All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

(0:00) Michael Kratsios joins the show!

(01:56) Is this administration anti-science? The Nature poll, DEI grants, and $8B down the drain 

(8:16) Climate science cuts: RCP 8.5 gets pulled and the "climate emergency" narrative collapses

(13:45) $47B at NIH, Eroom's Law, and golden tickets: has American science stagnated? 

(22:24) Big bold bets: Genesis Mission, quantum by 2028, fusion by 2035, boots on the moon in '28 

(34:04) The great race with China: $33B to $670B, and 7 out of 10 STEM PhDs aren't American 

(44:09) Fauci did more damage to science than anyone in modern history, and NIH's median rese...

(00:00) Besties are back!

(00:13) Dario's two-part essay: regulatory capture, doomerism, and the data center backlash

(10:25) FINRA for AI vs. MPAA for AI: SROs, thinking tokens, and the "DMV for AI"

(30:12) Is an open source ban coming? Harnesses, FDI, jobs, and recursive self-improvement

(56:33) a16z under DOJ investigation over "interlocking directorates"

(1:01:15) Midterms: broken polls, the socialism surge, and CATO's DSA price tag

Come hang with the Besties at the All-In Summit | September 13-15:

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(0:00) The most controversial company in privacy right now, Flock CEO joins the show!

(7:23) License plate data retention: 7 days solves 90% of crimes

(13:00) Camera vandalism, felony charges, and privacy concerns

(18:15) Dirty cops exposed: Flock's audit tool got 9 Georgia officers fired

(28:25) AI, drones, facial recognition, and avoiding predictive policing

(39:43) Safety is a privilege and who actually needs Flock

(45:36) Flock's PR crisis: internal morale, churn, and 20 cities turning the cameras back on

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(0:00) Gavin Baker joins the show!

(2:36) Anthropic IPO report: $2T valuation, $100B+ run rate, October listing

(27:32) Zuck's AI manifesto: What it means for Meta and frontier AI

(56:41) All-In Summit Speaker Announcements!

(58:13) Nvidia's $500B financing plan, how the AI market could fall apart

(1:14:29) NJ and Mamdani take on Amazon over subcontracted drivers

(1:27:32) Grok 4.6 launch: SpaceX's high-ceiling, high-floor AI strategy

(1:35:21) Workday in talks to be acquired by Silver Lake for ~$43B

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(0:00) Jason and Friedberg welcome Rahm Emanuel

(1:16) Lessons from working with Clinton and Obama

(7:45) China: How to approach conflict, new economic bloc, isolation, and Taiwan

(28:49) Europe: Reasons for the decay of the West

(38:37) Immigration: US solutions, who to emulate, subsidizing college for Americans

(46:55) National debt, government interference in markets, fixing education

(1:09:24) DSA vs Democrats

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(0:00) Bestie intros! Brad Gerstner fills in for Chamath

(2:16) Major shakeups at Google: AI brain drain or better strategy?

(20:39) SpaceX's big quarter: Terafab, AI Capex, $1T revenue projection?

(45:44) All-In Summit Speaker Announcements!

(48:01) Airtable sells for a 90% discount: SaaSpocalypse?

(1:05:56) Chinese AI labs are buying US training data to catch up

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(0:00) Saronic founders join the show!

(4:56) The Navy's first autonomous rescue in the Strait of Hormuz, and how China out builds America 230-to-1

(13:04) $3B destroyers vs. Marauder

(21:25) Killing cost-plus, the new primes, and why only 1% of the budget goes to autonomy

(25:55) Could 10,000 Corsairs actually lock down a 20-mile strait?

(31:25) China's arming robot dogs: will our AI weapons hurt us in Taiwan?

(36:33) Exclusive announcement: Port Alpha lands in Brownsville: 4000 acres, 10,000 jobs

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Creative Planning. As wealth grows, complexity...

(0:00) Bestie intros

(1:19) Chip stocks crash, Leopold Aschenbrenner's $20B fund gets margin called

(20:20) China's advantage and green shoots for the US economy

(34:12) Frontier Labs say "SLOW DOWN AI"

(1:01:15) Why are frontier labs "burning books"?

