika Bauer's match-winner and Sam Johnstone's debut in goal. James shares striking benchmarking data on Hassan, Celtic's brilliant but baffling winger — 99th percentile for dribbles and crosses, near-zero for defensive work — and asks whether the pieces up front actually fit together. Then it's the big one: a full Glasgow Derby preview ahead of the League Cup tie at Ibrox, with a data-driven look a...

James is joined by special guest co-host Quinny (filling in for Alan, currently sampling sushi in Japan) to break down Celtic's 2-1 win away at St Mirren and what it tells us about this evolving Celtic side. They dig into Hassan's "gravitational pull" on the wing and whether his end product will catch up to his athleticism, Liam Scales' surprisingly dynamic left back role, and how the new-look midfield is adding verticality to Celtic's game model. Then they zoom out for a whip-around of the Scottish Premiership's tactical revolution — why half the league's managers are changing philosophy, why teams ar...

With Alan away in the Far East, Martin and James welcome Celtic analytics community scout Heath Tempe to break down a huge week for Celtic FC. The panel reviews the win over Aberdeen — Yang's electric man-of-the-match display, Duran's ridiculous finishing form, and why Hassan's crossing is driving everyone mad — before diving into Celtic's transfer deadline signings: PSV wonderkid Yoel Van den Berg, Feyenoord loan fullback Jordan Latombe, Sorensen, teenage Chelsea striker Mukko, and ex-England goalkeeper Sam Johnstone. Plus a data-driven look at the Europa League squad and a full tactical preview of Saturday's top-of-the-table clash away to a rebuilt St M...

Celtic's win over Falkirk produced a completely standard-looking stat pack — plus-two in xG, a +300 packing score, more than double the box possessions, six saves to one — but James and Alan argue that almost nothing about the inputs behind that familiar output was normal. This week on The Huddle Breakdown: Hassan's first proper look at Celtic Park, where his ball-carrying projected to roughly 45 pack dribbles per 90 minutes, against a 12-year record season average of 15 — and yet ended with no shots, one chance created, 14 passes given away and 0.1 expected scoring contribution. The lads dig into whether Celtic's pressing identity has quietly evapor...

Celtic threw away a four-goal aggregate lead in Austria and crashed out of the Champions League to LASK — and on this week's Extra Time, Martin, Alan and James argue that luck had nothing to do with it. Alan makes the case that this is a pattern of boardroom incompetence stretching back years, with as much as £300 million in Champions League revenue left on the table, before breaking down the tactical collapse: a 4-4-2 that should have been a 4-5-1 mid-block, two pivots permanently ahead of the ball, goal kicks fired down the middle, substitutions that changed nothing, and...

Celtic take a 3-0 lead to Linz — but how do they actually kill this tie? On this week's Huddle Breakdown, Alan and James break down the Champions League play-off second leg against LASK at the Raiffeisen Arena. Using average position charts, duel data and pressing heights from the first leg, they explain how LASK flood the middle of the pitch, why their wing-backs were neutralised at Celtic Park, and how their three main weapons — the long early ball, crosses and set pieces — could still cause chaos in Austria. Alan makes the case for a compact mid-block and a 4-4-2, Ja...

Celtic beat LASK 3-0 at Celtic Park to take a commanding lead into the Champions League play-off second leg in Linz — but what does the data actually say? On this Huddle Breakdown Extra Time, Martin, Alan and James dig into a 3-0 win built on three world-class finishes from just 0.89 xG, a lost packing battle, and a midfield that was repeatedly wide open in transition. Alan explains why Callum McGregor was packed 31 times — a figure he's only matched against Bayern, Dortmund, Real Madrid and Milan — while James lays out the "jailbreak" problem behind the scoreline and asks whether Mika Baur a...

Celtic hammered Dundee United 4-0 — so why did they lose the xG battle and concede 19 shots? On this episode of The Huddle Breakdown, James and Alan dig into Alan's post-match stat pack and packing score data to explain the contradiction at the heart of Celtic's fast start to the 2026/27 season. Celtic are conceding packing scores near 300 against bottom-half Scottish Premiership opposition, roughly double the rate of the games they genuinely control, and the numbers point straight at central midfield: Callum McGregor's defensive success rate almost halved without Arne Engels beside him, Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain was physically finished five minutes into th...

Celtic face LASK in the Champions League play-off round, so we brought in Austrian football expert Tom Baumgartner of the Other Bundesliga podcast for a full scouting report — free for everyone this week from our subscriber show, Extra Time. Tom explains how Dietmar "Didi" Kühbauer took over a LASK side sitting near the bottom of the Austrian Bundesliga and turned them into double winners, their first league title in 60 years, and why a squad everyone said needed a complete overhaul barely changed at all. He breaks down how they actually play: Red Bull-style vertical transitions, but with a man...

