TraderMerlin
A live daily podcast covering nearly every aspect of the financial markets. My guests and I cover stocks, futures, forex, cryptocurrency, real estate, long term investing and much more! Join us live on youtube at 2pm daily!
Kevin Warsh: Setting The Stage - 07/14/26
The new Federal Reserve Chairman has officially stepped into the spotlight.
In today's episode, we break down Kevin Warsh's first appearance before Congress and what his testimony may reveal about the future of U.S. monetary policy. Every word from a Fed Chair is scrutinized by Wall Street, and this hearing offered investors their first real look at Warsh's priorities, concerns, and vision for the economy.
The big question is:
Is Kevin Warsh preparing to change the direction of the Federal Reserve… or simply continue the path already in place?
We'll di...
Trading Week Wrap Up - 07/10/26
Another trading week is in the books, and we're wrapping it all up with one of my favorite formats—the Viewer Q&A!
This week, we'll answer several great questions from the audience, breaking down individual stocks, technical setups, and the broader market to help you make better trading decisions.
On today's show, we'll discuss:
Shake Shack – Is the recent move sustainable, or has the stock gotten ahead of itself? SK Hynix – One of the biggest beneficiaries of the AI boom. Does it still have room to run? Intel – Can the chip giant regain its foot...Trading Q&A! - 07/09/26
Your questions. Real market answers.
One of my favorite shows is back as we dive into the TraderMerlin mailbag and tackle a wide range of viewer questions covering trading, technical analysis, risk management, and today's ever-changing market environment.
In this episode, we'll answer questions including:
How do you become a better technical analyst? What's the most important part of managing risk? Do market gaps really get filled? How should traders adapt when volatility begins to increase? And several more questions submitted by viewers.Every trader reaches a point where indicators alone aren't enough...
Trading Gaps - 07/08/26
Few topics generate more debate among traders than price gaps.
Do all gaps eventually get filled? Should you trade in the direction of the gap... or fade it? Are breakaway gaps different from exhaustion gaps?
In today's episode, I answer a viewer question about one of the most misunderstood concepts in technical analysis and share my personal approach after nearly 30 years of trading the financial markets.
We'll break down:
What causes price gaps The different types of gaps every trader should know Which gaps are most likely to fill—and which often do...Geopolitics vs. Earnings - 07/07/26
What matters more to the market right now...
Corporate earnings... or global geopolitics?
It's a fantastic viewer question, and in today's episode we'll tackle one of the biggest challenges facing traders and investors in today's market.
For decades, earnings have been the primary driver of stock prices. But when wars, trade disputes, sanctions, and geopolitical uncertainty dominate the headlines, how much weight should investors really place on a company's quarterly results?
We'll break down:
How geopolitics influences corporate earnings When headlines matter more than fundamentals How markets typically react during...Funding the Future- 07/06/26
Could one of the smartest long-term investments for young Americans have just been introduced?
In today's episode, we break down the latest financial product announced by the U.S. government and why it could become an attractive wealth-building tool for those under the age of 18. Whether you're a parent, grandparent, or simply thinking about the next generation, this new program has the potential to reshape how young investors begin building financial security.
We'll discuss:
The details of the new government-backed investment program Who qualifies and how it works The potential long-term benefits of starting...Farewell My Best Friend! - 06/30/26
Today's show is going to be a little different.
Before we get into markets, I'll take a moment to honor my best friend, my loyal companion, and one of the greatest gifts life can give us: a dog who has been by my side through it all. Tomorrow afternoon, he'll be crossing the rainbow bridge, and while that is one of the hardest decisions any pet owner ever has to make, it's also one final act of love.
We'll spend a little time remembering him, celebrating the joy he brought, and acknowledging just how much...
Dow Cracks 52,000! - 06/29/26
The Dow Jones Industrial Average has crossed 52,000, marking another historic milestone for U.S. equities. But the real question isn't whether the Dow made a new high...
It's whether the rest of the market can keep up.
In today's episode, we break down what this breakout means for the broader market and whether the rally still has room to run. Is this the beginning of another leg higher, or are investors becoming overly optimistic?