(1:14:45) Socialism Corner: Mamdani's grocery stores and the "Socialist Spectacle"

(1:24:44) Science Corner: Understanding and mapping the brain

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(0:00) Intro: Humanoids, Robots, & AI+

(0:57) ANYbotics' Dr. Péter Fankhauser: Why ANYbotics Bet the Company on Four-Legged Robot Dogs, Not Humanoids

(13:18) Dr. Péter Fankhauser: China's Armed Robot Dogs Are "Stupid and Risky" — Inside the Terminator Debate

(15:01) NEO's Bernt Børnich: Neo Ships in 2026 and Becomes an Open Robot Platform

(22:18) Bernt Børnich: Robots Building Robots in Just 3 Years — "Hard Takeoff"

(33:45) Boston Dynamics' Amanda McMaster: Spot Is Now the Most Deployed Robot on Earth — Atlas is the Most Capable

(42:36) Amanda McMaster: Chinese Robotics Security Risks

(47:14) Agility Robotics...

(0:00) Bestie intros!

(0:18) The fight to save open source AI: Kimi K3 panic, Anthropic/OpenAI regulatory capture

(27:38) Anthropic/OpenAI historic growth rates, China's long game

(48:29) Anthropic's $1.5B piracy settlement and the great IP theft hypocrisy

(1:07:12) Google and Tesla stocks tank on surging AI capex

(1:17:19) Socialism Corner: "Evictions = Violence" and the threat to private property rights

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(0:00) Bubble talk: Comparing today's AI market to the dot-com bubble

(7:50) AI's real-world limits: why enterprise AI is harder than expected

(16:38) Transitioning to an AI-First Workspace

(21:26) Health & AI: self-directed healthcare and biometric data

(24:30) Politics, wealth tax, and AI as a truth-seeking force

(35:12) Knicks & Sports Talk

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(0:00) Bestie intros!

(1:32) New AI regulatory proposal: DeepMind's Demis Hassabis proposes FINRA-type body

(20:01) Stripe, Block, and Advent offer $53B to acquire PayPal

(37:51) Apple sues OpenAI, alleging stolen trade secrets

(42:49) Grok Build data leak, AI data privacy, Tokenmaxxing update, Mira Murati's new model

(59:53) NY bans datacenters, becoming first state to enact a moratorium

(1:22:57) Science Corner: New data on reversing aging!

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(0:00) Former Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger joins Jason!

(1:41) What Went Wrong at Intel

(15:19) Why a Taiwan Blockade Would Cripple the US Economy

(25:00) Lovable's Anton Osika: One Million New Apps a Week

(33:38) How Lovable is Bringing Down Builder Costs

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Plaud - If your work depends on...

(0:00) ElevenLabs' $600M ARR Ramp, 600 Employees & Life Without PMs

(15:34) Celebrity Voice Deals, Deepfake Impersonation & Racing OpenAI and Anthropic

(31:42) Legora's Hypergrowth, Disrupting Law Firms & the Billable Hour

(42:31) LexisNexis Decline, Legal Data Moats & Legora's Narrow AI Models

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Oracle powers AI at every scale—from frontier labs to enterprise production. Yo...

(0:00) Bestie intros: Brad Gerstner fills in for Friedberg!

(2:58) OpenAI vs Anthropic IPOs: Why it matters who goes first, what they learned from the SpaceX IPO, the unlimited TAM of intelligence

(27:39) The open source decision, Meta's new model, Zuck's price war, AI duopoly

(54:29) CCP considering putting export controls on Chinese models, is open source ending in China?

(1:03:09) Trump Accounts launch, getting young Americans bought back into capitalism

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(0:00) The AI Buildout: Datacenters Bigger Than Cities (Andrew Feldman)

(1:50) Reasoning, Inference, and Breaking Moore's Law

(16:28) Open Source, AI Sovereignty, and the Road to AGI

(40:54) The Innovation Behind Generative Video (Robin Rombach)

(47:31) Martin Scorsese, Robots, and the Future of Hollywood IP

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(0:00) Bestie intros: Happy Fourth of July!