James and Alan break down a chaotic week at Celtic on this Extra Time, plus a full scouting report on LASK from Austrian football expert Tom Baumgartner of the Other Bundesliga podcast. With Arne Engels heading to West Ham, Mika Baur arriving from Paderborn and Haissem Hassan already in the building, the pair dig into whether Celtic's player trading model is actually working — and what Baur really is: a Hatate replacement, an Engels replacement, or something new. James walks through his full transfer benchmarking on Baur (long passing, crossing volume, and an xG-per-shot number that raised eyebrows), while Alan sh...

Celtic went to Rugby Park and produced their highest expected-goals difference away at Kilmarnock since records began — a 5-1 win that Alan calls the most enjoyable watch in a long time. In this episode, Alan and James dig into the numbers behind the rout: why Arne Engels dominated the middle of the pitch in a way we simply haven't seen from him, how Kasper Høgh recorded the highest packing-receive score on the pitch while operating far deeper than his Bodø/Glimt role, and why the Høgh–Duran–Nygren interplay looks like a genuine attacking connection rather than three ind...

Alan and James join Martin Murphy for a bumper Extra Time as Celtic bank three points against Dundee, Haissem Hassan edges closer, and a training-ground image lands mid-record showing Jota doing ball work. Alan sets the Dundee win against twelve years of expected goals and packing data to argue it was far more normal than the mood suggested, explains the fundamental flaw that ended Paulo Bernardo's Celtic career, and picks apart a stretched, unsettled Rangers side after their European misstep. James runs the numbers on Hassan's 99th-percentile dribbling, his crossing and his decision-making, benchmarks Mika Baur alongside Callum McGregor...

Celtic are back in competitive action, and The Huddle Breakdown is here with a full data-driven review of the Flag Day win over Dundee at Celtic Park. Alan and James dig into the match stats and xG to ask the big question: are Celtic's new signings already being misused? We break down Martin O'Neill's tactics, the shape problems in build-up play, Yang's frustrating final third decisions, Nygren's man-of-the-match display, and whether a back three could unlock Duran. Plus a full Scottish Premiership weekend review — St. Mirren's statement win at Falkirk, Rangers' Del Ball debut under Derek McInnes, Motherwell's goal of...

In this episode of the Huddle Breakdown Extra Time, James and Alan dive deep into Celtic's transfer window, weighing the massive impact of Alistair Johnston's potential move to Everton and analyzing the tactical fit of new striker Kasper Hogh. The guys also cast a critical eye over the rest of the Scottish Premiership, breaking down Rangers' radical "ultra staunch" cost-cutting pivot under their new ownership and the tactical chaos brewing at Hearts following their heavy European defeat. Finally, they look ahead to what promises to be a highly entertaining, high-scoring domestic season.

Want to support the...

Join Laura, James, and Alan on this week's Huddle Breakdown as they dissect Celtic's latest summer transfer business, featuring an in-depth tactical benchmarking of new Bodo/Glimt signing Kasper Hogh and how Camilo Duran fits into the system. The panel raises candid concerns over a sluggish transfer window, defensive vulnerabilities heading into European qualifiers, and the harsh realities of Cameron Carter-Vickers' Achilles recovery timeline. Plus, Alan delivers a blistering take on the SFA's latest refereeing controversy surrounding Sean Murdoch, and the trio bid an emotional farewell to the enigmatic Daizen Maeda following his transfer to Ipswich.

...

In this episode of Huddle Breakdown Extra Time, Martin, James, and Alan dissect the latest Celtic transfer rumors, focusing on the potential system fit of Bodo/Glimt's Kasper Hogh and Real Oviedo's Haissem Hassan. The panel critically evaluates whether a technical prospect like Mika Bauer addresses the squad's desperate need for athletic midfielders and explores left-back options including Will Ferry and Greg Taylor. The team also delivers a sobering reality check on the state of Scottish clubs in Europe following shocking performances by Hearts and Hibs, before capping off the show with a poetic farewell to Daizen Maeda ahead...

In this week’s episode of The Huddle Breakdown, Laura returns to join Alan as the Celtic transfer rumor mill finally sparks to life. The duo unpacks a sudden influx of news, analyzing encouraging links to midfield targets like Paderborn's Mika Bauer and winger Haissem Hassan. They also look at Camilo Durán's energetic start up front, discuss the tactical takeaways from the World Cup final, and preview Hearts' upcoming Champions League qualifier against Sturm Graz. Finally, they provide a constructive review of the newly released SFA report on the Ibrox riot, emphasizing the opportunity it presents to enact rea...

