Future Projection
Baseball America’s Ben Badler and Carlos Collazo offer scout-level insight into all levels of baseball—everything from the amateur MLB Draft, international scouting, minor league prospects to the bigs. New episodes drop every week.
Episode 208: Mailbag—An Idea For A New International Talent Acquisition System
In today’s mailbag, a listener proposes an overhauled international talent acquisition system. Ben and Carlos react to that, then answer questions about Dylan Crews, Walker Jenkins and Austin Overn.
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(0:30) A potential shakeup to the international system?(18:05) What did we get wrong with Dylan Crews?(25:20) How did Austin Overn’s production in 2026 change his projection?(29:15) Thoughts on Walker Jenkins’ struggles in the majors?—
Do you have feedback for the show or want to ask us a question? Email us: futureprojection@baseballamerica.com.
Future Projection Twitter: @FutureProPod
Ben's Twitt...
Episode 207: September Stretch Run & Arizona Fall League Thoughts
Ben and Carlos talk about the storylines—or lack thereof—during the stretch run of the major league season, then turn their eyes to the Arizona Fall League, which recently had rosters announced. Who are we excited to see? All that and more.
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(0:00) Postseason talk(11:30) This time of year(13:40) Arizona Fall League(17:40) Vance Honeycutt(23:40) Myles Bailey(29:00) Dax Kilby(31:00) Tate Southisene & Owen Carey (34:50) Braylon Payne—
Do you have feedback for the show or want to ask us a question? Email us: futureprojection@baseballamerica.com.
Future Projection Twitter: @FutureProPod
Ben's...
Episode 206: Mailbag—Thoughts On Devin Taylor and Power-Over-Hit Offensive Players
Ben and Carlos open the listener mailbag to take questions about Athletics outfielder Devin Taylor, Cardinals shortstop Yairo Padilla, Tigers outfielder Cris Rodriguez and Rays first baseman Collin Bland.
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(0:55) Devin Taylor (5:15 ) Yairo Padilla(7:15) Cris Rodriguez(10:10) Collin Bland—
Do you have feedback for the show or want to ask us a question? Email us: futureprojection@baseballamerica.com.
Future Projection Twitter: @FutureProPod
Ben's Twitter: @BenBadler
Carlos's Twitter: @CarlosACollazo
Baseball America Website
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Episode 205: Josue De Paula & 2026 Dominican Summer League Standouts
Ben and Carlos talk about the Dodgers promoting outfielder Josue De Paula and get into what makes him such a well-rounded offensive player. The two talk about a few of the notable standouts from this year’s Dominican Summer League, including Angeibel Gomez, Johenssy Colome, Yostin Peña and others. The two then talk about Andrew Fischer’s bid for a 50-homer season, then get into a ton of fascinating shortstop prospects including Leo De Vries, Sebastian Walcott, Eli Willits and Josuar Gonzalez.
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(0:30) Josue De Paula(15:30) DSL Top prospects (16:00) Angeibel Gomez(22:00) Johenssy Colome(24...Episode 204: Mailbag—How Do We Handle Draft Transitions & Information?
Ben and Carlos break open the listener mailbag to answer prospect questions about Rays shortstop Carson Williams and outfielder Slater De Brun; how we view teams’ track records in trading for players; how we handle the information handover from one draft class to another (and how teams do the same); and what the CBA ramifications could be for the 2027 Dominican Summer League.
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(0:55) What happened to Rays SS Carson Williams?(3:00) Rays pro scouting(9:00) How we handle information sharing and handoffs for different classes(16:00) How will the CBA impact the signing period and 2027 DSL season...Episode 203: Angels Sale & Prospect Promotions
Ben lets Carlos vent about the position player pitching epidemic in the majors before the two turn to more serious discussions about the $4 billion sale of the Los Angeles Angels. The two discuss what could be changing for the organization and the ramifications, then pivot to prospect talk. They talk about the promotions of notable prospects like Walker Jenkins, Ethan Salas, Lazaro Montes and Kade Anderson, then check in on some of the top 2026 draftees who have made official debuts.