We'll discuss:
Why the Dow continues making history Whether the rally is broadening or becoming increasingly concentrated What...Trading Week Wrap Up! - 06/26/26
What a difference a week can make.
After weeks of relentless optimism, the markets finally showed signs of fatigue. Selling pressure returned, volatility picked up, and traders were left asking one important question:
Is this just a healthy pullback… or the beginning of something bigger?
In this week's Trading Week Wrap Up!, we break down the biggest stories that shaped the markets, including the recent weakness across equities and what it may be signaling for the weeks ahead.
We'll also take a close look at SpaceX after its first full week of...
Core PCE Price Index - 06/24/26
The inflation report the Federal Reserve watches more closely than any other has just been released...
So what does it tell us about the future of interest rates—and the markets?
In today's episode, we break down the latest Core PCE Price Index, the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, and explain why today's numbers could have a major impact on stocks, bonds, and investor expectations for the months ahead.
The big questions are:
Is inflation finally under control? Or are hopes for lower interest rates fading once again?
We'll di...
S&P 500 7,800!? - 06/23/26
Wall Street just got a lot more bullish.
A major market forecast has pushed its target for the S&P 500 all the way to 7,800, implying significant upside from current levels. But is this a realistic projection based on earnings, AI growth, and economic strength... or are analysts simply getting caught up in market euphoria?
In today's episode, we break down the reasoning behind the upgraded target and ask the question every investor should be asking:
Can the S&P 500 really reach 7,800, or is Wall Street getting ahead of itself?
We'll discuss:<...
Tesla & SpaceX Merger? - 06/23/26
What would happen if two of the most disruptive companies on the planet became one?
In today's episode, we tackle a fascinating viewer question:
Could Tesla and SpaceX ever merge? And if they did, what would that mean for investors?
Both companies share a common visionary leader in Elon Musk, but they operate in very different industries. One is transforming transportation and energy, while the other is revolutionizing space exploration and global communications.
We'll explore:
Whether a Tesla-SpaceX merger is even realistic The potential benefits and drawbacks of combining the...SpaceX Unlocks - 06/22/26
SpaceX Unlocks - 06/22/26
The IPO may be over, but the real opportunities could just be getting started.
In today's episode, we take a deep dive into the upcoming SpaceX share unlock schedule and why it may create some of the most interesting trading opportunities over the next year.
Most investors focus on the IPO itself. Professional traders focus on what comes next.
As early investors, employees, venture capital firms, and insiders become eligible to sell shares, the market may experience periods of increased supply, heightened volatility, and potentially attractive entry points.<...
Trading Week Wrap Up - 06/18/26
It's been a shortened trading week, but there was no shortage of market-moving news.
In today's Trading Week Wrap Up!, we'll break down the biggest stories that drove markets this week, including the historic SpaceX IPO, the latest developments surrounding the Iran peace deal, and the dramatic moves in oil prices that continue to shape investor sentiment.
The market spent the week balancing optimism and uncertainty. On one hand, hopes surrounding a U.S.-Iran agreement helped push oil prices lower and fueled a risk-on rally in equities. On the other, traders are still trying...
The New Fed Chairman with Bill Addiss - 06/17/26
A new era at the Federal Reserve has officially begun.
In today's special episode, I'm joined by veteran bond trader William Addiss to break down the first official FOMC announcement under new Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh.
This wasn't just another Fed meeting.
It was the market's first real glimpse into how Warsh intends to lead the Federal Reserve, and investors everywhere are trying to decipher what it means for interest rates, inflation, bonds, stocks, and the broader economy.
We'll discuss:
The latest interest rate decision Changes to Fed projections and...Trading Q&A with Merlin Rothfeld - 06/16/26
It's time to dive into the mailbag!
One of my favorite shows is back as we tackle a wide range of viewer questions covering some of the hottest topics in today's markets. From crypto and commodities to SpaceX and Elon Musk, nothing is off limits.
