FactSet U.S. Daily Market Preview

US equity futures are fractionally lower after yesterday’s rally pushed the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to fresh record closes. Europe opened firmer and Asia finished mixed. Overnight narrative was largely upbeat, growing Fed rate cut expectations have provided the key directional driver, partly fueled by Trump scrutiny of Powell. Trade headlines remain front-and-center ahead of the 9—July tariff deadline: the White House says framework agreements with Canada and the EU are moving forward, while Japan and India talks still face sticking points over autos and market access. Senate Republicans continue amendment votes on the wide-ranging tax-and-spend bill, with fina...

US equity futures are higher with S&P up 0.4%. US 10-year and 2-year yield both point down . Dollar softer versus yen, slightly firmer elsewhere. Oil down ahead of another expected OPEC and production hike. Gold firmer. Industrial metals higher. Asian equity markets are mixed. Nikkei has been outperforming to hit twelve month high. European markets are firmer. In trade developments, Canada to rescind digital services tax after Trump threatened to pull out of trade talks on Friday. Trump said he doesn't think he'll need to extend tariff 9-Jul deadline, contrasting somewhat with Treasury Secretary Bessent. Somewhat better news on...

US equity futures higher, European markets extended gains, while Asian markets were mixed. White House announced a trade deal with China, though details were sparse, with the US set to remove countermeasures in exchange for rare earths curbs from Beijing. Commerce Secretary Lutnick flagged 10 additional deals ahead of the 9-Jul tariff deadline but said the date remains flexible. EU leaders considering tariff cuts on US imports to fast-track a deal. US to drop Section 899 "revenge tax" after G7 compromise.

Companies Mentioned: MRC Global, DNOW, Comcast, RTL Group, Saab, Embraer

US equity futures are higher. European markets opened firmer, while Asian markets were mixed. Trump may announce a replacement for Fed Chair Powell as early as September. Trade developments remain in focus ahead of the 9-Jul deadline; the Trump administration is reportedly close to deals with Japan, South Korea, and Vietnam, though major sticking points remain, especially over auto and steel tariffs. White House tweaked controls on ethane exports to China, signaling potential easing of restrictions. Powell noted trade deals may allow future rate cuts while all forecasters see significant increase in inflation.

Companies Mentioned: NVIDIA, Microsoft...

S&P futures are flat, unchanged from the prior close. Following broad gains on Tuesday, European equity markets are mostly firmer in rangebound trade. Asian markets continued to advance today, led by gains in Greater China and Japan. The ceasefire between Iran and Israel appears to be holding, with Iran signaling readiness for diplomacy. U.S. airstrikes reportedly caused limited damage to Iran's underground nuclear facilities, delaying its program by a few months but failing to destroy centrifuges or enriched uranium stockpiles.

Companies Mentioned: Glacier Bancorp, Brighthouse Financial

S&P futures are pointing to a strong open today, up +0.7% following the de-escalation signals in the Middle East. European equity markets are surging in early trades with the German DAX up +1.8% and STOXX 600 up +1.2%. Asian markets also closed sharply higher today with notable performances in Greater China and Japan. Israel and Iran have agreed to a ceasefire, confirmed by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, marking an end to hostilities after initial confusion over timing. The White House stated the agreement includes a 12-hour ceasefire, after which the war will be considered ended if calm persists.

Companies...

US equity futures are firmer with S&P up 0.3%, bond yields firmer, US 10-year treasury up 2 bps at 4.4%. Dollar firmer versus yen and Aussie, softer versus euro and sterling. Gold softer despite Middle East tensions. WTI crude adds to recent gains, around 0.5% higher. Industrial metals mixed. Crude oil and dollar index pared gains in Asia Monday after US strikes on Iran while gold defying bullish expectations on the back of haven demand. Risk aversion briefly took Bitcoin below $100K for the first time since May amid broad-based weakness in crypto. Press noted equity price action so far indicating a...