(0:21) Palantir-Nvidia open source deal, Alex Karp's CNBC "Crashout"

(33:52) Update on the AI jobs debate

(50:24) Anthropic's Fable 5 available after export restrictions lifted

(59:06) SCOTUS upholds birthright citizenship, striking Trump's EO

(1:21:30) Newsom's "balanced budget" and how California's dire fiscal situation could break apart the Union

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(0:00) Nate Silver joins the pod!

(10:02) California's ballot counting problem: Raman's late-mail surge, ballot harvesting claims, and why the US counts slower than India

(25:18) Democrats' three-way civil war: The left, the abundance libs, and Newsom's "resistance lib" base

(34:48) The winning 2028 playbook: Anti-oligarch messaging, why young men want control, and immigrants fleeing the Dems

(45:48) How algorithmic social media entrenches polarization: Elon's X, filter bubbles, and the death of the chronological feed

(50:01) 2026 midterm predictions: 85-90% Dem House takeover, Senate toss-up, and the Iran/gas price wildcard

(55:20) Newsom is collapsing in...

(0:00) Gavin Baker and Travis Kalanick join the show!

(1:05) Mamdani-endorsed socialists sweep congressional primaries in NYC

(22:51) Future of the Democratic Party, the Israel issue, social media bans

(45:12) China's open-source AI catch up, distillation, OpenAI's new chip

(1:01:46) Micron smashes earnings, AI's memory crunch hitting Apple and consumer hardware

(1:10:17) The math behind distributed compute and datacenters in space

(1:27:22) IPO update: Anthropic at $3T, SpaceX float, Cerebras drops after breaking deal price

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(0:00) David Friedberg intros GameStop CEO Ryan Cohen!

(1:56) Building and selling Chewy for $3.35B, how to compete with Amazon in e-commerce

(11:58) Post-Chewy life, activist investing, the road to GameStop CEO, expanding into collectibles

(26:39) Why he wants to buy eBay for $56B: Massive potential, poor execution (slow growth, rising expenses, seller relationship failure)

(43:58) Ryan's three-part vision for eBay: Cut costs, expand live commerce, create digital in-game collectible marketplace

(49:33) Why eBay has rejected the offer, media bias against GameStop

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(0:00) Bestie intros!

(2:41) The New Oligarchs, America's incoming politburo, and learned helplessness

(14:18) SpaceX's record breaking IPO, $60B Cursor acquisition, and trillionaire reactions

(33:34) Behind the scenes of Anthropic's Fable ban

(1:01:18) Claude psychoanalyzes its creator, Dario Amodei

(1:14:31) Iran War MOU and the market impact

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(0:00) Besties are back!

(0:19) Anthropic gets massive backlash over secret Fable nerfing and privacy concerns

(29:16) The AI regulatory capture trap, pragmatic safety solutions

(37:59) Nationalizing AI: Trump/Sanders, justifications, and AI's "Capitalist Cucks"

(59:22) Liquidity recap: Best moments and takeaways

(1:05:39) Inflation heats up: CPI and PPI see 3+ year highs

(1:12:27) California's loose election laws creating integrity doubts

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(0:00) Chamath explains the Best Ideas format

(2:31) Suvretta Capital Management's Aaron Cowen pitches MGM Resorts

(13:07) Bornite Capital's Dan Dreyfus pitches Talen Energy

(27:19) EcoR1 Capital's Oleg Nodelman pitches Aktis Oncology

(40:20) Multicoin Capital's Kyle Samani pitches GEODNET

(54:50) The Besties recap the pitches and announce winners

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(0:00) PA Senators Fetterman and McCormick join the Besties

(0:33) Bipartisanship in 2026, rejecting extremism

(6:37) All-time unpopularity in the Senate, the filibuster question, tribalism

(13:33) Fixing wealth concentration in the US

(19:51) Graham Platner, why extremism wins primaries, and what it means for the future

(28:12) How AI and energy are playing a part in PA's blue collar boom, dark money funding misinformation

(41:05) Insane level of money in politics, fixing the broken system

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(0:00) Dan Dreyfus Presents: The Future of Critical Minerals

(0:33) America's "Capital Light Era" is over, rapid supply/demand shocks

(5:40) Impact of China cutting off the US from critical minerals

(8:18) Copper's Rise: The next 18 years need as much as the last 10,000

(12:00) Dollar Debasement: $140T in debt and why hard assets win

(13:50) The Grid is Dying: Blackouts, bottlenecks, and the craft labor crisis

(19:10) How to invest in the commodity supercycle

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(0:00) Bill Maris joins the Besties!

