The Joseph Carlson Show
A show about stocks, money, and business news. Joseph transparently shares investing strategy with a million dollar stock portfolio.
Here's My Price Target Of Every Holding
00:00 Introduction
02:03 Qualtrim
03:16 How I Set My Price Targets
04:23 Mastercard
07:27 Amazon
09:27 Alphabet / Google
11:49 Meta
14:18 S&P Global
15:01 Microsoft
16:15 ASML
17:55 Costco
19:17 Netflix
21:55 Texas Roadhouse
23:25 Moody’s
24:13 Duolingo
25:22 Uber
26:25 DoorDash
28:26 Amazon Earnings Breakdown
39:16 Anthropic Results & Steve Eisman
46:01 Fail of the Week: The $1 Million Kick
Google Stock Is In Trouble
00:00 Google’s Selloff & My Portfolio
04:20 Google’s Revenue Growth
06:00 Understanding Google’s Earnings & Valuation
09:03 Free Cash Flow & Capital Spending
10:49 Is AI Hurting Google Search?
14:15 Management’s Explanation & AI Monetization
20:24 Google Cloud, YouTube & My Outlook
24:14 Mastercard Earnings
25:15 Microsoft Earnings
26:15 DoorDash’s Proposed Instacart Acquisition
Anthropic Just Released Their Financials… The Numbers Are Insane
Anthropics S1 shows the fastest growth ever.
I'm Buying More Of This Stock Tomorrow
I explain why I'm buying $5,000 of Netflix tomorrow.
The Best Stocks To Buy This Week
00:00 Earnings Season Heats Up & AI Bubble Fears
01:26 Qualtrim Membership
02:24 SpaceX Earnings: Starlink, Space & AI
05:47 SpaceX vs. Amazon: The Valuation Problem
09:24 Netflix Earnings: A Buying Opportunity?
12:16 ASML: When Market Narratives Create Opportunity
14:33 Netflix's Engagement Concerns & Layoffs
18:17 Meta Earnings: Advertising Power & AI Spending
21:08 Tesla Earnings: Robotaxis, Competition & Valuation
24:44 Moody's Earnings: A Long-Term Compounder
25:47 Brad Gerstner: Bullish on AI but Selling Stocks?
31:40 The Size of Gerstner's Hedge Fund vs. Long-Only Fund
34:07 Fail of the Week: ESPN Embraces Sports...
The Entire Market Relies On These Stocks
The new earnings season has started where the majority of growth is coming from a few AI companies.
The AI Bubble Is Popping
Michael Burry and Ray Dalio are both warning of an impending AI bubble. In this epiosde we look at their history and what actions investors should take with these type of warnings.
Three Turn-Around Stocks I’m Buying Today
0:00 I Bought 3 Turnaround Stocks
1:31 Netflix — Buying More After the Selloff
6:37 Netflix’s Growth Is Being Misunderstood
10:35 The Netflix “Low-Quality Content” Criticism
17:53 Uber — Buying the 30%+ Drop
21:18 S&P Global — My Third Purchase
24:13 Nike — Why I’m Still Avoiding It
26:03 FICO — Great Business, Major Risk
27:42 Tom Lee Says Investors Are Too Pessimistic
29:12 Fail of the Week: Apple vs. AI Agents
Google And Meta Will Beat OpenAI And Anthropic
0:00 Why Google & Meta Could Win AI
2:08 The AI Race: OpenAI vs. Anthropic
3:33 Meta Goes All-In on AI
5:08 Google's Comeback With Gemini
7:04 Gemini 4 Benchmarks
9:33 Google & Meta's Financial Advantage
12:16 Free AI, Pricing & Monetization
17:26 Trust, Distribution & OpenAI's Super-App Problem
23:05 Netflix Selloff & Ted Sarandos
25:52 FICO's Stock Collapse
How I’m Investing With $1.5 Million Stock Portfolio
I break down my $1.5 million stock portfolio, including what I’m doing with Google after it fell behind in the AI model race, Meta’s recent surge and new enterprise push, and updates on Amazon, Mastercard, ASML, S&P Global, Netflix, Uber, DoorDash, and more. I also look at the growing debate over AI and jobs, contrasting Jensen Huang’s optimistic view with Andrew Yang’s concerns about automation, before finishing with Bob Chapek’s comments about what happened behind the scenes at Disney and Bob Iger’s return.