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(0:00) Carlos vents about position player pitching(11:30) Angels sale(22:00) Does this have any CBA...Episode 202: High School Summer Standouts
After a few weeks off, Ben and Carlos reconvene to talk about the state of the 2027 high school draft class. How are we viewing the class with the bulk of the summer showcase circuit behind us, and who are the players who have stood out and improved their stock? Has No. 1 prospect Dylan Seward lived up to expectations? What’s the value of All-America games in 2026? And did we see anything close to this kind of performance coming with Pete Crow-Armstrong?
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(0:00) Intro/Banter(5:00) Thoughts on the 2027 class(12:30) Malachi Butler(18:00) The depth of HS sh...Episode 201: Mailbag—Does The Data Back Up Caden Bodine?
Ben and Carlos open up the listener mailbag to take questions on Caden Bodine’s data, whether or not a Yankees outfielder will be an up-arrow name, general thoughts on Andrew Fischer and comparing and contrasting three up-the-middle college draftees.
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(0:45) How much does the data support Caden Bodine’s season?(7:10) Will Yankees outfielder Yostin Pena be a significant riser?(9:15) Andrew Fischer?(16:30) Drew Burress, Derek Curiel and Tyler Bell upside, ETA and career questions—
Do you have feedback for the show or want to ask us a question? Email us: futureproj...
Episode 200: Draft Signing Deadline Ramifications
Ben and Carlos talk about the 2026 draft signing deadline and spend a lot of time analyzing the Logan Schmidt situation. What went wrong and what comes next for one of the most talented southpaws available? The two talk about some of their favorite and least favorite deals of this year’s draft, then turn their eyes towards 2027, 2028 and the ongoing summer showcase circuit.
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(0:00) Intro(1:45) Logan Schmidt(15:30) Where would Schmidt stack up in the 2027 class?(22:30) Signing bonus talk(35:00) Deals we love(42:00) Record-breaking deals up top (46:00) East Coast Pro & Area Code Games(53:00) Players we’re excit...Episode 199: Mailbag—Where Does Vahn Lackey Stack Up With Elite Catching Prospects?
Ben and Carlos open the listener mailbag to tackle a handful of 2026 draft questions including: where does Vahn Lackey stack up with other top 100 catching prospects; what was our favorite player/org pairing from the draft; does Kevin Roberts Jr. have the same hitting questions as Quentin Young; and how would we compare the elite defensive shortstops from 2026 to the elite defensive shortstops from 2025.
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(0:45) How does Vahn Lackey compare to the best catching prospects in the game?(5:00) What was your favorite player/org match from the draft?(8:15) Does Kevin Roberts Jr. have a si...Episode 198: Breaking Down The MLBPA Draft Proposal
Ben and Carlos talk through the most recent draft proposal from the MLBPA. The two talk about the potential and the ramifications of college sophomore eligibility, thoughts on hard vs. soft slotting, moving the draft from July to June, whether or not draft pick trading is coming and how that could be more exciting for the draft process overall.
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(0:00) Intro/Banter(5:30) MLBPA draft proposal talk(11:00) Why are only older college players eligible?(17:00) Is universal eligibility a real compromise?(21:00) Do teams need more years of college performance to make decisions?(24:30) Thoughts on soft vs...Episode 197: Which Late Picks Have Superstar Potential?
Ben and Carlos break open the listener mailbag to answer questions about a number of topics including: Are teams changing their priorities for pitching stats? How does the 75% bonus minimum work in practice? Why do some players get significant over-slot deals? And which players outside of the top two rounds do we think have superstar potential?
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(0:00) Intro(2:10) Are teams shifting pitcher draft evaluations from game stats to advanced stats?(12:20) How were the Braves and Red Sox able to go below 75%?(18:30) Why did the Nationals go so far over slot to sign Luke Wil...Episode 196: 2026 Draft Reactions
Episode 196: 2026 Draft Reactions
Ben and Carlos react to the 2026 draft. Which picks surprised them, which draft classes did they like, which are they more skeptical of and what are the big takeaways from how teams worked down the board for this crop of players?
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(2:00) Macro takeaways on the draft(6:00) Our favorite drafts(7:00) The Braves(13:30) The Royals(19:40) The Red Sox(27:40) The Pirates(33:00) The Marlins(37:40) The Angels(44:10) Roch Cholowsky first overall and the top three—
Do you have feedback for the show or want to ask us a question? Email...