In today's episode, we'll discuss:
Crypto futures and how they differ from spot markets The opportunities and risks of trading digital assets The latest developments surrounding SpaceX and its blockbuster IPO Elon Musk, his growing influence across multiple industries, and what it means for investors The outlook for Crude...Iran Peace Deal - 06/15/26
After months of conflict, sanctions, oil shocks, and market uncertainty, we may finally be seeing real progress toward a resolution with Iran.
In today's episode, we break down the latest developments surrounding the proposed U.S.-Iran peace agreement, what has been officially released by both governments, and what it could mean for investors moving forward. While optimism is growing, questions remain about implementation, energy flows, sanctions relief, and the long-term stability of any agreement.
The markets have already started reacting.
Oil prices have fallen sharply as traders anticipate the reopening of key...
Trading Week Wrap Up! - 06/12/26
What a week.
Markets were forced to navigate two massive stories simultaneously: the historic debut of SpaceX and the ever-changing situation in the Middle East. Somehow, investors managed to stay optimistic as hopes for a U.S.-Iran agreement helped calm energy markets while the largest IPO in history captured Wall Street's attention.
In this week's Trading Week Wrap Up!, we'll break down:
The record-breaking SpaceX IPO and what it means for investors going forward Whether SpaceX is worth the hype—or if expectations have become too extreme The market's reaction to the latest de...Trading Week Wrap Down! - 06/05/26
The streak is over.
After more than six weeks of relentless buying pressure, the major indexes finally closed the week in the red, leaving traders wondering:
Is this just a healthy pullback… or the beginning of something bigger?
In today's Trading Week Wrap Down!, we break down the sharp market selloff that snapped the broad market's winning streak and examine the key forces driving the weakness.
We'll discuss:
The sudden shift in market sentiment Weakness across AI and technology stocks Whether the leadership that carried this market higher is finally ru...SpaceX IPO - 06/04/26
It's finally happening... or is it?
For years, investors have been asking one question:
When will SpaceX go public?
In today's episode, we break down the latest developments surrounding the highly anticipated SpaceX IPO and what it could mean for investors, markets, and the future of the space economy.
Few companies have captured the public imagination like SpaceX. From reusable rockets and satellite launches to the rapid expansion of Starlink, the company has transformed the aerospace industry and become one of the most valuable private companies in the world.
...
Choose Your Trading Style - 06/03/26
One of the biggest mistakes traders make is trying to trade like someone else.
In today's episode, I answer a viewer question about how I developed my own trading style and why that journey took years of trial, error, and self-discovery. The reality is that there is no "best" trading style.
There is only the style that fits you.
Some traders love the fast-paced action of day trading. Others prefer swing trading, investing, options, futures, or longer-term position trades. The key isn't finding the strategy with the biggest returns—it's finding the one th...
Market Greed! - 06/02/26
The rally just won't stop.
Chipmakers are soaring. AI stocks are ripping higher. Technology names continue to make new highs seemingly every week. At this point, there's only one word that seems to fit:
Greed.
In today's episode, we break down the relentless surge in the technology sector and ask the question many traders are afraid to ask:
Are we witnessing the early stages of another speculative mania?
From semiconductor giants to AI darlings, investors continue pouring money into anything connected to artificial intelligence, cloud computing, and next-generation technology...
Space Stock Pain! - 06/01/26
The final frontier may be exciting… but investors are starting to ask some uncomfortable questions.
In today's episode, we take a hard look at the growing concerns surrounding the space sector, including the lofty valuation of SpaceX and whether expectations have gotten ahead of reality.
For years, space-related investments have been fueled by incredible stories:
Reusable rockets Satellite internet Lunar missions Space tourismBut recently, many space-related stocks have struggled, and investors are beginning to question whether growth can keep pace with the massive valuations attached to the sector.
So the bi...
Trading Week Wrap UP! - 05/29/26
What a way to close out the month.
May is officially in the books, and for investors, it was hard to complain. Strong earnings, resilient economic data, and continued momentum in big tech helped push markets higher, leaving many traders wondering:
Can this rally keep going?