(0:33) Four critical lessons from a career in technology

(5:58) Building Google Ventures with data and machine learning

(9:51) Why small VC funds beat big ones on average

(14:36) OpenAI's valuation problem and the AI price war

(19:09) AI's "Atari Stage": what comes next?

(25:23) VC's broken incentives and the future of deep tech

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EY - Agentic AI is introducing a new investment discipline. As AI shifts to consumption-based models, EY connects spend to enterprise value.

(0:00) Palo Alto Networks CEO Nikesh Arora joins the Besties!

(0:47) Claude Mythos found years of vulnerabilities in Palo Alto's code in weeks

(5:15) Are cyber defenders losing the race against AI attackers?

(6:50) Analytical SaaS is dead, so what survives the AI wave?

(14:06) If models become a utility, where will the money be made?

(20:35) Armchair CEO: Nikesh rates Waymo, Google, and OpenAI

(28:22) Palo Alto's M&A playbook and the path to $1 trillion

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(0:00) Brad Gerstner, Gavin Baker, and Kelly Rodriques join the Besties!

(0:47) Secondary Markets are Booming & Competing with IPOs

(3:10) Why Companies are Staying Private So Long?

(9:22) SPVs, the Forge-Schwab Deal, Democratizing Private Market Access

(13:28) Secondary Markets as Exit Liquidity for VCs

(27:00) The Private Market Bubble?

(32:03) Hottest Secondary Companies Right Now

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EY - Agentic AI is introducing a new investment discipline. As AI shifts to consumption-based models, EY connects spend to enterprise value.

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(0:00) CEOs Andrew Feldman (Cerebras) and Will Marshall (Planet Labs) join the Besties!

(2:05) Both CEOs on going public: Impact on employees, customers, and business operations

(13:18) Timelines for datacenters in space

(19:28) Cerebras business breakdown, AI's impact on the silicon market

(24:45) How Founder/CEOs think about liquidity on the road to going public

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EY - Great tech starts with a big idea. From startup to scale, EY helps tech founders get financials right early so they can focus on what's next.

(0:00) Dan Loeb joins the Besties!

(0:34) Investor journey: From message boards to a multibillion dollar hedge fund

(3:15) Third Point's early days: mentors and market turmoil

(8:47) Strategy shift: Event-driven to quality and AI

(16:01) The art of short selling and a homebuilder trade

(22:15) Criminal justice reform and the Ross Ulbricht pardon

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EY - Agentic AI is introducing a new investment discipline. As AI shifts to consumption-based models, EY connects spend to enterprise value.

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(0:00) Coatue's Thomas Laffont joins the Besties!

(0:30) Public markets are back as AI is dominates the "Unicorn Economy"

(5:15) The $4T AI IPO explosion

(7:48) The case for SpaceX: Compounding launch monopoly and Starlink

(10:38) The 10x Paradox: Why we're seeing unprecedented scaling

(15:33) Segmenting AI markets and future impact

(18:32) Bestie Q&A: Power Law in AI, future of VC, where revenue is coming from, liquidity explosion

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EY - Agentic AI is introducing a new investment discipline. As AI shifts...

(0:00) Bill Ackman joins the show!

(0:30) Evolving investment philosophy: What's changed over 20 years?

(4:40) AI: Greatest time to build a business, and a major threat to portfolios

(7:50) Predicting market moves, the "rubber band effect"

(16:00) Owning founder-led companies

(19:30) Building the next Berkshire Hathaway

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EY - Agentic AI is introducing a new investment discipline. As AI shifts to consumption-based models, EY connects spend to enterprise value.

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(0:00) OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar joins the show!

(0:31) How OpenAI thinks about its IPO timeline

(3:31) OpenAI, Anthropic, Google: The AI arms race

(7:43) Navigating the compute crunch and AI bottlenecks, device preview!