Episode 195: The Ultimate 2026 MLB Draft Preview
Ben and Carlos are joined by JJ Cooper for a hybrid Future Projection/draft podcast breaking down everything we know or are hearing about the top of the 2026 draft. We talk through possibilities and players for each team’s first pick, talk about org tendencies, system strengths and weaknesses and try to get a better understanding of how the draft could unfold to get you ready for draft day.
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(2:30) White Sox(10:00) Rays(15:15) Twins(22:30) Giants(31:00) Pirates(40:20) Royals(44:30) Orioles(50:20) Athletics(54:20) Braves(59:30) Rockies(1:03:40) Nationals(1:08:30) Angels(1:12:00) Cardinals(1:15:10) Marlins(1:18:30) D-backs (1:21:30) Rangers(1:25:00) Astros(1:27:10) Reds(1:30:20) Guardians(1:33:30) Red Sox(1:38:40) Padres(1:43:20) Tigers...Episode 194: In The Weeds On MLB’s Amateur Proposal
Ben and Carlos talk through MLB’s proposal to shake up the draft and the international talent acquisition system, working through ramifications for the game, player development, scouting and more.
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(0:15) Where have we been?(2:30) MLB’s player acquisition proposal(7:00) MLB’s dishonest messaging(9:00) Why high school players are more expensive to scout(13:00) Development in pro ball vs. college(16:40) This is always how MLB negotiates(22:30) Why MLB teams don’t want to compete with each other(25:00) The value of creating histories with players(29:00) Hypocrisy in the international market(33:30) Raising the signing age of internation...Episode 193: BA's New HS Star Rating System
Ben and Carlos talk about Baseball America’s new top 500 high school player ranking, as well the new star rating system we are unveiling to help further contextualize high school recruits. The two talk about what separates a five-star, four-star and three-star high school player and then talk through some of the top recruiting classes in the country. After that the two hit on a few notable Top 100 risers and the different ways that UCLA shortstop Roch Cholowsky and Georgia Tech catcher Vahn Lackey ended their 2026 seasons.
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(2:30) Top 500 High School list and new s...Episode 192: Mailbag—Making The Case For Jacob Lombard Over Grady Emerson
In this week’s listener mailbag, Ben and Carlos take questions like: can you make the case for Jacob Lombard over Grady Emerson? Where would UC Santa Barbara righthander Jackson Flora stack up with other Giants pitching prospects? Who are the top DSL pitchers to watch? Why isn’t Georgia catcher Daniel Jackson ranked even higher?
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(0:50) Give me an argument for taking Jacob Lombard over Grady Emerson(7:00) Where would Jackson Flora rank among top Giants pitching prospects?(12:00) Who are the best arms in the DSL this season?(18:00) Why isn’t Daniel Jackson ranked hi...Episode 191: Digging Deeper On College Pitchers
Ben and Carlos talk about the upcoming NCAA tournament and the players, teams and matchups they are looking forward to seeing. The two talk about the state of the college pitching in the 2026 draft class, and wonder who the best candidates are to come off the board after UC Santa Barbara righthander Jackson Flora.
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(0:00) Opening banter(3:50) NCAA regional talk(8:30) College pitching talk(12:00) Cameron Flukey(25:00) Mason Edwards(27:00) Cole Carlon(29:00) Tegan Kuhns(37:00) Cade Townsend(46:30) Jack Radel(51:30) College pitching depth and draft strategy(54:00) Closing Derek Curiel propaganda—
Do you have feedback for the s...
Episode 190: Mailbag—Young Latin Hitters To Watch
Ben and Carlos answer mailbag questions surrounding Red Sox outfielder Justin Gonzales, Athletics shortstop Johenssy Colome, Royals outfielder Angeibel Gomez and Mets shortstops Wandy Asigen and Elian Peña.
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(0:30) What are your thoughts on Red Sox outfielder Justin Gonzales?(6:00) Where would A’s shortstop Johenssy Colome and Royals outfielder Angeibel Gomez stack up with 2026 high school draft prospects?(14:00) Is Wandy Asigen a better prospect than Elian Peña?—
Do you have feedback for the show or want to ask us a question? Email us: futureprojection@baseballamerica.com.
Future Pr...