In today's Trading Week Wrap Up, we break down the biggest stories that shaped the month and the latest price action in the market's heavyweight leaders, including Microsoft, Alphabet Inc., and several other members of the Magnificent 7.
We'll discuss:
Why tech continues to lead...Blockchain Adoption! - 05/28/26
The financial world may have just crossed a major line in the sand for blockchain technology.
In today's episode, we break down the huge news surrounding the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC) and its decision to move forward with a specific blockchain-based infrastructure for parts of its record keeping and settlement systems. When the organization responsible for clearing and settling trillions of dollars in securities starts embracing blockchain technology…
people should pay attention.
This isn't just another crypto headline. This is institutional finance evolving in real time.
We'll discuss:
Why th...Honeywell Spinoff - 05/27/26
Big changes are coming for Honeywell—and shareholders are trying to figure out what it all means.
In today's episode, we break down Honeywell's upcoming spinoff plans and why the company is restructuring itself into multiple standalone businesses. We'll discuss:
Why companies pursue spinoffs How shareholders are impacted Whether these moves actually create value And what traders should watch as the separation moves forwardHoneywell's aerospace division is expected to become its own publicly traded company as part of a broader restructuring effort aimed at unlocking shareholder value.
But while corporate restructuring dominates he...
Time to Trade Metals? - 05/26/26
Gold, silver, platinum… are the metals setting up for another major move?
In today's episode, we tackle a viewer question about buying precious metals right now. After huge volatility and powerful rallies over the past year, investors are trying to answer one critical question:
Is now the time to buy metals… or are they headed lower?
We'll break down the current technical and macro picture for:
Gold Silver Inflation expectations Interest rates Safe haven demandBecause metals don't move in a vacuum. They react to:
fear inflation currency weakness and shif...Trading Week Wrap Up - 05/22/26
Another wild week in the financial markets—and this one may have long-term consequences.
In today's Trading Week Wrap Up, we break down the biggest stories impacting traders and investors, including the appointment of the new Federal Reserve chairman, Kevin Warsh. Markets are already trying to price in what his leadership could mean for:
Interest rates Inflation policy Liquidity Equities, bonds, and cryptoBecause when the Fed changes leadership…
markets pay attention immediately.
We'll also dive into the ongoing Iran conflict, its impact on oil prices and market volatility, and why equi...
Government Investments - 05/21/26
Should investors be watching what the government is buying?
That's the question that sparked today's episode after a viewer asked whether the latest investments and stock purchases tied to the Trump administration and the U.S. government might offer clues about future market direction.
And honestly… it's a fascinating topic.
In today's show, we break down:
The latest government-related investment activity Why governments allocate capital the way they do Whether these purchases are strategic, political, or economic And most importantly… should retail investors pay attention?We'll explore how government spending and inve...
Nvidia Earnings - 05/20/26
In today's episode, we break down the latest Nvidia earnings report and why it matters far beyond just one stock. Nvidia has become the poster child for the AI revolution, and its earnings are now viewed as a direct barometer for the health of the entire AI and tech trade.
So the big question is:
Is the AI boom still accelerating… or starting to cool off?
We'll dive into:
Nvidia's earnings numbers and guidance Market reaction and what investors are focusing on The broader impact on AI stocks, semiconductors, and tech Whether ex...Where to Invest Now? - 05/19/26
It's the question every investor is asking right now:
Where should I put my money in this market?
In today's episode, we tackle a viewer question about which asset classes may be best positioned going forward. With equities sitting near all-time highs, commodities surging, crypto regaining momentum, and interest rate uncertainty still hanging over the markets, investors are being forced to make some tough decisions.
So where is the real opportunity?
We'll break down the pros and cons of several major asset classes, including:
Stocks and tech Commodities and energy...The China Visit - 05/18/26
The world's two largest superpowers just sat down at the table… and the markets are paying very close attention.
In today's episode, we break down the latest trip by Donald Trump and a group of prominent U.S. business leaders to China to discuss some of the biggest geopolitical and economic issues on the planet:
Trade and tariffs Iran and Middle East tensions Taiwan Technology and AI competitionThe meetings generated a lot of headlines—but what did we actually learn? Were there real breakthroughs, or just political theater? We'll separate the substance from the opti...