US equity futures slightly softer. European equities opened firmer, while Asian markets were mixed with South Korea and Hong Kong outperforming. Trump to decide within two weeks on potential Iran strike, extending earlier timeline amid reported backchannel talks between US envoy Witkoff and Iran's foreign minister. Japan’s May core inflation came in above expectations, keeping BOJ tightening speculation in play, while China held loan prime rates steady. BoE kept rates steady while SNB and Norges Bank cut rates; ECB bulletin released. Japan’s Akazawa downplayed July 9 as deadline for US trade talks, mirroring tone from EU officials as nego...

US equity futures slightly higher. European markets opened narrowly mixed, while Asian markets were also mixed. Geopolitical focus dominated as Trump held a National Security Council meeting to discuss potential strikes on Iranian nuclear sites, including the Fordow facility. Reports flagged risks of Iranian retaliation and potential mining of the Strait of Hormuz. Trump reiterated a hard stance, demanding Iran’s unconditional surrender. Trade talks saw little movement. Trump criticized EU and Japan for failing to offer fair deals and reiterated tariff threats, including imminent action on pharmaceuticals.

Companies Mentioned: KKR & Co, Orange, Zegona Communications, Hasbro, Plains Al...

US equity futures are pointing to a lower open today. European markets have opened in the negative territory, following mixed trades in Asian markets. Global markets today are digesting Trump's decision to cut short his G7 attendance to return to Washington after warning on Truth Social for people to evacuate Tehran. BOJ left interest rates unchanged as expected. Ishiba and Trump failed to reach agreement at G7. US and Canada are aiming to strike a trade deal within a month.

Companies mentioned: Verve Therapeutics, Eli Lilly, T-Mobile, Softbank

US equity futures slightly higher. European markets trading weaker and Asian markets ended mixed. Geopolitical risk remains high as Israel and Iran exchanged strikes for a third day. Market concern remains about potential for disruption to crude shipments via Strait of Hormuz. China’s May activity data came in mixed: industrial output and fixed asset investment growth slowed more than expected, while retail sales surprised to the upside amid holiday spending and a trade-in stimulus. G7 summit saw little progress on trade, though bilateral talks between Trump and other leaders continued. Japan and the US discussed a potential deal, wh...

US equity futures are sharply lower, as risk sentiment deteriorated amid escalating Middle East tensions. Asian markets fell broadly, European equities are also trading lower. Israel launched airstrikes on Iranian nuclear and military targets, prompting fears of regional escalation. President Trump said the US was not involved but convened his cabinet; Israel declared a state of emergency and signaled operations may continue for days. Trump reiterated unilateral tariff threats and raised the prospect of 25% auto tariffs. Trade talks with Japan, India, and the EU remain challenging ahead of the G7 summit. US inflation data showed further cooling; jobless claims...

US equity futures were weaker. European equities opened lower and Asian equities were mixed with declines in Hong Kong and Taiwan offset by gains in South Korea. US and China reached a framework to implement last month’s Geneva consensus and agreed to dial back select export controls, though the rare earths relief is temporary and skepticism remains about a broader deal ahead of the July tariff deadline. Geopolitical tensions escalated as the US ordered partial embassy evacuations in the Middle East amid reported Iranian threats, contributing to a sharp oil rally Wednesday. Trump reiterated plans to impose unilateral tr...

US equity futures are slightly lower after Tuesday’s gains. European markets are firmer in early trade, while Asian markets ended higher with broad gains across Greater China and Korea. US and China reached a framework to implement the Geneva consensus, though execution still requires approval from Presidents Trump and Xi. Commerce Secretary Lutnick suggested rare earth and magnet issues may be resolved through the deal, but any US export control easing depends on reciprocal Chinese moves. US-India and US-Mexico are reportedly close to interim trade deals addressing digital access and tariff relief, according to Reuters and Bloomberg. Eyes tu...