In this episode of Extra Time, Martin, James, and Alan dissect the concerning fallout from the latest Celtic FC AGM minutes, exploring the deepening disconnect between the boardroom and the football operation. The panel reacts to Benjamin Siegrist’s highly revealing interview about his exit, analyzes the data behind the defensive depth chart (Nawrocki vs. Murray), and questions the club's ongoing transfer paralysis in the midfield. Finally, the team looks ahead to the pre-season friendly against Middlesbrough and previews the highly anticipated Spain vs. Argentina World Cup Final.

Want to support the channel? - https://huddlebreakdown.co...

In this week’s episode of “The Huddle Breakdown,” we analyze Celtic’s preseason friendly against Sporting and discuss the early stages of Martin O’Neill’s tactical rollout for this season. We evaluate new signing Duran’s energetic debut and look at the historical timeline of Celtic’s summer transfer windows to reassure fans that the current pace of business is actually completely normal. Finally, Alan shares his “Celtic by Numbers” scatter plots to highlight the massive defensive boost provided by Cameron Carter-Vickers’s return to the squad, wrapping up with a tactical preview of the Argentina vs. England World Cup clas...

In this episode of Extra Time, the Huddle Breakdown team is joined by special guest Quinny from Scottish Football Daily to dissect a critical turning point in Celtic's season. The guys share their honest reactions to the Shelbourne friendly, questioning the tactical innovations and player performances on display. The conversation quickly heats up as they dive deep into a data-driven analysis of Celtic’s latest transfer window strategy, evaluating the fit and physical durability of newly signed targets like Camilo Duran, Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain, and Kelechi Iheanacho under manager Martin O'Neill. Finally, the panel answers a massive haul of subscriber questions ta...

In this episode of The Huddle Breakdown, James and Alan break down Celtic's potential signing, Colombian forward Camilo Duran from Qarabag. Utilizing advanced data scouting, they examine Duran’s hybrid positional role, left-footed versatility, and transitional pace—questioning whether he serves as a Liel Abada analog or a long-term Daizen Maeda replacement. Finally, they confront Celtic's wider strategic dilemmas, voicing deep concerns over a degenerating midfield following Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain's re-signing and emphasizing the urgent need for a complete engine room overhaul. Last, they dive into the latest from the World Cup.

Want to support the channel? - h...

In this episode of The Huddle Breakdown Extra Time, hosts Martin Murphy, James, and Alan dive into the busy summer landscape. The team breaks down what the appointment of new set piece coach and analyst Ross Grant means for Celtic's physical profile, style of play, and tactical future. They analyze the latest SPFL transfer rumors—including high praise and analytical packing data backing a potential move for Motherwell standout Elijah Just. Finally, the guys preview Celtic's upcoming pre-season friendly against Shelbourne in Dublin, evaluate Derek McInnes's high-intensity tactics at Hearts and Ibrox, and share updates from the ongoing World Cu...

In this episode of the Huddle Breakdown, we dissect Celtic's major coaching hire as Ross Grant joins the club as a dedicated set-piece specialist. We dive into the underlying data, analytical xG metrics, and what Grant's tactical history means for the Hoops' defensive structure and attacking variation. The team also pulls back the curtain on Celtic's frustrating transfer model, exploring why deals like the Marcello Saracchi and Mark Fotheringham negotiations stall under Dermot Desmond's rigid financial guardrails and the club's unique corporate listing. Finally, we react to the breaking news of Steve Clarke stepping down as Scotland manager following...

In this episode of Huddle Breakdown Extra Time, host Martin Murphy is joined by James and Alan to break down the latest Celtic transfer rumors and boardroom developments amidst a quiet summer window. The team analyzes the potential appointments of Fotheringham and Maloney to Martin O'Neill's backroom staff, the ongoing contract negotiations surrounding Marcelo Saracchi, and the future of Daizen Maeda. Shifting focus to international football, the guys dissect Scotland’s tactical meltdown in their crushing 3-0 World Cup defeat to Brazil, debate the overall flaws of FIFA's new tournament format, and take a deep metric-driven dive into Hearts’ dram...

In this episode of the Huddle Breakdown, the hosts unpack the latest major updates shaping Scottish football, starting with Gavin Strachan's new move to West Bromwich Albion and what the upcoming backroom refresh could mean for Celtic's preseason momentum. They dive deep into the exciting analytical evolution happening at Hearts as the club nears a deal for manager Wouter Vrancken, mapping out how an innovative, front-footed data model could unlock massive success in the SPFL. Finally, the duo shares their favorite tactical highlights from the World Cup, celebrating Argentina’s beautiful positional play and mapping out Scotland's strategic path to...