The New Fed Chairman - 05/13/26
The most powerful seat in finance just changed hands.
In today's episode, we break down the latest vote confirming Kevin Warsh as the new chairman of the Federal Reserve, taking over starting Monday. This is a massive shift for the financial markets—and traders everywhere are trying to figure out what comes next.
Because when the Fed changes leadership…
policy expectations change, market sentiment changes, and volatility usually follows.
We'll discuss:
Who Kevin Warsh is and his history with the Fed How his views differ from previous leadership What this coul...Inflation Heating Up! - 05/12/26
Just when markets thought inflation was cooling… the latest data says otherwise.
In today's episode, we break down the newest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report and what it means for the economy, the markets, and your portfolio. Inflation pressures appear to be heating back up—and that raises a major question:
Have future rate cuts just been pushed further out?
We'll dig into how the inflation data impacts expectations for the Federal Reserve, bond yields, equities, and risk assets. Because in today's market, inflation isn't just an economic number… it's the steering wheel for ev...
How To make $1,000 a Day Trading Stocks - 05/11/26
It's one of the most common questions traders ask: "Can I realistically make $1,000 a day trading stocks?"
In today's episode, we tackle that question head-on—but from a place of reality, not fantasy.
No Lambos. No fake social media flexing. No "turn $500 into a million dollars" nonsense.
Instead, we'll break down what it actually takes to consistently pull income from the markets, including:
The account size required Realistic percentage returns Position sizing and risk management Why consistency matters more than home runsI'll walk you through the math day by day, sh...
Trading Week Wrap Up! - 05/08/26
The market just keeps climbing.
Another week… another round of all-time highs, as equities continue their relentless push higher despite growing concerns about valuations, geopolitics, and economic uncertainty. So the big question becomes:
What's really driving this market?
In today's episode of Trading Week Wrap Up, we break down the latest market news, the continued rally in major indexes like the S&P 500, and why index composition matters more now than ever before.
Because when a handful of mega-cap stocks dominate index performance, it can create the illusion that "everything is st...
Data Dependent - 05/07/26
The market keeps throwing around the phrase "data dependent"… but what data actually matters?
In today's episode, we break down the latest wave of economic reports and what they reveal about the true health of the U.S. economy. Because behind every market move right now is one big question:
Is the economy slowing down… or still running hot?
We'll dive into the newest numbers on:
Construction and housing activity Jobs and labor market strength Corporate earnings and consumer resilienceThese reports don't just move markets for a day—they shape expect...
The Clarity Act Saga… - 05/06/26
Crypto regulation may finally be approaching its defining moment.
In today's episode, we break down the latest developments surrounding the Clarity Act and the growing debate over its chances of passing through the Senate. Supporters say it could bring long-overdue structure and legitimacy to the digital asset space. Critics argue it may not go far enough—or could dramatically reshape the industry.
Either way, this is becoming one of the most important stories in crypto and financial regulation.
We'll discuss:
What the Clarity Act actually does Why the market cares so much ab...Happy May the 4th! - 05/04/26
May the 4th be with you… but the markets? Not so much.
Today's show is a perfect example of what happens when too many catalysts hit at once. We've got earnings shaking things up, geopolitical tension driving commodities, and traders trying to make sense of it all in real time.
We'll break down the biggest stories of the day, including action in UPS, Palantir, Advanced Micro Devices, and the always unpredictable GameStop. Some of these moves make sense… others feel like pure chaos.
Then there's the macro backdrop.
Oil is moving, tens...
Mag 7 Earnings - 04/29/26
The biggest names in the market just reported… and the ripple effects are massive.
In today's episode, we break down the latest earnings from four of the Magnificent 7, including heavyweights like Meta, Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphabet. These aren't just earnings—they're market-moving events that set the tone for the entire equity landscape.
But that's not all…
We'll also break down the latest decision from the Federal Reserve on interest rates and what their forward guidance means for liquidity, valuations, and risk appetite going forward.
And as always, I'll give you a transp...