Episode 189: Prospects Making Big Jumps In 2026
Ben and Carlos focus on up-arrow prospects who are not quite on the top 100, but are tracking up the board on individual Top 30s. The group of names includes a pair of Brewers lefthanded hitter, a trio of Guardians contact bats, A Rangers shortstop to know, even more Dodgers outfield prospects to be aware of and a few young arms with big stuff. They close with a chat about what scouting departments are doing this time of year as the college season winds down and the draft approaches.
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(4:00) Prospect talk begins(4:30) Braylon Pay...Episode 188: Mailbag—Who Is The Best Defensive Shortstop Prospect?
Ben and Carlos open the mailbag to answer questions about the top defensive shortstop prospects in the minors; where 2027 California high school shortstop Dylan Seward would rank in the 2026 class; the center field likelihood of Derek Curiel, Drew Burress and AJ Gracia; and the odds that Justin Lebron slides out of the first round.
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(1:30) Who are the best defensive shortstops in the minors?(10:00) Where would Dylan Seward rank if he was in the 2026 class?(16:00) CF defense profiles of Derek Curiel, Drew Burress & AJ Gracia(20:00) Is there a chance Justin Lebron falls out of...Episode 187: Breaking Down Our Latest Mock Draft
Ben and Carlos talk about the Mock Draft V 3.0, the most recent projection of the first 40 picks for the 2026 draft. The two talk about the latest rumors up top, whether or not Roch Cholowsky and Grady Emerson are in a tier of their own, and then talk through a number of different teams and picks throughout the first round and beyond.
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(0:30) Jesus Made as the new top prospect(4:15) Where Roch Cholowsky fits in the Top 100(7:30) Giants SS Luis Hernandez (9:50) Mock draft talk(13:00) Grady Emerson vs. Vahn Lackey(19:00) Twins(23:55) Giants(29:00) Tegan Kuhns(31:30) Royals(35:00) Jare...Episode 186: Mailbag—How Does The Top Of The 2026 Draft Compare To Recent Years?
In today’s mailbag episode Ben and Carlos take questions about Braves prospect rankings, how the top of the 2026 draft stacks up with recent classes and which players we are individually higher or lower on in regards to our updated Top 100 prospect list.
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(1:05) Why are you guys light/late on Braves prospects?(8:30) Where does the 2026 top four compare to the 2025 and 2024 classes?(17:10) Are there any players you think are too high or too low on the top 100?—
Do you have feedback for the show or want to ask us a quest...
Episode 185: Top 100 Prospects Climbing The Rankings
Ben and Carlos talk about the first significant in-season update to the 2026 Top 100 list. The two talk about a handful of 2025 draftees who are flipping the switch with strong starts to the season after questionable pro debuts in 2026. They talk about a few notable additions at the back of the list, including a handful of Rays prospects and Royals infielder Josh Hammond. They also talk about how electric Padres catcher Ethan Salas has been, and the consistent offensive production that Mets outfield AJ Ewing provides.
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(1:00) Top 100 adjustments(4:00) Ethan Holliday, Tate Southisene, Kayson Cun...Episode 184: Mailbag—Hit Tools We Believe In
Ben and Carlos break open the FP mailbag and talk about hitters outside of the top 10 they have a lot of conviction in, complex league players they are anticipating, the logistics of academies in the Dominican Republic and what would have to happen for UCLA SS Roch Cholowsky to actually slide in the draft.
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(1:05) Which draft hit tools are you most convicted of deeper in the class?(11:00) Which players are you looking forward to in the complexes?(23:30) How many academies are there in the D.R. and how many players are at tho...Episode 183: The Challenge Of Projecting Prospect Power
Ben and Carlos talk about the recent MLB draft rankings update and talk about the process this year. They then discuss a few potential first rounders they saw in person recently. Carlos talks about his two-inning look at Coastal Carolina RHP Cameron Flukey, while Ben breaks down New York high school shortstop Aiden Ruiz. That leads to a conversation about the challenge of projecting power, especially for high school hitters who might have big differences in game and raw power.
After that the two talk about the struggles of Alabama SS Justin Lebron and Mississippi State 3B...
Episode 182: Mailbag—Rising 2026 Prospects To Know
Ben and Carlos take listener questions on a variety of up-arrow pro prospects including Orioles righthander JT Quinn, White Sox outfielder Samuel Zavala, Braves outfielder Eric Hartman and Dodgers outfielder Josue De Paula.