S&P futures slightly pointing down. European equity markets pared early loss. Asian equity markets mostly higher, with Nikkei seeing decent gains. Taiwan a notable outperformer on TSMC gains. China markets underperform. For treasuries, 10-year yields down 4bps to 4.5%. Dollar firmer. Oil up, gold down, industrial metals lower. Cryptocurrencies consolidating overnight gains. For latest update on trade talks, US and China meetings in London to extend through Tuesday after representatives from both sides met for more than six hours. Nothing substantive emerged from first day of talks with US officials describing them as fruitful. President Trump said he has...

US equity futures are pointing slightly up. European markets are narrowly mixed, while Asia go broadly higher, with decent gains for Nikkei and Hang Seng. Kospi extended recent post-election outperformance. For treasuries, 10-year yields stay steady at 4.5% after backing up sharply in prior session. Dollar softer, oil down, gold softer, industrial metals mixed. Attention on trade developments with US and China resuming talks in London with export licenses a key topic of discussion. NEC Director Hassett confirmed US is seeking agreement on rare earths from London talks. For its part China has taken issue with US principally over tech...

US equity futures are firmer following Thursday’s mixed close. European equities opened flat, while Asian markets ended mixed with modest moves. Trump and Xi agreed to launch a new round of trade talks, though China’s readout urged the US to remove sanctions and show prudence on Taiwan. ECB cut rates by 25 bp for the eighth time, but signaled a likely pause in July. White House aides reportedly scheduled a Friday call as they seek to deescalate the feud between Trump and Musk, with both signaling openness to reconciliation. Focus turning to today’s US May employment report, where...

US equity futures slightly weaker. European markets opened flat to slightly higher, while most Asian markets ended in positive territory with Kospi outperforming. Markets focused on trade and central bank updates. The ECB is expected to cut rates by 25 bps today amid cooling inflation. Uncertainty remains over the timing of a potential Trump-Xi call, with reports citing reluctance from China’s side. Institutional investors reportedly shifting away from US markets due to debt and trade concerns, with Europe seen as a relative beneficiary. Weaker-than-expected US ADP and ISM Services data added to Fed policy scrutiny ahead of Friday's jobs re...

US equity futures are little changed. European markets are firmer, while most Asian markets gained. US-China trade tensions remain in focus, with Trump-Xi call reportedly expected Friday, though no confirmation yet. China's restrictions on rare earths getting more attention with press highlighting growing concern among car makers that shortage of magnets could grind auto production to halt within weeks. Moreover, US Steel tariffs come into effect today, but a temporary 25% tariff remains for the UK until its trade deal comes into force. Korea's Lee Jae-myung won the presidential election, pledging economic stimulus and renewed trade talks. Markets also eye...

S&P futures are pointing lower today, down (0.47%). European equity markets are firmer, following slightly weaker levels on Monday. Asian equity markets went mostly higher, with Hang Seng a notable outperformer. Overnight, US 2-year yield down 1 bps to 3.9% and 10-year down 3 bps to 4.4%. Dollar firmer, oil up, gold down, industrial metals lower. Renewed US-China trade tensions has spilled into public view with both sides accusing each other of reneging on Geneva deal. White House talking up prospects of a Trump-Xi call this week but no confirmation yet from China. Critical minerals remain source of tensions with China reportedly slow...

S&P futures are pointing lower today, down (0.5%). European equity markets are weaker. Asian markets are lower, with Nikkei, Hang Seng and Taiwan underperforming, mainland China closed for public holiday. Overnight, treasury yields went up, with the two year up 2bps and the ten year up 5bps. The U.S. dollar weaker, oil up, gold gains, industrial metals higher. Trade tensions weighing on risk appetite. US-China relations fraying a month with two sides accusing the other of violating Geneva agreement. Main disagreements revolve around US frustration at China slow walking offer of relaxing rare earths curbs and China taking...