(15:53) OpenAI's economics

(26:08) Push into chips, the cloud

(29:32) OpenAI's ad business and strategy

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EY - Agentic AI is introducing a new investment discipline. As AI shifts to consumption-based models, EY connects spend to enterprise value.

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(0:00) Bill Gurley joins the show!

(6:00) Making yourself valuable in the age of AI, first class of "AI Natives"

(17:37) Reacting to Pope Leo's AI encyclical: Who guards the guardians?

(26:54) Anthropic's Digital God: Do they believe they are creating a superior species?

(38:32) AI sovereignty, the next era of privacy, open-source crackdown coming?

(59:56) The Great AI Jobs Debate: Dario and Sam Altman flip their rhetoric, Goldman CEO says no AI job apocalypse

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(0:00) Gavin Baker joins the show!

(0:30) Andrej Karpathy joins Anthropic; hypergrowth and profitability

(12:42) Why Americans have turned on AI, anti-human perception

(27:22) Trump pulls AI EO, US-China AI relationship, dystopian AI layoffs

(45:19) SpaceX S-1 tear down! Breaking down the three major businesses and the case for a $2T valuation

(1:11:22) Nvidia smashes earnings but stock falls, why people are shorting chips

(1:22:25) Market update: Flashing red signals, oil, inflation, yields up

(1:32:45) China trip flops, or was progress made behind the scenes?

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(0:00) Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff joins the show!

(1:14) Trump-Xi summit, doing business in China as a US company, impact on Americans and the midterms

(18:46) Taiwan, chips, AI models, and peace through trade

(31:41) AI's impact on software: What SaaS thrives, what SaaS dies?

(47:26) OpenAI is considering suing Apple over failed ChatGPT integration

(56:54) Thinking Machines releases real-time model, future of consumer AI, multi-sensory models

(1:02:24) Science Corner: Impacts of a historically strong El Nino in 2026

(1:11:40) Anthropic goes after "Dark SPVs"

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(0:00) David Friedberg welcomes Charles & Chase Koch

(1:04) Koch Inc. Overview: Scale, Business Lines & History

(2:21) Building the Business: Early Days & Charles Koch Joins (1961)

(11:31) Failures, Creative Destruction & Learning from Mistakes

(19:22) Culture & Principle-Based Management

(33:53) Georgia-Pacific Acquisition & Culture Transformation

(56:17) Stand Together: Education Reform & Social Change

(1:12:37) AI, Economic Challenges & the Future of Capitalism

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(0:00) Spencer Pratt vs. the Machine

(3:01) Inside the Palisades Fire: Drained Reservoirs, No Sirens & Watching His House Burn on His Phone

(14:03) Why He's Running for Mayor: FireAid's $100M Scandal & the NGO Corruption Nobody Talks About

(28:10) Karen Bass at 20% & the Real State of Los Angeles: Crime, Homelessness & a City in Free Fall

(38:23) Spencer's Plan to Fix LA: Enforcing Laws, Auditing Everyone & the Billionaires Ready to Rebuild

(52:22) Hollywood, LAUSD & Small Business: What It Actually Takes to Make LA #1 Again

(56:25) The Permitting Nightmare Killing Small Business & How AI Fixes It Overnight<...

(0:00) Bestie intros! Thoughts on the LA mayor election

(4:38) SpaceX-Anthropic deal, Elon Web Services, SpaceX IPO valuation, Anthropic's insane growth trajectory

(26:48) Is Anthropic the next great monopoly? Early signals or major overreaction?

(35:21) "FDA for AI" freakout, how the White House thinks about AI safety

(52:01) Flipping AI's negative perception: Giving, healthcare and education innovation

(1:00:04) Trading the AI market, state of the economy

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(0:00) Bestie intros

(3:05) OpenAI misses targets, Codex gains on Claude

(20:02) AI cybersecurity: a market that's about to explode

(31:03) Elon vs Sam Altman lawsuit

(41:00) Big tech smashes earnings, Capex explosion

(52:44) Vibecoding nightmare: AI deleted someone's codebase

(58:33) Retatrutide craze: peptides go mainstream

(1:06:34) Friedberg's Supreme Court experience

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