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(0:30) JT Quinn(6:00) Sammy Zavala (10:00) Eric Hartman & Tate Southisene(15:50) Josue De Paula(20:00) FCL and DSL streamingDo you have feedback for the show or want to ask us a question? Email us: futureprojection@baseballamerica.com.
Future Projection Twitter: @FutureProPod
Ben's Twitter: @BenBadler
Carlos's Twitter: @CarlosACollazo
Baseball America Website
Episode 181: Early 2025 Draft Standouts
Ben and Carlos lament Chipotle’s points policy before getting into the real stuff. The two talk about a number of strong performances from a handful of 2025 draftees, including Seth Hernandez, Kade Anderson, Jamie Arnold, Tyler Bremner, JoJo Parker, Kayson Cunningham and others.
They then talk about the loud offensive season and power surge from Red Sox shortstop Franklin Arias, wonder about the strikeout tendencies of Tigers shortstop Bryce Rainer and talk about the approach overhaul of Nationals shortstop Seaver King.
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(0:00) Intro(3:40) Seth Hernandez (11:00) Kade Anderson(13:00) Jamie Arnold(16:30) Tyler Brem...Episode 180: Mailbag—How To Get Started In Scouting
Ben and Carlos talk about Ben’s recent trip to the Dominican Republic and then break open this week’s listener mailbag. Recommendations for college students who want to work in scouting, how we view the hit risk of Florida shortstop Jacob Lombard and whether we’d rather have the No. 3 or 4 pick with a smaller bonus pool, or the No. 5 pick with a bigger bonus pool.
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(0:15) Ben’s trip to the Dominican Republic(14:10) What suggestions do you have for someone who wants to work in scouting?(25:30) How do you consider the hit tool ri...Episode 179: Mailbag—What Happens When Scouting Opinions Differ Radically From Our Own
Ben and Carlos talk about how they react when scouting opinions differ from their own, then take a few listener emails. How do pitchers add velocity so quickly? How do teams rank their own prospects and other prospects from other clubs? Why couldn’t the Pirates offer a ton of money to get Roch Cholowsky to them at pick No. 5?
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(0:40) What happens when a scout’s view differs from yours?(13:00) How do players add velocity so quickly?(21:00) Do teams have their own prospect rankings for themselves and other clubs?(26:00) Why couldn't the Pirates o...Episode 178: Another 100 MPH High School Lefty & Early Pro Performers
Ben and Carlos talk about yet another ridiculously talented high school lefthander in this year’s class, Massachusetts southpaw Brody Bumila. After that the two talk about Konnor Griffin’s nine-year extension with the Pirates, then get into a number of impressive early-season minor league performers so far this season.
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(4:00) In the weeds on Brody Bumila(20:30) Konnor Griffin’s extension(27:30) Noah Schultz(32:20) Max Clark (37:00) George Lombard Jr. (41:00) A brief draft tangent(44:00) Marco Dinges(49:30) Dylan Jordan(50:00) Kade Anderson(54:45) Gavin Kilen(56:30) Tanner FranklinDo you have feedback for the show or want to...
Episode 177: Mailbag—What Do We Look For In Prospects Beyond Tools?
In today’s mailbag episode Ben and Carlos talk through Guardians 2B Travis Bazzana’s big league ETA, explain what they look for in prospect beyond physical tools and think through how added weight could impact Brewers SS Jesús Made’s defensive profile. The two answer questions about whether they are buying White Sox INF/OF Sam Antonacci’s breakout, whether there is still hope for Red Sox 2B Kristian Campbell and then answer more detailed questions about draft bonuses and leverage.
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(1:00) What is Travis Bazzana’s call up timeline?(3:00) What do you look fo...Episode 176: Konnor Griffin’s Big League Promotion & Young Shortstop Extensions
Ben and Carlos talk about the extensions for Mariners shortstop Colt Emerson and Brewers shortstop Cooper Pratt. The two then talk about a few early performing Triple-A hitters, talk through a few of the standouts that Carlos saw in Cary at USA Baseball’s National High School Invitational and then react to the news that Konnor Griffin is being promoted to the majors as the news breaks on the show.