0:00 Intro
1:31 $1.5 Million Portfolio Update
<...Everything Just Changed For Meta
Meta stock is surging, Muse is taking off, and now Amazon is fighting back. In this episode, I break down Meta’s massive move higher, why sentiment around the company has shifted so quickly, and why Amazon’s decision to block Muse may be less about “security and privacy” and more about protecting its advertising business and its direct relationship with customers. We’ll look at what happens if AI agents become the new way people shop online, how Meta could respond to Amazon’s blockade, and why I think this fight is only the beginning.We also have a new Fail o...
Warning: Investors Must Prepare For The Agentic Takeover
AI agents are moving from simply answering questions to actually doing things for us — shopping, booking hotels, making reservations, comparing prices, managing transactions, and eventually negotiating with other machines on our behalf.That shift could have enormous consequences for some of the world’s biggest companies.In this episode, I look at the rise of agentic commerce and a simple framework for determining which businesses are most exposed: How much of their value comes from removing friction, and how much scarce infrastructure or capability remains once that friction disappears?We break down what this could mean for Booking Holdings, Door...
The Best Stock To Buy During The "AI Slowdown"
0:00 The AI Slowdown Battle
4:05 Why Meta Benefits Most
6:49 How Meta Wins Either Way
12:41 Meta’s New AI Assistant
15:41 Zuckerberg’s Track Record
20:43 Dario’s Real Incentives
29:21 The Problem With “Coordinated Pacing”
31:46 Fail of the Week: Hunter Biden’s Meme Coin
The AI Conspiracy Is Blowing Up
Jacob Coxon viral X post is causing an AI hysteria. We look through the timeline in this episode.
Something Has Gone Terribly Wrong
00:00 What's Happneing In The Stock Market
17:31 Microsoft to Reveal Cloud Growth
19:45 S&P Global To Sell Capital IQ
21:52 Google Avoids Breakup
23:00 Fail Of The Week: Teleprompter Operator
Investor Warning: They’re All Lying To You About AI
Why the biggest bear, Ed Zitron, belives AI is a con.
Meta Wins A Massive Strategic Victory
00:00 Meta Strategic Victory In Lawsuit
18:30 Microsoft Is Hiding From Investors
21:23 Netflix May Offer Peacock Through It's Service
26:15 Win Of The Week: SharkNinja's Innovation
’m Buying $10,000 Of This Company Next
00:00 Buy Prices For Every Stock
26:18 Uber Hit Piece
38:50 Fail Of The Week: Gene Munster
How I Built A $1.5 Million Portfolio
00:00 How To Have An Edge In Investing
15:02 Sharing My Investment Journey
19:15 Top Pick 1: Meta
23:50 Top Pick 2: Uber
25:50 Top Pick 3: S&P Global
27:30 Duolingo DAU Update
29:20 Fail Of The Week: Amazon Drone Delivery
30:45 New Carlson Family Member
All The Pros All Buying These Companies
00:00 Super Investor Portfolio Update
23:00 Meta Lawsuit Gets Worse
Bill Ackman Just Bought 6 New Stocks
In this episode we review Bill Ackmans new buys.
9 Stocks That Could Make You Rich
00:00 Overview
01:24 IMAX
08:33 Reddit
11:39 MELI
13:20 Adobe
16:28 Nike
17:50 Rollins
19:40 Copart
23:04 Nebius
24:58 Cava
26:35 Fail Of The Week: Elisson vs California
Three Top Stocks To Buy Today
00:00 Introduction
01:00 A History Of Picking Stocks
06:30 Uber
11:50 Meta
18:02 Netflix
20:15 Semianalysis Gemini Has Lost
23:48 Fail Of The Week: Keith Rabois
Market Sentiment Is Quickly Changing
00:00 Intro
02:30 AWS Has Changed The Market
11:26 FICO Earnings
14:24 Uber & DoorDash
19:00 Duolingo
22:00 Texas Roadhouse
23:00 Tom Lee 2027 Prediction
I’m Buying More Today
Google, Microsoft, and Amazon have followed a pattern of their CAPEX having initial skepticism eventually followed by acceptance. This will happen with Meta as well. In each case there were 'reasons' that the stock deserved to be down. With Google it was that ChatGPT would disrupt search, Microsoft it was Claude would disrupt the software bundle and the backlog was too concentrated, Amazon it was large CAPEX spend with no flagship model. With Meta it's that they have no public cloud business. Like all the others, investors will eventually be convinced with Meta as well.
