Breakaway - Investing & Finance

10 Episodes
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By: Sean Hathaway

Breakaway from the haters and mainstream thought. Learn about Investing, Finance and the Economy in a plain english and entertaining way. Understand the business environment and make money investing. Uncertainty in the markets driven by crisis, anarchy, politics and craziness is simply opportunity. Facts and truth here. 

SpaceX, Tesla, NFLX, markets, etc...
#64
04/23/2023

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bl7IqyEyqhY

Apr 22. 

Wow. Been awhile. Volleyball. Mexico. 

Markets:

If you lived thru 2021 you’re a rockstar and welcome to our first year down 

YTD US up 7% and Tech up 20%. 

Since Dec, 2021 US down 14% and Tech down 20%

I know many and myself buying 6 month 5% bonds. But maybe I should pay down the mortgage?

Recession looming. San Francisco vacancy at 33...


TSLA/Twitter (Elon interview), Mkts, Crypto, Xmas songs
#36
12/23/2022

Markets. S&P 500 -16%, Tech QQQ -30%, Utra tech! ARKK Tech -65%

4.6% on 6 month treasury.Inflation. 7.1% YoY.  Fed raised 0.5%. So now 4.25% - 4.5%. Probably going to 5.0 - 5.5%.  Fastest in history. 

My Mortgage. 4.5% and adjusting again to 2.25% + LIBOR. 

Baby its cold outside! 

Crypto Arrests.  

SBF in US and out on bail!  $250 million. Caroline and Wang charged. Caroline Ellison, the former chief executive of Alameda Research, a trading firm tied to FTX, and Gary Wang, FTX’s former chief technology officer, both pleaded guilty to criminal offenses similar to those Mr. Bankman-Fried was charged with last week...


Crypto/FTX/SBF, Twitter
#62
11/18/2022

Markets. Down 17% was down 25%. 

Meta job cuts. 11000 13%. Brad Gerstner letter. A summary of some of the layoffs this year…

Twitter: cutting 50% of its workforce (estimated 3,700 jobs).Facebook ($META): cutting 13% of its staff (11,000 jobs), its largest round of 

Crypto

SBF is a FRAUD! Bernie Madoff style! 

FTX lends money to Alameda!! $10b loan on $16b in assets.  

 FTX meltdown. FTX. Alameda. Binance. Coinbase. Nothing safe. 

FTX has a prominent list of backers such as Sequoia Capital, BlackRock Inc., Tiger Global Management and SoftBank Group Corp.Sam Bankman-Fried. $8b shortf...


Twitter, Meta, Amazon
#61
10/28/2022

Markets. Down 20%. Was 25%, but rallied up 5% just this week.  

GDP growth 2.6% (-1.6 and -0.6 in Q1 and Q2). So no recession…currently. 



Apple. +7%

Amazon. -14% 

Meta. -25%


Amazon. AWS insanely profitable. All other biz combined is break-even. Sales of $127b and Operating Income of only $2.5b (2%).

Story: AWS $5.4b. All Other: $-2.9b. Everything losing money!! Tesla: $5b on $21b. 


Meta: meltdown. 

"Meta's results last night was an absolute train wreck that speaks to pervasive digital...


NFLX & TSLA Earnings - w/ live interview out-takes
#60
10/20/2022

US Stock market is down 22% and the Nasdaq 100 (NDX or QQQ) is down 32% year-to-date. 

Netflix

After 2 quarters of negative subscriber growth Netflix adds 2.4 million subscribers in Q3 and expects 4.5m in Q4. Here are some key takeaways. 

Revenue grew 6% YoY or 13% excluding FX. This is a big deal because it shows they continue to scale topline at double digit growth. Advertising tier launching in November ($6.99 in US). 5 minutes of advertising per hour. As linear TV continues to die, advertising $’s will move to streaming. Netflix is charging top tier rates to advertisers. Netflix estimates all st...


Mkts, Layoffs, Inflation, Fed, NFLX, TSLA
09/30/2022

Markets

Down 24% YtD. 


Layoffs and Freezes and Downgrades and Upgrades

Lyft has frozen hiring. Meta froze hiring. Docusign cutting 9% of workforce. 

Apple downgrade: The iPhone maker dropped 4.9% after Bank of America cut its rating to neutral from buy, warning of weaker consumer demand for its popular devices. The selloff erased roughly $120 billion from Apple’s market capitalization.

Nike down 10%. Inventory up 44% QoQ.  


...


Housing, Biden, Ukraine, CA Energy, TSLA, NFLX
#58
09/02/2022


Markets

Down 17%. Tech down 25%. Housing.Homes in August sat on the market an average five days longer than they did a year ago.The median listing price in August dropped to $435,000 from $449,000 in JulyThe average home sold for less than its list price for the first time in more than 17 months during the four-week period ended Aug. 28, according to RedfinNord Stream Pipeline closed again. Russia booking record profits. Long cold winter for Germany.   

Biden Speach: 

Red lights. Looks like Nazi Germany. Portnoy Rant.  Who are Maga Republicans? 5%, 10% far right? 49%? Far “left” just as dangerous...


Markets, Student Loans, Electric cars, TSLA
#57
08/26/2022


The Markets

Down 13% YtD.  

I don’t think we’ll see new highs until 2024. Just gonna bounce around.


The Fed. 

Jerome Powell: “Restoring price stability will likely require maintaining a restrictive policy stance for some time,” 

Student loan debt relief

The president’s plan cancels $10,000 in federal student-loan debt for borrowers making under $125,000 a year or couples making less than $250,000 a year. 

Ultimately, the average cost of tuition has increased more than 144% since 2001 on average, even after accounting for inflation.

It's not “fair...


Markets, Trump, IRS Agents, Tesla, Streaming Wars
#56
08/14/2022

Markets 

Yes, We’re in a recession, but White House attempting to change the definition after …centuries…forever? Recession is 2 quarters of negative GDP. Inflation at 8.5%. US stocks down 24% and Tech down 31% on June 17. Now: 12% and 18%, respectively. 

Politics


Nancy Pelosi visits Taiwan. Prompts drills and missile tests by China. Do we really need this right now? Is that a good idea? Does it advance American interests? Since 1979 and under many administrations - left and right - we’ve maintained a policy of “Strategic Ambiguity”.Raid on Trump’s Mar a Lago. Could be Nuke materials…i...


Mkts, Inflation, War, Politics, Energy, NFLX, Twitter, Musk, TSLA
#55
07/15/2022

Economy/Markets. 
US Stocks down 22%, tech down 28%, ARKK down 55%. 

Inflation print. CPI at 9.1%
Energy and Gas up 60% 
Food up 10%. 
These are the items that are killing average Americans. 

What now: 

War, Supply Chains, Inflation (supply driven), and Fed actions.  
We need a peace deal to end the war and we need China open. 

Are we in a recession? Yes. 

Politics: 

70-80% of americans in general agreement. Then the 10% wa...