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(1:30) Colt Emerson & Cooper Pratt extensions(9:00) Is the Cooper Pratt deal more surprising?(18:00) False certainty in major league deals(20:30) James Tibbs (27:20) Luis Lara(33:00) NHSI t...Episode 175: Mailbag—Low Level Prospects Making Noise
Ben and Carlos talk about their impressions of the ABS system in the majors and then crack open the mailbag. The two take a questions about comparing recent top tier college prospects, Elian Pena skipping the FCL, DSL names we’re excited about, bonus pool logistics in the draft and why the first overall pick and other players take underslot deals as well as questions about A’s outfielder Breyson Guedez and Blue Jays prospects JoJo Parker and Juan Sanchez.
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(0:00) Initial ABS talk (8:00) How would you compare Henry Davis, Joey Bart & Vahn Lackey...Episode 174: Rising Pitching Prospects & New Draft Rankings
Ben and Carlos talk about the new trend of teams calling pitches from the dugout in the major leagues and then get into some of the notable action items from spring training. The two gush over what they’ve been seeing from Pirates righty Seth Hernandez and Mariners righty Ryan Sloan, and also talk about what we’ve seen early on from a few other arms and a couple of Brewers bats. After that the two talk about Dylan Crews being optioned to Triple-A and then discuss the most recent draft board update and what best-case scenarios could look like...
Episode 173: Mailbag—What College Coaches Look For In Recruiting
On today’s mailbag episode, Ben and Carlos take questions on projection vs. present skill for college recruits, Josuar Gonzalez vs. Luis Hernandez for the Giants, fielding percentage as a tool for evaluating college shortstops, Will Gasparino and Mason Edwards and the stats that matter for high school players.
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(0:50) Do college coaches look for projection or present ability? (10:20) Will Josuar Gonzalez or Luis Hernandez be the better long-term Giants SS?(15:00) Is there value in weighing fielding percentage for college shortstops?(20:40) Why no Will Gasparino or Mason Edwards on your recent rising prospects piece...Episode 172: Spring Training Prospect Buzz
Ben and Carlos give their final thoughts on an epic World Baseball Classic, then turn their eyes towards prospects and spring training. The two talk about some of the top hitters who have played well this spring, plus a couple of notable pitching prospects who might have made key additions to their arsenals for 2026.
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(0:30) Final WBC talk(8:45) Spring training talk(14:20) Jesus Made(18:30) Colt Emerson(27:00) Bryce Eldridge(30:40) Samuel Basallo(33:50) Charlie Condon (50:00) Joshua Baez(53:00) Braden Montgomery(55:00) Sam Antonacci(57:40) Hagen Smith(1:00:45) Didier FuentesDo you have feedback for the show or wan...
Episode 171: Mailbag—Young Shortstops & Draft Broadcast Changes
Ben and Carlos break open the listener mailbag and answer questions on a trio of young Cardinals shortstops, why Brady Harris might be slipping in the draft and how his risk and upside compares to Kevin Roberts Jr., whether or not Elian Pena has a chance to be a top 25 prospect and what changes we would make to the draft broadcast.
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(1:20) Can you compare and contrast Yairo Padilla, Miguel Hernandez & Sebastian Dos Santos?(6:50) Why is Brady Harris slipping and how does his risk compare to Kevin Roberts Jr.?(13:10) Will Mets SS Elian Pen...Episode 170: Debating The Top College Outfield Prospects
Ben and Carlos talk about the World Baseball Classic and the drama surrounding team USA. After that, they compare and contrast some of the top college outfielders in the 2026 draft class. Why is Ben so high on Virginia’s AJ Gracia? And why can Carlos not quit on LSU’s Derek Curiel? Those two, plus thoughts on Sawyer Strosnider and Drew Burress—plus a few comments on his Georgia Tech teammate Vahn Lackey skyrocketing with more power this spring.
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(2:00) A valid Team USA critique and a non-valid critique(18:30) College outfield talk begins(21:00) AJ Gracia...Episode 169: Mailbag—How To Know When A Prospect Change Is Real
Ben and Carlos answer listener questions about how we know when to re-adjust expectations for prospects and the difference in value between center fielders and shortstops.
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(3:00) How do you know if a player is hitting a high percentile outcome vs. adjusting possible expectations?(8:00) Why it’s hard to deal with specific percentile projections(16:00) Why approach changes are incremental(18:00) Being skeptical of surface level results with no process changes(25:00) How much more do teams value shortstops vs. center fielders?Do you have feedback for the show or want to ask...