Investors Are Missing The Best Opportunity In Years
00:00 Introduction
03:01 PayPal Stock
08:33 S&P Global Earnings
12:36 Visa and Mastercard
17:16 FICO and Robinhood
19:38 Meta and Microsoft Earnings
27:05 The Three Layers of AI
37:05 ASML and China’s Chip Machines
39:11 AI, Hiring, and the Future of Jobs
41:52 Fail Of The Week: Paramount’s Warner Bros. Merger Problem
You're Being Lied To About Google Stock
00:00 Introduction
02:00 Why Investing Is So Difficult
06:41 Google Is a Secular Short
07:40 Viral Conspiracies Against Google
15:58 Misinformation About Netflix
20:30 Fail Of The Weeks: President Trump & Trial Attorneys
Why The Market’s Not Reacting To The Biggest Earnings
00:00 Introduction
02:00 ASML Earnings Reaction
10:00 Netflix Earnings Tomorrow
11:50 JP Morgan & The Banks
12:20 Buffett Reveals He Bought Google
Fail Of The Week: Kalshi & New York City
Value Investing Has Finally Died
00:00 The Growth of Momentum Investing
19:00 How Buffett Comapres To Terry Smith
29:00 Starbucks Is Building Their Own Software
32:00 Fail Of The Week: AI Cheating In School
9 Best Stocks To Buy In July
00:00 Market Dynamics & 9 Stocks
28:36 Tom Lee On July Strength
31:00 Fail Of The Week: Michael Saylor
Stocks Will Fall -70% According To This Expert
00:00 Jeremy Grantham Predictions
18:20 Zuckerberg Talks About Meta's Spend
33:40 Fail Of The Week: Polen Capital Collapse
The AI Boom Is Starting To Crack
00:00 The AI Trade Is Cracking
07:36 Netflix At 52 Week Low
17:00 Meta Sell-Off Continues
23:40 Fail Of The Week: JP Morgan Community Manager
I Just Bought Two NEW Stocks
00:00 Introduction
02:00 The Market Is Focused on AI
13:40 Why Uber & DoorDash
25:00 Google's Stock Goes Down Today
29:00 Fail Of The Week: Polymarket
I Invested $182,000 Into This Broken Company
Why Meta is my biggest single bet today.
Investing Legend Warns About This Market
00:00 Intro
02:00 Portfolio Update
10:00 SpaceX IPO Reaction
22:39 Fail Of The Week: Anthropic Self-Inflicted Wounds
I'm Buying These Undervalued Stocks
00:00 Intro
02:00 11 Top Undervalued Stocks To Buy
18:26 ASML's Dominance Continues
25:00 Social Reckoning Movie Trailer
These Stocks Are Going Down
00:00 Overview
02:00 The Market Is Getting More Volatile
08:00 Steve Eisman's Bearish Take
19:48 Meta Rumored Equity Raise
22:00 Fail Of The Week: Sam Bankman-Fried
Google Is Fooling Everyone
0:00 Intro
02:00 Google's Strategic Reason For Record Dilution
26:09 Tom Lee Explains Next 3 Year Bull Run
19:00 YouTubers Are Taking Over Hollywood
32:33 Fail Of The Week: Andrew Left Guilty Of Stock Market Manipulation
My Investing Plan For The Next 5 Years
In a market obsessed with artificial intelligence, this episode follows the race to separate the real winners from the temporary hype.
0:00 AI winners, losers, and the investing roadmap
2:21 Phase 1: The AI scarcity boom
5:31 Why today’s AI winners may not stay winners
7:00 ASML, Nvidia, and durable supply-chain advantages
9:04 The danger of assuming cyclicals are no longer cyclical
11:13 Phase 3: Hyperscalers take control
16:09 Software stocks: AI disruption or rerating opportunity?
20:06 How I’m positioning my portfolio
23:13 Ferrari’s EV and the risk to the br...
This Is The Craziest IPO Ever
00:00 SpaceX Incredible IPO
15:20 Nvidia's Amazing Earnings Report
16:17 Why I'm Selling Intuit
21:25 Fail Of The Week: Trevor Noah on Quarterly Reports
